EFL Championship

Middlesbrough FC vs Lincoln City Odds Movement Analysis | EFL Championship | 168 Tips

Middlesbrough FCMiddlesbrough FC
VS
Lincoln City
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-15 19:45:28
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 1.03 -1.25 0.86
Over Under 0.99 2.5/3 0.88
Europe 1.40 | 4.67 | 7.44
Probability 67.2% | 20.1% | 12.7%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
The core directional markets are aligned toward the away side. Evidence Label: 1.31 → 1.4
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★☆☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down-1.5 → -1.252026-08-15 19:45:28★☆☆☆☆Home price up1.31 → 1.42026-08-15 19:45:28★★★☆☆Home win prob. down70.6 → 67.212026-08-15 19:45:28★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-15 19:45:28

Key Movements Title

5
08-15 16:05Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-15 19:45Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-15 17:15Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-15 14:47Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-15 18:25Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small downward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
08-09 15:360.95 -1.5 0.87Opening
08-15 14:470.99 -1.25 0.90Down Line
08-15 19:451.03 -1.25 0.86No Change
Timeline Title
08-09 15:36 Opening
-1.5
08-15 14:47
-1.25
08-15 19:45 Latest
-1.25
13
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe main total line was stable, with a change in the Under-side water.
History Title
08-09 15:360.80 2.5/3 1.00Opening
08-15 19:450.99 2.5/3 0.88No Change
Timeline Title
08-09 15:36 Opening
2.5/3（0.80 / 1.00）
08-15 19:45 Latest
2.5/3（0.99 / 0.88）
13
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA small upward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
08-09 15:361.31 / 5.03 / 8.40Opening
08-15 14:471.39 / 4.69 / 7.45Away Odds Down
08-15 19:451.40 / 4.67 / 7.44No Change
Timeline Title
08-09 15:36 Opening
1.31 / 5.03 / 8.40
08-15 14:47
1.39 / 4.69 / 7.45
08-15 19:45 Latest
1.40 / 4.67 / 7.44
13
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability decreased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
08-09 15:3670.6% / 18.4% / 11.0%Opening
08-15 14:4767.4% / 20.0% / 12.6%Home Prob Down
08-15 19:4567.2% / 20.1% / 12.7%No Change
Timeline Title
08-09 15:36 Opening
70.60%
08-15 14:47
67.43%
08-15 19:45 Latest
67.21%
13
Record Count
1
Change Count
-3.39%
Home Prob Cumulative
±3.13%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
08-15 19:45
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.39 points (70.6% to 67.21%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 19:45
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped 8.4 to 7.44 (-11.4%) - market backing away.
08-15 19:45
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 1.31 to 1.4 (+6.9%) - market cautious on home.
08-15 19:45
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap 0.5 to 0.5/1, -1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward away side.
08-15 18:25
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.11 points (70.6% to 67.49%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 18:25
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped 8.4 to 7.5 (-10.7%) - market backing away.
08-15 18:25
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 1.31 to 1.39 (+6.1%) - market cautious on home.
08-15 17:15
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.32 points (70.6% to 67.28%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 17:15
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped 8.4 to 7.45 (-11.3%) - market backing away.
08-15 17:15
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 1.31 to 1.4 (+6.9%) - market cautious on home.
08-15 16:05
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.41 points (70.6% to 67.19%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 16:05
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped 8.4 to 7.4 (-11.9%) - market backing away.
08-15 14:47
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.17 points (70.6% to 67.43%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 14:47
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped 8.4 to 7.45 (-11.3%) - market backing away.
08-15 14:47
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 1.31 to 1.39 (+6.1%) - market cautious on home.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-09 15:36
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-15 14:47
Handicap Down LineHandicap
08-15 14:47
Europe Away Odds DownEurope
08-15 14:47
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob DownProbability

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
13
Total Records
7Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-09
08-10
08-11
08-12
08-13
08-14
08-15
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