10
Record Count
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Odds Movement Analysis | Major League Soccer | 168 Tips
Major League Soccer 2026-10-18 07:30New York Red Bulls
VS
Toronto FC
Finished
Kicked Off
Snapshot Title
Snapshot Latest
Handicap
0.83 -0.75 1.06
Over Under
0.87 3.5 1.00
Europe
1.68 | 4.35 | 4.02
Probability
55.4% | 21.4% | 23.2%
Signal Summary Title
Market State Title: Market State MovingMarket Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the home side. Evidence Label: 2.02 → 1.68
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
Supporting Signals Title
Independent Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★★★
Core market signals point in the same direction.
Live Monitoring Label: Finished
Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off
Market State Latest: 2026-10-17 23:35:05
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Key Movements Title
5Handicap
OfComment TitleThe handicap moved up two steps across the observed period.
History Title
10-16 22:360.78 -0.25 1.11Opening
10-17 02:011.01 -0.5 0.87Up Line
10-17 13:510.91 -0.75 0.98Up Line
10-17 23:350.83 -0.75 1.06No Change
Timeline Title
10-16 22:36 Opening
-0.25
10-17 02:01
-0.5
10-17 13:51
-0.75
10-17 23:35 Latest
-0.75
2
Change Count
2
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★Over Under
OfComment TitleThe Over/Under line moved up slightly from the previous observation.
History Title
10-16 22:360.83 3/3.5 1.04Opening
10-17 06:221.00 3.5 0.87Up Line
10-17 23:350.87 3.5 1.00No Change
Timeline Title
10-16 22:36 Opening
3/3.5（0.83 / 1.04）
10-17 06:22
3.5（1.00 / 0.87）
10-17 23:35 Latest
3.5（0.87 / 1.00）
10
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★Europe
OfComment TitleA large downward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
10-16 22:362.02 / 3.83 / 3.11Opening
10-17 06:221.91 / 4.01 / 3.32Home Odds Down
10-17 13:511.74 / 4.25 / 3.79Home Odds Down
10-17 23:351.68 / 4.35 / 4.02No Change
Timeline Title
10-16 22:36 Opening
2.02 / 3.83 / 3.11
10-17 06:22
1.91 / 4.01 / 3.32
10-17 13:51
1.74 / 4.25 / 3.79
10-17 23:35 Latest
1.68 / 4.35 / 4.02
10
Record Count
2
Change Count
2
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★Probability
OfComment TitleThe home implied probability increased noticeably from the opening observation.
History Title
10-16 22:3645.9% / 24.2% / 29.8%Opening
10-17 13:5153.5% / 21.9% / 24.6%Home Prob Up
10-17 23:3555.4% / 21.4% / 23.2%No Change
Timeline Title
10-16 22:36 Opening
45.94%
10-17 13:51
53.52%
10-17 23:35 Latest
55.43%
10
Record Count
1
Change Count
+9.49%
Home Prob Cumulative
±3.99%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★Title
Count Suffix10-17 22:35
Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 6.62 points to 23.22% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 22:35
Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 9.48 points to 55.42% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 22:35
Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.11 to 4.01 (+28.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 22:35
Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 2.02 to 1.68 (-16.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 22:35
Handicap up★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0/0.5 to 0.5/1, up 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market backing home side strongly.
10-17 22:35
Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3/3.5 to 3.5, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-17 21:12
Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 6.43 points to 23.41% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 21:12
Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 9.33 points to 55.27% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 21:12
Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.11 to 3.99 (+28.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 21:12
Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 2.02 to 1.69 (-16.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 19:21
Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.78 points to 24.06% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 19:21
Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 8.34 points to 54.28% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 19:21
Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.11 to 3.88 (+24.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 19:21
Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.02 to 1.72 (-14.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 18:20
Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.73 points to 24.11% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 18:20
Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 8.3 points to 54.24% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 18:20
Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.11 to 3.87 (+24.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 13:51
Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.27 points to 24.57% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 13:51
Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 7.58 points to 53.52% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 13:51
Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.11 to 3.79 (+21.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 13:51
Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.02 to 1.74 (-13.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 09:12
Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.13 points to 27.71% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 09:12
Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.59 points to 49.53% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 09:12
Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.11 to 3.36 (+8.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 09:12
Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.02 to 1.88 (-6.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 09:12
Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0/0.5 to 0.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-17 06:22
Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.8 points to 48.74% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 06:22
Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.11 to 3.32 (+6.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 06:22
Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.02 to 1.91 (-5.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
Overview Title
Overview All Modules10-16 22:36
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-17 02:01
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-17 06:22
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-17 06:22
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
10-17 13:51
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-17 13:51
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
10-17 13:51
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob UpProbability
Overview Stats Title
2
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
10
Total Records
2Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status · Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
10-16
10-17
Partners
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