EFL Cup

Middlesbrough FC vs Wrexham AFC Odds Movement Analysis | EFL Cup | 168 Tips

Middlesbrough FC
VS
Wrexham AFC
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-08 00:48:22
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.81 -0.75 1.07
Over Under 0.99 2.5/3 0.87
Europe 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.76
Probability 56.5% | 23.9% | 19.6%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the home side. Evidence Label: 1.77 → 1.65
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-08 00:48:22

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small upward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
08-04 21:370.78 -0.5 0.98Opening
08-06 12:400.93 -0.75 0.89Up Line
08-08 00:480.81 -0.75 1.07No Change
Timeline Title
08-04 21:37 Opening
-0.5
08-06 12:40
-0.75
08-08 00:48 Latest
-0.75
8
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-04 21:370.89 2.5/3 0.87Opening
08-07 15:110.80 2.5 1.06Down Line
08-07 23:261.04 2.5/3 0.82Up Line
08-08 00:480.99 2.5/3 0.87No Change
Timeline Title
08-04 21:37 Opening
2.5/3(0.89 / 0.87)
08-07 15:11
2.5(0.80 / 1.06)
08-07 23:26
2.5/3(1.04 / 0.82)
08-08 00:48 Latest
2.5/3(0.99 / 0.87)
8
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price decreased by a small amount.
History Title
08-04 21:371.77 / 3.74 / 3.99Opening
08-06 12:401.71 / 3.80 / 4.33Away Odds Up
08-07 15:111.69 / 3.79 / 4.56Away Odds Up
08-08 00:481.65 / 3.90 / 4.76No Change
Timeline Title
08-04 21:37 Opening
1.77 / 3.74 / 3.99
08-06 12:40
1.71 / 3.80 / 4.33
08-07 15:11
1.69 / 3.79 / 4.56
08-08 00:48 Latest
1.65 / 3.90 / 4.76
8
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
2
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved up by a small amount.
History Title
08-04 21:3752.2% / 24.7% / 23.1%Opening
08-08 00:4856.5% / 23.9% / 19.6%No Change
Timeline Title
08-04 21:37 Opening
52.17%
08-08 00:48 Latest
56.51%
8
Record Count
0
Change Count
+4.34%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.95%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
08-08 00:48
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.55 points (23.14% to 19.59%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-08 00:48
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.34 points (52.17% to 56.51%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-08 00:48
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 3.99 to 4.76 (+19.3%) - market cautious on away.
08-08 00:48
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 1.77 to 1.65 (-6.8%) - market backing home.
08-08 00:48
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap 0.5 to 0.5/1, +1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward home side.
08-07 23:26
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.46 points (23.14% to 19.68%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 23:26
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.91 points (52.17% to 56.08%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 23:26
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 3.99 to 4.73 (+18.6%) - market cautious on away.
08-07 23:26
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 1.77 to 1.66 (-6.2%) - market backing home.
08-07 21:58
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.47 points (23.14% to 19.67%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 21:58
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.87 points (52.17% to 56.04%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 21:58
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U 2.5/3 to 2.5, -0.25 goals - goal expectation falling.
08-07 18:41
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.54 points (23.14% to 19.6%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 18:41
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.92 points (52.17% to 56.09%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 18:41
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 3.99 to 4.75 (+19.1%) - market cautious on away.
08-07 15:11
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.74 points (23.14% to 20.4%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 15:11
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.88 points (52.17% to 55.05%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 15:11
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose 3.99 to 4.56 (+14.3%) - market cautious on away.
08-07 15:11
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Home win odds dropped 1.77 to 1.69 (-4.5%) - market backing home.
08-06 12:40
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.03 points (52.17% to 54.2%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-06 12:40
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 3.99 to 4.33 (+8.5%) - market cautious on away.
08-06 12:40
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Home win odds dropped 1.77 to 1.71 (-3.4%) - market backing home.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-04 21:37
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-06 12:40
Handicap Up LineHandicap
08-06 12:40
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
08-07 15:11
Over Under Down LineOver Under
08-07 15:11
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
08-07 23:26
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
8
Total Records
5Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status · Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-04
08-05
08-06
08-07
08-08