Lillestrøm SK vs Molde FK Odds Movement Analysis | Eliteserien | 168 Tips

Eliteserien 2026-10-12 01:15
Lillestrøm SKLillestrøm SK
VS
Molde FKMolde FK
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-11 16:36:47
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 1.07 -0.25 0.82
Over Under 0.98 3.5 0.90
Europe 2.47 | 3.84 | 2.44
Probability 37.7% | 24.2% | 38.1%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the home side. Evidence Label: 2.91 → 2.54
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★★☆☆☆🟢 Home price down ★★★★★🟢 Home win prob. up ★★★☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap up+0.25 → 02026-10-11 14:46:21★★☆☆☆Home price down2.91 → 2.542026-10-11 14:46:21★★★★★Home win prob. up31.54 → 36.592026-10-11 14:46:21★★★☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★★ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-11 16:36:47

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Key Movements Title

5
10-11 14:46Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-11 12:24Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-11 14:46Home price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-11 12:24Home price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-11 09:54Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleTwo upward handicap changes were recorded over the observed period.
History Title
10-04 08:520.96 +0.25 0.92Opening
10-11 09:541.04 0 0.85Up Line
10-11 16:361.07 -0.25 0.82Up Line
0.790.931.0711324Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
10-04 08:52 Opening
+0.25
10-11 09:54
0
10-11 16:36
-0.25
10-11 16:36 Latest
-0.25
24
Record Count
2
Change Count
2
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-04 08:520.98 3.5 0.89Opening
10-11 16:360.98 3.5 0.90No Change
0.870.941.0111324OverUnder3.5
Timeline Title
10-04 08:52 Opening
3.5（0.98 / 0.89）
10-11 16:36 Latest
3.5（0.98 / 0.90）
24
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA large downward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
10-04 08:522.91 / 3.84 / 2.06Opening
10-11 07:312.73 / 3.84 / 2.21Home Odds Down
10-11 16:362.47 / 3.84 / 2.44No Change
2.062.963.8711324HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-04 08:52 Opening
2.91 / 3.84 / 2.06
10-11 07:31
2.73 / 3.84 / 2.21
10-11 16:36 Latest
2.47 / 3.84 / 2.44
24
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved up by a moderate amount.
History Title
10-04 08:5231.5% / 23.9% / 44.6%Opening
10-11 16:3637.7% / 24.2% / 38.1%No Change
23.934.444.911324Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-04 08:52 Opening
31.54%
10-11 16:36 Latest
37.66%
24
Record Count
0
Change Count
+6.12%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.78%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-11 14:46
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.35 points to 39.21% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 14:46
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.05 points to 36.59% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 14:46
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.06 to 2.37 (+15.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-11 14:46
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.91 to 2.54 (-12.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-11 14:46
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0/0.5 to 0, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-11 12:24
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.88 points to 39.68% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 12:24
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.59 points to 36.13% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 12:24
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.06 to 2.34 (+13.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-11 12:24
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.91 to 2.57 (-11.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-11 09:54
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.65 points to 40.91% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 09:54
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.37 points to 34.91% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 09:54
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.06 to 2.27 (+10.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-11 09:54
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.91 to 2.66 (-8.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-11 07:31
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.63 points to 41.93% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 07:31
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.4 points to 33.94% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 07:31
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.06 to 2.21 (+7.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-11 07:31
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.91 to 2.73 (-6.2%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-04 08:52
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-11 07:31
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
10-11 09:54
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-11 16:36
Handicap Up LineHandicap

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
24
Total Records
8Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-04
10-05
10-06
10-08
10-09
10-10
10-11
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