14
Record Count
Milton Keynes Dons FC vs Luton Town FC Odds Movement Analysis | EFL League One | 168 Tips
EFL League One 2026-10-17 19:30Milton Keynes Dons FC
VS
Luton Town FC
Pre Match High Freq
Until Kickoff
Snapshot Title
Snapshot Latest
Handicap
0.98 +0.5 0.90
Over Under
0.91 3 0.95
Europe
3.48 | 3.68 | 1.92
Probability
26.6% | 25.2% | 48.2%
Signal Summary Title
Market State Title: Market State MovingMarket Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 2.92 → 3.38
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★★★
Core market signals point in the same direction.
Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq
Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff
Market State Latest: 2026-10-17 11:02:16
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Key Movements Title
5Handicap
OfComment TitleThe handicap moved down one step from the previous observation.
History Title
10-15 04:500.89 +0.25 0.93Opening
10-16 14:250.80 +0.5 1.02Down Line
10-17 11:020.98 +0.5 0.90No Change
Timeline Title
10-15 04:50 Opening
+0.25
10-16 14:25
+0.5
10-17 11:02 Latest
+0.5
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★Over Under
OfComment TitleThe Over/Under line moved up slightly from the previous observation.
History Title
10-15 04:500.83 2.5/3 0.97Opening
10-17 11:020.91 3 0.95Up Line
Timeline Title
10-15 04:50 Opening
2.5/3（0.83 / 0.97）
10-17 11:02
3（0.91 / 0.95）
10-17 11:02 Latest
3（0.91 / 0.95）
14
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★Europe
OfComment TitleThe home 1X2 price increased by a large amount.
History Title
10-15 04:502.92 / 3.66 / 2.12Opening
10-16 11:103.11 / 3.61 / 2.06Home Odds Up
10-17 11:023.48 / 3.68 / 1.92No Change
Timeline Title
10-15 04:50 Opening
2.92 / 3.66 / 2.12
10-16 11:10
3.11 / 3.61 / 2.06
10-17 11:02 Latest
3.48 / 3.68 / 1.92
14
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★Probability
OfComment TitleA small downward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
10-15 04:5031.5% / 25.1% / 43.4%Opening
10-17 11:0226.6% / 25.2% / 48.2%No Change
Timeline Title
10-15 04:50 Opening
31.49%
10-17 11:02 Latest
26.61%
14
Record Count
0
Change Count
-4.88%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.45%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No ChangeTitle
Count Suffix10-17 08:43
Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.99 points to 47.37% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 08:43
Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.16 points to 27.33% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 08:43
Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.12 to 1.95 (-8.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 08:43
Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.92 to 3.38 (+15.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 08:43
Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0/0.5 to -0.5, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-17 05:44
Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.58 points to 45.96% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 05:44
Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.98 points to 28.51% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 05:44
Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.12 to 2.01 (-5.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 05:44
Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.92 to 3.24 (+11.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 01:38
Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.75 points to 46.13% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 01:38
Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.1 points to 28.39% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 01:38
Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.92 to 3.25 (+11.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 01:38
Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.12 to 2.0 (-5.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 22:13
Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.63 points to 46.01% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 22:13
Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.0 points to 28.49% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 22:13
Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.92 to 3.23 (+10.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 18:31
Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.64 points to 46.02% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 18:31
Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.08 points to 28.41% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 18:31
Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.92 to 3.24 (+11.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 14:25
Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.47 points to 45.85% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 14:25
Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.87 points to 28.62% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 14:25
Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.12 to 2.01 (-5.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 14:25
Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.92 to 3.22 (+10.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 11:10
Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.92 to 3.11 (+6.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
Overview Title
Overview All Modules10-15 04:50
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-16 11:10
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
10-16 14:25
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-17 11:02
Over Under Up LineOver Under
Overview Stats Title
1
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
14
Total Records
3Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status · Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-15
10-16
10-17
Partners
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