Neftchi Fargona vs Al Ittihad Club Odds Movement Analysis | AFC Champions League Elite | 168.Tips

AFC Champions League Elite 2026-10-26 21:45
Neftchi FargonaNeftchi Fargona
VS
Al Ittihad ClubAl Ittihad Club
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-26 13:12:36
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 1.00 +0.5 0.82
Over Under 1.01 3 0.79
Europe 3.81 | 3.82 | 1.79
Probability 24.2% | 24.2% | 51.6%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
The core directional markets are aligned toward the home side. Evidence Label: 4.49 → 3.78
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★★★ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-26 13:12:36

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Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved up one step from the previous observation.
History Title
10-25 20:200.90 +0.75 0.92Opening
10-26 09:360.98 +0.5 0.84Up Line
10-26 13:121.00 +0.5 0.82No Change
0.820.911.001814Home WaterAway Water+0.5
Timeline Title
10-25 20:20 Opening
+0.75
10-26 09:36
+0.5
10-26 13:12 Latest
+0.5
14
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-25 20:200.90 3 0.90Opening
10-26 07:130.80 2.5/3 1.00Down Line
10-26 13:121.01 3 0.79Up Line
0.790.901.011814OverUnder3
Timeline Title
10-25 20:20 Opening
3(0.90 / 0.90)
10-26 07:13
2.5/3(0.80 / 1.00)
10-26 13:12
3(1.01 / 0.79)
10-26 13:12 Latest
3(1.01 / 0.79)
14
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA large downward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
10-25 20:204.49 / 4.13 / 1.60Opening
10-26 07:134.10 / 3.87 / 1.73Home Odds Down
10-26 09:363.81 / 3.77 / 1.81Home Odds Down
10-26 13:123.81 / 3.82 / 1.79No Change
1.603.084.551814HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-25 20:20 Opening
4.49 / 4.13 / 1.60
10-26 07:13
4.10 / 3.87 / 1.73
10-26 09:36
3.81 / 3.77 / 1.81
10-26 13:12 Latest
3.81 / 3.82 / 1.79
14
Record Count
2
Change Count
2
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability increased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
10-25 20:2020.4% / 22.2% / 57.4%Opening
10-26 13:1224.2% / 24.2% / 51.6%No Change
20.238.857.41814Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-25 20:20 Opening
20.44%
10-26 13:12 Latest
24.24%
14
Record Count
0
Change Count
+3.80%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.54%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-26 11:33
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.04 points to 24.48% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 11:33
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 4.49 to 3.78 (-15.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-26 11:33
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 6.51 points to 50.84% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 11:33
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.6 to 1.82 (+13.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 11:33
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -0.5/-1 to -0.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-26 11:33
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3 to 2.5/3, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-26 10:51
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.11 points to 24.55% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 10:51
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 4.49 to 3.77 (-16.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-26 10:15
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 6.27 points to 51.08% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 10:15
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.95 points to 24.39% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 10:15
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 4.49 to 3.79 (-15.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-26 10:15
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.6 to 1.81 (+13.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 09:36
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 6.2 points to 51.15% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 09:36
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.86 points to 24.3% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 09:36
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 4.49 to 3.81 (-15.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-26 08:46
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.17 points to 53.18% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 08:46
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.35 points to 22.79% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 08:46
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.6 to 1.74 (+8.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 08:46
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.49 to 4.06 (-9.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-26 07:13
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.84 points to 53.51% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 07:13
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.14 points to 22.58% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 07:13
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.6 to 1.73 (+8.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 07:13
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.49 to 4.1 (-8.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-26 05:20
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.6 to 1.66 (+3.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 03:55
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.6 to 1.67 (+4.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-26 02:41
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.01 points to 55.34% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-26 01:05
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.6 to 1.65 (+3.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-25 20:20
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-26 07:13
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-26 07:13
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
10-26 09:36
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-26 09:36
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
10-26 13:12
Over Under Up LineOver Under