UD Almería vs Burgos CF Odds Movement Analysis | Segunda División | 168 Tips

Segunda División
UD AlmeríaUD Almería
VS
Burgos CFBurgos CF
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-03 18:18:21
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 7.69 -0.25 0.01
Over Under 7.69 3.5 0.01
Europe 1.54 | 4.00 | 5.69
Probability 60.4% | 23.2% | 16.4%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Conflicted
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Core directional signals are split between Implied Probability and Handicap. Evidence Label: 56.78 → 59.3
Market State Agreement
Conflicting
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
1
Market Signals Title
🟢 Home win prob. up ★★☆☆☆
Conflict Neutral Note
Conflicting Signals Title
Home win prob. up56.78 → 59.32026-10-03 10:46:04★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★☆☆☆ Signals are split across markets. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-03 18:18:21

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Key Movements Title

5
10-03 10:46Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-03 07:14Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line09-29 08:32Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-02 21:47Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-03 04:06Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line declined two tiers from the opening position.
History Title
09-28 07:140.79 -0.75 1.09Opening
10-02 21:471.04 -1 0.84Up Line
10-03 18:187.69 -0.25 0.01Down Line
0.013.857.691815Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
09-28 07:14 Opening
-0.75
10-02 21:47
-1
10-03 18:18
-0.25
10-03 18:18 Latest
-0.25
15
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleA larger upward change in the total-goals line was recorded.
History Title
09-28 07:141.02 2.5 0.85Opening
10-03 18:187.69 3.5 0.01Up Line
0.013.857.691815OverUnder3.5
Timeline Title
09-28 07:14 Opening
2.5（1.02 / 0.85）
10-03 18:18
3.5（7.69 / 0.01）
10-03 18:18 Latest
3.5（7.69 / 0.01）
15
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleNo significant 1X2 price movement recorded yet.
History Title
09-28 07:141.62 / 3.71 / 4.99Opening
09-29 08:321.56 / 3.82 / 5.48Away Odds Up
09-29 21:031.60 / 3.78 / 5.13Away Odds Down
10-03 18:181.54 / 4.00 / 5.69No Change
1.543.625.691815HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-28 07:14 Opening
1.62 / 3.71 / 4.99
09-29 08:32
1.56 / 3.82 / 5.48
09-29 21:03
1.60 / 3.78 / 5.13
10-03 18:18 Latest
1.54 / 4.00 / 5.69
15
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
2
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability increased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
09-28 07:1456.8% / 24.8% / 18.4%Opening
10-03 18:1860.4% / 23.2% / 16.4%No Change
16.438.460.41815Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-28 07:14 Opening
56.78%
10-03 18:18 Latest
60.40%
15
Record Count
0
Change Count
+3.62%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.46%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-03 10:46
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.52 points to 59.3% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 10:46
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.99 to 5.53 (+10.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 10:46
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.62 to 1.57 (-3.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-03 10:46
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0.5/1 to 1, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-03 07:14
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.42 points to 59.2% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 07:14
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.99 to 5.48 (+9.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 04:06
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.99 to 5.35 (+7.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 21:47
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.99 to 5.38 (+7.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 09:36
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.99 to 5.19 (+4.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 21:30
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.99 to 5.2 (+4.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-01 09:28
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.99 to 5.14 (+3.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 08:32
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.29 points to 59.07% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-29 08:32
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.99 to 5.48 (+9.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-29 08:32
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.62 to 1.56 (-3.7%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-28 07:14
Opening RecordOpening Short
09-29 08:32
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
09-29 21:03
Europe Away Odds DownEurope
10-02 21:47
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-03 18:18
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-03 18:18
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
15
Total Records
6Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-28
09-29
09-30
10-01
10-02
10-03
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