Millwall FC vs Swansea City AFC Odds Movement Analysis | EFL Championship | 168 Tips

EFL Championship 2026-10-14 02:45
Millwall FCMillwall FC
VS
Swansea City AFCSwansea City AFC
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-13 18:38:32
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 1.06 -0.25 0.82
Over Under 0.83 2/2.5 1.04
Europe 2.37 | 3.28 | 2.93
Probability 39.5% | 28.5% | 31.9%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, European Odds are aligned toward the home side. Evidence Label: 2.51 → 2.34
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★☆☆☆☆🟢 Home price down ★★★☆☆🔴 Total down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap up0 → -0.252026-10-13 17:54:04★☆☆☆☆Home price down2.51 → 2.342026-10-13 17:54:04★★★☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total down2.5 → 2/2.52026-10-13 17:54:04★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-13 18:38:32

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Key Movements Title

5
10-13 17:54Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-13 15:39Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-13 14:43Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-13 13:32Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-13 12:02Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved up one step from the previous observation.
History Title
10-11 04:190.88 0 1.00Opening
10-13 08:451.08 -0.25 0.80Up Line
10-13 12:020.78 0 1.11Down Line
10-13 13:321.06 -0.25 0.82Up Line
10-13 18:381.06 -0.25 0.82No Change
0.780.951.1111121Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
10-11 04:19 Opening
0
10-13 08:45
-0.25
10-13 12:02
0
10-13 13:32
-0.25
10-13 18:38 Latest
-0.25
21
Record Count
3
Change Count
2
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved down slightly from the previous observation.
History Title
10-11 04:190.89 2.5 0.98Opening
10-13 12:020.83 2/2.5 1.04Down Line
10-13 18:380.83 2/2.5 1.04No Change
0.820.941.0511121OverUnder2/2.5
Timeline Title
10-11 04:19 Opening
2.5（0.89 / 0.98）
10-13 12:02
2/2.5（0.83 / 1.04）
10-13 18:38 Latest
2/2.5（0.83 / 1.04）
21
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved down slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
10-11 04:192.51 / 3.37 / 2.64Opening
10-13 18:382.37 / 3.28 / 2.93No Change
2.342.873.3911121HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-11 04:19 Opening
2.51 / 3.37 / 2.64
10-13 18:38 Latest
2.37 / 3.28 / 2.93
21
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
No Change

Probability

Of
Comment TitleNo significant win-probability movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-11 04:1937.1% / 27.6% / 35.3%Opening
10-13 18:3839.5% / 28.5% / 31.9%No Change
27.533.740.011121Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-11 04:19 Opening
37.10%
10-13 18:38 Latest
39.50%
21
Record Count
0
Change Count
+2.40%
Home Prob Cumulative
±0.89%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-13 17:54
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.87 points to 31.4% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 17:54
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.89 points to 39.99% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 17:54
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.64 to 2.98 (+12.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 17:54
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.51 to 2.34 (-6.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 17:54
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5 to 2/2.5, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-13 17:54
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0 to 0/0.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-13 15:39
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.11 points to 32.16% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 15:39
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.22 points to 39.32% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 15:39
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.64 to 2.91 (+10.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 15:39
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.51 to 2.38 (-5.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 14:43
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.99 points to 32.28% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 14:43
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.07 points to 39.17% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 14:43
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.64 to 2.9 (+9.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 14:43
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.51 to 2.39 (-4.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 13:32
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.55 points to 32.72% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 13:32
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.64 to 2.86 (+8.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 13:32
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.51 to 2.41 (-4.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 12:02
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.41 points to 32.86% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 12:02
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.64 to 2.85 (+8.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 10:22
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.51 to 2.4 (-4.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 10:22
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.64 to 2.81 (+6.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 08:45
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.51 to 2.41 (-4.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 07:18
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.51 to 2.4 (-4.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 04:25
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.64 to 2.76 (+4.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 04:25
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.51 to 2.42 (-3.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 02:45
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.64 to 2.75 (+4.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 02:45
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.51 to 2.43 (-3.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-12 18:41
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.64 to 2.73 (+3.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-11 04:19
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-13 08:45
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-13 12:02
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-13 12:02
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-13 13:32
Handicap Up LineHandicap

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
0
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
21
Total Records
3Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-11
10-12
10-13
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