Club Atlético Boca Juniors vs Club Atlético Unión Odds Movement Analysis | Argentine Primera División | 168 Tips

Argentine Primera División
Club Atlético Boca JuniorsClub Atlético Boca Juniors
VS
Club Atlético UniónClub Atlético Unión
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-03 02:36:42
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 7.14 -0.25 0.02
Over Under 7.14 3.5 0.02
Europe 1.43 | 4.33 | 7.32
Probability 65.5% | 21.6% | 12.8%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Conflicted
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
European Odds, Implied Probability indicate movement toward the home side, while Handicap indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 1.57 → 1.43
Market State Agreement
Conflicting
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🟢 Home price down ★★★☆☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★★☆☆🟢 Total up ★★★★★
Conflict Neutral Note
Conflicting Signals Title
Home price down1.57 → 1.432026-10-03 00:36:33★★★☆☆Home win prob. up59.09 → 65.552026-10-03 00:36:33★★★☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total up2/2.5 → 2.52026-10-03 00:36:33★★★★★
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Signals are split across markets. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-03 02:36:42

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Key Movements Title

5
10-03 00:36Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-02 21:00Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-02 17:49Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-02 14:45Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-03 00:36Home price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe observed handicap moved materially lower than the opening position.
History Title
09-28 07:121.07 -1 0.81Opening
10-02 14:450.80 -1 1.09home_water_down
10-02 21:001.04 -1.25 0.85Up Line
10-03 00:360.84 -1 1.04Down Line
10-03 02:367.14 -0.25 0.02Down Line
0.023.587.141815Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
09-28 07:12 Opening
-1
10-02 14:45
-1
10-02 21:00
-1.25
10-03 00:36
-1
10-03 02:36
-0.25
10-03 02:36 Latest
-0.25
15
Record Count
4
Change Count
1
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved notably higher.
History Title
09-28 07:120.89 2/2.5 0.98Opening
10-02 14:450.93 2.5 0.94Up Line
10-03 00:361.01 2.5 0.85Under Water Down
10-03 02:367.14 3.5 0.02Up Line
0.023.587.141815OverUnder3.5
Timeline Title
09-28 07:12 Opening
2/2.5（0.89 / 0.98）
10-02 14:45
2.5（0.93 / 0.94）
10-03 00:36
2.5（1.01 / 0.85）
10-03 02:36
3.5（7.14 / 0.02）
10-03 02:36 Latest
3.5（7.14 / 0.02）
15
Record Count
3
Change Count
2
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price decreased by a small amount.
History Title
09-28 07:121.57 / 3.74 / 5.76Opening
10-02 14:451.47 / 4.13 / 6.78Away Odds Up
10-03 00:361.43 / 4.33 / 7.32Away Odds Up
10-03 02:361.43 / 4.33 / 7.32No Change
1.434.387.321815HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-28 07:12 Opening
1.57 / 3.74 / 5.76
10-02 14:45
1.47 / 4.13 / 6.78
10-03 00:36
1.43 / 4.33 / 7.32
10-03 02:36 Latest
1.43 / 4.33 / 7.32
15
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
2
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved up by a moderate amount.
History Title
09-28 07:1259.1% / 24.8% / 16.1%Opening
10-02 14:4563.6% / 22.6% / 13.8%Home Prob Up
10-03 02:3665.5% / 21.6% / 12.8%No Change
12.839.265.51815Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-28 07:12 Opening
59.09%
10-02 14:45
63.58%
10-03 02:36 Latest
65.55%
15
Record Count
1
Change Count
+6.46%
Home Prob Cumulative
±3.00%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
10-03 00:36
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.3 points to 12.81% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 00:36
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.46 points to 65.55% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 00:36
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.76 to 7.32 (+27.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 00:36
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.57 to 1.43 (-8.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-03 00:36
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2/2.5 to 2.5, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-02 21:00
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.64 points to 13.47% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 21:00
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.27 points to 64.36% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 21:00
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.76 to 6.93 (+20.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 21:00
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.57 to 1.45 (-7.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-02 21:00
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1 to 1/1.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-02 17:49
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.41 points to 13.7% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 17:49
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.64 points to 63.73% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 17:49
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.76 to 6.84 (+18.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 17:49
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.57 to 1.47 (-6.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-02 14:45
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.32 points to 13.79% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 14:45
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.49 points to 63.58% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 14:45
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.76 to 6.78 (+17.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 11:34
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.76 to 6.14 (+6.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 08:33
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.76 to 6.13 (+6.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 01:32
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 5.76 to 6.05 (+5.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-28 07:12
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-02 14:45
Handicap home_water_downHandicap
10-02 14:45
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-02 14:45
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
10-02 14:45
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob UpProbability
10-02 21:00
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-03 00:36
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-03 00:36
Over Under Under Water DownOver Under
10-03 00:36
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
10-03 02:36
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-03 02:36
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

4
Handicap Changes
3
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
15
Total Records
6Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-28
09-29
09-30
10-01
10-02
10-03
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