Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United FC Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Champions League | 168 Tips

UEFA Champions League 2026-10-14 03:00
Atlético MadridAtlético Madrid
VS
Manchester United FCManchester United FC
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-13 18:27:25
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.83 -0.5 1.06
Over Under 0.84 2.5/3 1.05
Europe 1.91 | 3.84 | 3.72
Probability 49.7% | 24.7% | 25.5%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
The core directional markets are aligned toward the home side. Evidence Label: 2.19 → 1.93
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★☆☆☆☆🟢 Home price down ★★★★☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★★☆☆🔴 Total down ★★★☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap up-0.25 → -0.52026-10-13 17:44:23★☆☆☆☆Home price down2.19 → 1.932026-10-13 17:44:23★★★★☆Home win prob. up42.92 → 49.22026-10-13 17:44:23★★★☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total down3/3.5 → 2.5/32026-10-13 17:44:23★★★☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-13 18:27:25

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Key Movements Title

5
10-13 17:44Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-13 15:24Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-13 14:23Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-13 10:57Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-13 07:58Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line moved upward by one tier from the prior observation.
History Title
10-06 06:470.94 -0.25 0.94Opening
10-11 01:021.01 -0.5 0.87Up Line
10-13 18:270.83 -0.5 1.06No Change
0.830.951.0611936Home WaterAway Water-0.5
Timeline Title
10-06 06:47 Opening
-0.25
10-11 01:02
-0.5
10-13 18:27 Latest
-0.5
36
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved notably lower.
History Title
10-06 06:471.00 3/3.5 0.88Opening
10-13 06:290.97 3 0.91Down Line
10-13 07:580.86 2.5/3 1.02Down Line
10-13 18:270.84 2.5/3 1.05No Change
0.800.941.0811936OverUnder2.5/3
Timeline Title
10-06 06:47 Opening
3/3.5（1.00 / 0.88）
10-13 06:29
3（0.97 / 0.91）
10-13 07:58
2.5/3（0.86 / 1.02）
10-13 18:27 Latest
2.5/3（0.84 / 1.05）
36
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price decreased by a moderate amount.
History Title
10-06 06:472.19 / 3.76 / 2.93Opening
10-11 01:022.01 / 3.83 / 3.31Away Odds Up
10-13 18:271.91 / 3.84 / 3.72No Change
1.912.903.8811936HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-06 06:47 Opening
2.19 / 3.76 / 2.93
10-11 01:02
2.01 / 3.83 / 3.31
10-13 18:27 Latest
1.91 / 3.84 / 3.72
36
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved up by a moderate amount.
History Title
10-06 06:4742.9% / 25.0% / 32.1%Opening
10-13 18:2749.7% / 24.7% / 25.5%No Change
24.437.049.711936Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-06 06:47 Opening
42.92%
10-13 18:27 Latest
49.73%
36
Record Count
0
Change Count
+6.81%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.09%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-13 17:44
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 6.14 points to 25.94% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 17:44
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.28 points to 49.2% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 17:44
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.93 to 3.66 (+24.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 17:44
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.19 to 1.93 (-11.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 17:44
🔴Total down★★★☆☆
O/U line moved from 3/3.5 to 2.5/3, down 0.5 goals from opening - goal expectation contracting.
10-13 17:44
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0/0.5 to 0.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-13 15:24
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 6.08 points to 26.0% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 15:24
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.24 points to 49.16% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 15:24
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.93 to 3.65 (+24.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 14:23
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.79 points to 26.29% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 14:23
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.01 points to 48.93% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 14:23
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.93 to 3.61 (+23.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 14:23
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.19 to 1.94 (-11.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 13:06
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.8 points to 26.28% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 13:06
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.97 points to 48.89% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 10:57
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.52 points to 26.56% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 10:57
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.7 points to 48.62% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 10:57
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.93 to 3.57 (+21.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 10:57
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.19 to 1.95 (-11.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 07:58
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.39 points to 26.69% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 07:58
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.66 points to 48.58% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 07:58
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.93 to 3.55 (+21.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 06:29
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.25 points to 26.83% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 06:29
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.65 points to 48.57% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 06:29
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.93 to 3.53 (+20.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 06:29
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3/3.5 to 3, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-13 05:13
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.16 points to 26.92% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 05:13
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.67 points to 48.59% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 05:13
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.93 to 3.52 (+20.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 03:50
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.27 points to 26.81% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 03:50
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.87 points to 48.79% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 03:50
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.93 to 3.53 (+20.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 03:50
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.19 to 1.94 (-11.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-12 22:26
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.21 points to 26.87% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-12 22:26
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.83 points to 48.75% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-12 22:26
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.93 to 3.52 (+20.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-12 21:09
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.09 points to 26.99% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-12 21:09
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.67 points to 48.59% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-12 21:09
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.93 to 3.51 (+19.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-12 21:09
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.19 to 1.95 (-11.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-12 19:44
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.03 points to 27.05% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-12 19:44
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.63 points to 48.55% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-12 19:44
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.93 to 3.5 (+19.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-12 18:16
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.05 points to 27.03% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-12 18:16
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.6 points to 48.52% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-12 14:06
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.92 points to 27.16% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-12 14:06
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.55 points to 48.47% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-12 14:06
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.93 to 3.48 (+18.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-12 10:21
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.97 points to 27.11% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-12 10:21
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.59 points to 48.51% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-12 10:21
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.93 to 3.49 (+19.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-12 06:26
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.83 points to 27.25% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-12 06:26
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.33 points to 48.25% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-12 06:26
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.19 to 1.96 (-10.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-12 06:26
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.93 to 3.47 (+18.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-12 03:10
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.88 points to 27.2% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-12 03:10
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.49 points to 48.41% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-12 03:10
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.19 to 1.95 (-11.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-11 22:24
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.81 points to 27.27% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 22:24
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.36 points to 48.28% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 22:24
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.19 to 1.96 (-10.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-11 19:07
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.75 points to 27.33% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 19:07
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.32 points to 48.24% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 19:07
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.93 to 3.46 (+18.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-11 10:28
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.85 points to 28.23% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 10:28
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.23 points to 47.15% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 10:28
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.93 to 3.34 (+14.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-11 10:28
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.19 to 2.0 (-8.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-11 01:02
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.6 points to 28.48% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 01:02
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.98 points to 46.9% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 01:02
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.93 to 3.31 (+13.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-11 01:02
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.19 to 2.01 (-8.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-10 15:17
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.93 to 3.12 (+6.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-10 15:17
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.19 to 2.1 (-4.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-09 23:08
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.93 to 3.1 (+5.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-09 08:49
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.93 to 3.09 (+5.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-09 08:49
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.19 to 2.11 (-3.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-08 21:38
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.93 to 3.07 (+4.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-08 11:11
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.93 to 3.03 (+3.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-06 06:47
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-11 01:02
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-11 01:02
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
10-13 06:29
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-13 07:58
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
36
Total Records
8Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-07
10-08
10-09
10-10
10-11
10-12
10-13
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