Sporting de Gijón vs Celta Vigo B Odds Movement Analysis | Segunda División | 168 Tips

Segunda División
Sporting de GijónSporting de Gijón
VS
Celta Vigo BCelta Vigo B
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-04 13:36:30
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 1.04 -0.75 0.85
Over Under 1.03 2.5 0.84
Europe 1.69 | 3.66 | 4.80
Probability 55.1% | 25.5% | 19.4%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Three core directional markets show the same away-side direction. Evidence Label: 1.53 → 1.67
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★★☆☆🔴 Total down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down-1 → -0.752026-10-04 12:51:51★☆☆☆☆Home price up1.53 → 1.672026-10-04 12:51:51★★★★☆Home win prob. down60.27 → 55.682026-10-04 12:51:51★★★☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total down2.5/3 → 2.52026-10-04 12:51:51★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-04 13:36:30

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Key Movements Title

5
10-04 12:51Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-04 12:11Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-04 12:51Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-04 10:38Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-04 11:17Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved down one step from the previous observation.
History Title
09-28 02:570.96 -1 0.92Opening
10-01 07:081.14 -1.25 0.65Up Line
10-01 19:210.96 -1 0.92Down Line
10-04 06:310.82 -0.75 1.07Down Line
10-04 13:361.04 -0.75 0.85No Change
0.650.901.1411222Home WaterAway Water-0.75
Timeline Title
09-28 02:57 Opening
-1
10-01 07:08
-1.25
10-01 19:21
-1
10-04 06:31
-0.75
10-04 13:36 Latest
-0.75
22
Record Count
3
Change Count
1
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved down slightly from the previous observation.
History Title
09-28 02:571.01 2.5/3 0.86Opening
10-04 06:310.92 2.5 0.95Down Line
10-04 13:361.03 2.5 0.84No Change
0.840.941.0311222OverUnder2.5
Timeline Title
09-28 02:57 Opening
2.5/3（1.01 / 0.86）
10-04 06:31
2.5（0.92 / 0.95）
10-04 13:36 Latest
2.5（1.03 / 0.84）
22
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved up noticeably from the opening observation.
History Title
09-28 02:571.53 / 4.06 / 5.42Opening
10-04 13:361.69 / 3.66 / 4.80No Change
1.533.505.4611222HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-28 02:57 Opening
1.53 / 4.06 / 5.42
10-04 13:36 Latest
1.69 / 3.66 / 4.80
22
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
No Change

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA small downward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
09-28 02:5760.3% / 22.7% / 17.0%Opening
10-04 13:3655.1% / 25.5% / 19.4%No Change
17.038.660.311222Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-28 02:57 Opening
60.27%
10-04 13:36 Latest
55.13%
22
Record Count
0
Change Count
-5.14%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.02%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-04 12:51
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.04 points to 19.05% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 12:51
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.59 points to 55.68% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 12:51
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.42 to 4.88 (-10.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-04 12:51
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.53 to 1.67 (+9.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 12:51
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5/3 to 2.5, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-04 12:51
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1 to 0.5/1, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-04 12:11
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.28 points to 55.99% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 12:11
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.42 to 4.92 (-9.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-04 12:11
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.53 to 1.66 (+8.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 11:17
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.99 points to 56.28% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 11:17
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.42 to 4.95 (-8.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-04 11:17
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.53 to 1.65 (+7.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 10:38
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.16 points to 56.11% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 10:38
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.53 to 1.66 (+8.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 10:38
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.42 to 4.94 (-8.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-04 09:25
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.98 points to 56.29% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 09:25
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.53 to 1.65 (+7.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 08:17
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.59 points to 56.68% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-04 08:17
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 5.42 to 5.0 (-7.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-04 08:17
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.53 to 1.64 (+7.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-04 06:31
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.53 to 1.58 (+3.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 07:08
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1 to 1/1.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-28 02:57
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-01 07:08
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-01 19:21
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-04 06:31
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-04 06:31
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
0
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
22
Total Records
7Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-28
09-29
09-30
10-01
10-02
10-03
10-04
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