Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück Odds Movement Analysis | 2. Bundesliga | 168 Tips

2. Bundesliga 2026-10-18 19:30
Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld
VS
VfL OsnabrückVfL Osnabrück
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-18 10:47:03
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.93 -0.5 0.96
Over Under 1.08 2.5/3 0.80
Europe 1.87 | 3.57 | 3.85
Probability 49.8% | 26.1% | 24.2%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 1.63 → 1.87
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★★☆☆🔴 Total down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down-0.75 → -0.52026-10-18 09:18:19★☆☆☆☆Home price up1.63 → 1.872026-10-18 09:18:19★★★★☆Home win prob. down56.72 → 49.862026-10-18 09:18:19★★★☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total down3 → 2.52026-10-18 09:18:19★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-18 10:47:03

💡 168 Tips Insight

PREMIUM
🔒
Premium Preview
In-depth market analysis & final prediction — coming soon.

Key Movements Title

5
10-18 09:18Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-18 07:44Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-18 09:18Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-18 05:49Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-18 05:49Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved down one step from the previous observation.
History Title
10-12 04:540.87 -0.75 1.01Opening
10-15 05:590.83 -0.75 0.82home_water_down
10-15 15:340.98 -0.75 0.90Home Water Up
10-18 04:520.86 -0.5 1.03Down Line
10-18 10:470.93 -0.5 0.96No Change
0.820.931.0311426Home WaterAway Water-0.5
Timeline Title
10-12 04:54 Opening
-0.75
10-15 05:59
-0.75
10-15 15:34
-0.75
10-18 04:52
-0.5
10-18 10:47 Latest
-0.5
26
Record Count
3
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleA small downward change in the total-goals line was recorded.
History Title
10-12 04:540.88 3 0.98Opening
10-15 05:591.07 3/3.5 0.71Up Line
10-15 15:340.96 3 0.91Down Line
10-18 04:520.88 2.5/3 1.00Down Line
10-18 07:440.85 2.5 1.03Down Line
10-18 10:471.08 2.5/3 0.80Up Line
0.710.901.0811426OverUnder2.5/3
Timeline Title
10-12 04:54 Opening
3（0.88 / 0.98）
10-15 05:59
3/3.5（1.07 / 0.71）
10-15 15:34
3（0.96 / 0.91）
10-18 04:52
2.5/3（0.88 / 1.00）
10-18 07:44
2.5（0.85 / 1.03）
10-18 10:47
2.5/3（1.08 / 0.80）
10-18 10:47 Latest
2.5/3（1.08 / 0.80）
26
Record Count
5
Change Count
2
Up Count
3
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA noticeable upward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
10-12 04:541.63 / 4.09 / 4.47Opening
10-12 15:251.69 / 3.92 / 4.22Away Odds Down
10-18 10:471.87 / 3.57 / 3.85No Change
1.633.054.4711426HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-12 04:54 Opening
1.63 / 4.09 / 4.47
10-12 15:25
1.69 / 3.92 / 4.22
10-18 10:47 Latest
1.87 / 3.57 / 3.85
26
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved down by a moderate amount.
History Title
10-12 04:5456.7% / 22.6% / 20.7%Opening
10-18 10:4749.8% / 26.1% / 24.2%No Change
20.738.756.711426Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-12 04:54 Opening
56.72%
10-18 10:47 Latest
49.76%
26
Record Count
0
Change Count
-6.96%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.12%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-18 09:18
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.41 points to 24.09% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 09:18
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 6.86 points to 49.86% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 09:18
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.63 to 1.87 (+14.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 09:18
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.47 to 3.87 (-13.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 09:18
🔴Total down★★★☆☆
O/U line moved from 3 to 2.5, down 0.5 goals from opening - goal expectation contracting.
10-18 09:18
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0.5/1 to 0.5, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-18 07:44
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.38 points to 24.06% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 07:44
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 6.65 points to 50.07% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 07:44
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.63 to 1.86 (+14.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 05:49
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.76 points to 23.44% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 05:49
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.17 points to 51.55% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 05:49
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.47 to 3.98 (-11.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 05:49
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.63 to 1.81 (+11.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 05:49
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3 to 2.5/3, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-18 04:52
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.05 points to 22.73% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 04:52
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.78 points to 52.94% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 04:52
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.47 to 4.1 (-8.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 04:52
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.63 to 1.76 (+8.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 02:58
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.66 points to 54.06% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 02:58
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.47 to 4.22 (-5.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 02:58
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.63 to 1.72 (+5.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 22:02
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.69 points to 54.03% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 22:02
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.47 to 4.21 (-5.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 18:51
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.72 points to 54.0% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 15:06
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.75 points to 53.97% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 15:06
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.47 to 4.2 (-6.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 12:27
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.78 points to 53.94% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 12:27
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.47 to 4.19 (-6.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 04:07
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.93 points to 53.79% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 04:07
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.47 to 4.17 (-6.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 21:37
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.9 points to 53.82% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 17:57
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.69 points to 54.03% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 17:57
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.63 to 1.71 (+4.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 13:40
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.66 points to 54.06% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 13:40
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.47 to 4.18 (-6.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 00:23
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.69 points to 54.03% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 00:23
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.47 to 4.17 (-6.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 15:34
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.63 points to 54.09% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 15:34
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.47 to 4.18 (-6.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 05:59
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3 to 3/3.5, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-15 05:59
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.66 points to 54.06% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 11:14
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.3 points to 54.42% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 11:14
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.47 to 4.22 (-5.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 11:14
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.63 to 1.7 (+4.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 17:20
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.39 points to 54.33% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 17:20
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.47 to 4.19 (-6.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 08:55
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.36 points to 54.36% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 08:55
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.47 to 4.21 (-5.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 00:35
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.33 points to 54.39% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-12 15:25
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.12 points to 54.6% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-12 15:25
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.47 to 4.22 (-5.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-12 15:25
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.63 to 1.69 (+3.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-12 04:54
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-12 15:25
Europe Away Odds DownEurope
10-15 05:59
Handicap home_water_downHandicap
10-15 05:59
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-15 15:34
Handicap Home Water UpHandicap
10-15 15:34
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-18 04:52
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-18 04:52
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-18 07:44
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-18 10:47
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
5
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
26
Total Records
7Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-12
10-13
10-14
10-15
10-16
10-17
10-18
Partners
Stake 🔥 Bet on this match at Stake — fast payouts, crypto accepted → BetWinner ⚡ Great odds on BetWinner — register now and claim your bonus → 1xBet 🎯 1xBet — widest market coverage, bet now →
Share This Match
𝕏 X / Twitter ✈ Telegram
Related Title
Karlsruher SC VS SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga SG Dynamo Dresden VS 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga Iwaki FC VS Ventforet KofuJ2 League Fagiano Okayama VS Vissel KobeJ1 League Daejeon Hana Citizen VS Gwangju FCK League 1