Primeira Liga

Moreirense FC vs SC Braga Odds Movement Analysis | Primeira Liga | 168 Tips

Moreirense FC
VS
SC Braga
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-09 23:54:45
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.86 +1 1.03
Over Under 1.02 2.5 0.85
Europe 5.62 | 3.88 | 1.59
Probability 16.7% | 24.2% | 59.1%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 4.66 → 5.62
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★★🔴 Home win prob. down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down+0.75 → +12026-08-09 23:54:45★☆☆☆☆Home price up4.66 → 5.622026-08-09 23:54:45★★★★★Home win prob. down19.93 → 16.712026-08-09 23:54:45★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★★ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-09 23:54:45

Key Movements Title

5
08-09 23:54Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-09 18:17Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-09 15:00Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-09 23:54Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line08-09 18:17Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved down one step from the previous observation.
History Title
08-05 14:580.94 +0.75 0.94Opening
08-09 15:001.09 +0.75 0.80Home Water Up
08-09 23:540.86 +1 1.03Down Line
Timeline Title
08-05 14:58 Opening
+0.75
08-09 15:00
+0.75
08-09 23:54
+1
08-09 23:54 Latest
+1
7
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-05 14:581.00 2.5 0.87Opening
08-09 23:541.02 2.5 0.85No Change
Timeline Title
08-05 14:58 Opening
2.5（1.00 / 0.87）
08-09 23:54 Latest
2.5（1.02 / 0.85）
7
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price increased by a large amount.
History Title
08-05 14:584.66 / 3.65 / 1.70Opening
08-09 15:005.30 / 3.84 / 1.62Home Odds Up
08-09 23:545.62 / 3.88 / 1.59No Change
Timeline Title
08-05 14:58 Opening
4.66 / 3.65 / 1.70
08-09 15:00
5.30 / 3.84 / 1.62
08-09 23:54 Latest
5.62 / 3.88 / 1.59
7
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved down by a small amount.
History Title
08-05 14:5819.9% / 25.4% / 54.6%Opening
08-09 23:5416.7% / 24.2% / 59.1%No Change
Timeline Title
08-05 14:58 Opening
19.93%
08-09 23:54 Latest
16.71%
7
Record Count
0
Change Count
-3.22%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.61%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
08-09 23:54
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.45 points (54.63% to 59.08%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 23:54
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.22 points (19.93% to 16.71%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 23:54
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 1.7 to 1.59 (-6.5%) - market backing away.
08-09 23:54
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Home win odds rose 4.66 to 5.62 (+20.6%) - market cautious on home.
08-09 23:54
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap -0.5/1 to -1, -1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward away side.
08-09 18:17
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.58 points (54.63% to 58.21%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 18:17
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.54 points (19.93% to 17.39%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 18:17
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 1.7 to 1.61 (-5.3%) - market backing away.
08-09 18:17
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Home win odds rose 4.66 to 5.39 (+15.7%) - market cautious on home.
08-09 15:00
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.26 points (54.63% to 57.89%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 15:00
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.24 points (19.93% to 17.69%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 15:00
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped 1.7 to 1.62 (-4.7%) - market backing away.
08-09 15:00
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Home win odds rose 4.66 to 5.3 (+13.7%) - market cautious on home.
08-08 16:32
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Home win odds rose 4.66 to 4.84 (+3.9%) - market cautious on home.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-05 14:58
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-09 15:00
Handicap Home Water UpHandicap
08-09 15:00
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
08-09 23:54
Handicap Down LineHandicap

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
7
Total Records
5Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-05
08-06
08-07
08-08
08-09
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