Major League Soccer

New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union Odds Movement Analysis | Major League Soccer | 168 Tips

New York City FCNew York City FC
VS
Philadelphia Union
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-17 00:14:27
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 1.04 0 0.85
Over Under 1.01 3 0.86
Europe 2.48 | 3.62 | 2.60
Probability 37.9% | 26.0% | 36.1%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 2.09 → 2.48
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★★🔴 Home win prob. down ★★★☆☆🟢 Total up ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down-0.25 → 02026-08-17 00:14:27★☆☆☆☆Home price up2.09 → 2.482026-08-17 00:14:27★★★★★Home win prob. down44.48 → 37.892026-08-17 00:14:27★★★☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total up2.5/3 → 32026-08-17 00:14:27★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★★ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-17 00:14:27

Key Movements Title

5
08-17 00:14Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-16 21:10Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-17 00:14Away price down★★★★★Key Movement Line08-16 21:10Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-16 17:22Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small downward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
08-11 13:240.91 -0.25 0.97Opening
08-16 17:220.89 0 1.00Down Line
08-17 00:141.04 0 0.85No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 13:24 Opening
-0.25
08-16 17:22
0
08-17 00:14 Latest
0
9
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleA small upward change in the total-goals line was recorded.
History Title
08-11 13:240.83 2.5/3 1.04Opening
08-17 00:141.01 3 0.86Up Line
Timeline Title
08-11 13:24 Opening
2.5/3（0.83 / 1.04）
08-17 00:14
3（1.01 / 0.86）
08-17 00:14 Latest
3（1.01 / 0.86）
9
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price increased by a large amount.
History Title
08-11 13:242.09 / 3.67 / 3.08Opening
08-15 12:352.23 / 3.65 / 2.86Home Odds Up
08-17 00:142.48 / 3.62 / 2.60No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 13:24 Opening
2.09 / 3.67 / 3.08
08-15 12:35
2.23 / 3.65 / 2.86
08-17 00:14 Latest
2.48 / 3.62 / 2.60
9
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved down by a moderate amount.
History Title
08-11 13:2444.5% / 25.3% / 30.2%Opening
08-17 00:1437.9% / 26.0% / 36.1%No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 13:24 Opening
44.48%
08-17 00:14 Latest
37.89%
9
Record Count
0
Change Count
-6.59%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.27%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
08-17 00:14
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.97 points (30.18% to 36.15%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 00:14
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 6.59 points (44.48% to 37.89%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 00:14
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped 3.08 to 2.6 (-15.6%) - market backing away.
08-17 00:14
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Home win odds rose 2.09 to 2.48 (+18.7%) - market cautious on home.
08-17 00:14
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U 2.5/3 to 3, +0.25 goals - goal expectation rising.
08-17 00:14
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap 0/0.5 to 0, -1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward away side.
08-16 21:10
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.25 points (30.18% to 35.43%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 21:10
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.84 points (44.48% to 38.64%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 21:10
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped 3.08 to 2.65 (-14.0%) - market backing away.
08-16 21:10
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Home win odds rose 2.09 to 2.43 (+16.3%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 17:22
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.59 points (30.18% to 33.77%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 17:22
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.16 points (44.48% to 40.32%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 17:22
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped 3.08 to 2.77 (-10.1%) - market backing away.
08-16 17:22
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Home win odds rose 2.09 to 2.32 (+11.0%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 13:54
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.97 points (30.18% to 33.15%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 13:54
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.3 points (44.48% to 41.18%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 13:54
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 3.08 to 2.82 (-8.4%) - market backing away.
08-16 13:54
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 2.09 to 2.27 (+8.6%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 10:18
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.83 points (30.18% to 33.01%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 10:18
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.15 points (44.48% to 41.33%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 10:18
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 2.09 to 2.26 (+8.1%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 10:18
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 3.08 to 2.83 (-8.1%) - market backing away.
08-16 01:12
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.79 points (30.18% to 32.97%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 01:12
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.01 points (44.48% to 41.47%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 01:12
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 2.09 to 2.25 (+7.7%) - market cautious on home.
08-15 12:35
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.44 points (30.18% to 32.62%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 12:35
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.65 points (44.48% to 41.83%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 12:35
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 3.08 to 2.86 (-7.1%) - market backing away.
08-15 12:35
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 2.09 to 2.23 (+6.7%) - market cautious on home.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-11 13:24
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-15 12:35
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
08-16 17:22
Handicap Down LineHandicap
08-17 00:14
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
9
Total Records
7Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-11
08-13
08-15
08-16
08-17
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