Manchester City FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Champions League | 168 Tips

UEFA Champions League 2026-10-15 03:00
Manchester City FCManchester City FC
VS
Paris Saint-Germain FCParis Saint-Germain FC
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-14 18:25:10
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.94 -0.5 0.95
Over Under 1.02 3.5 0.87
Europe 2.00 | 4.06 | 3.28
Probability 47.6% | 23.4% | 29.0%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
The core directional markets are aligned toward the home side. Evidence Label: 2.26 → 2.02
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★☆☆☆☆🟢 Home price down ★★★★☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★★☆☆🟢 Total up ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap up-0.25 → -0.52026-10-14 17:41:02★☆☆☆☆Home price down2.26 → 2.022026-10-14 17:41:02★★★★☆Home win prob. up41.57 → 46.982026-10-14 17:41:02★★★☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total up3/3.5 → 3.52026-10-14 17:41:02★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-14 18:25:10

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Key Movements Title

5
10-14 12:58Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-14 16:47Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-14 11:51Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-14 17:41Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-14 15:19Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small upward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
10-07 04:151.01 -0.25 0.87Opening
10-14 07:071.03 -0.5 0.86Up Line
10-14 09:000.84 -0.25 1.05Down Line
10-14 10:451.02 -0.5 0.87Up Line
10-14 18:250.94 -0.5 0.95No Change
0.830.951.0611936Home WaterAway Water-0.5
Timeline Title
10-07 04:15 Opening
-0.25
10-14 07:07
-0.5
10-14 09:00
-0.25
10-14 10:45
-0.5
10-14 18:25 Latest
-0.5
36
Record Count
3
Change Count
2
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved up slightly from the previous observation.
History Title
10-07 04:150.85 3/3.5 1.03Opening
10-14 14:030.99 3.5 0.89Up Line
10-14 18:251.02 3.5 0.87No Change
0.830.941.0511936OverUnder3.5
Timeline Title
10-07 04:15 Opening
3/3.5（0.85 / 1.03）
10-14 14:03
3.5（0.99 / 0.89）
10-14 18:25 Latest
3.5（1.02 / 0.87）
36
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA noticeable downward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
10-07 04:152.26 / 3.87 / 2.75Opening
10-14 05:352.08 / 3.97 / 3.10Away Odds Up
10-14 18:252.00 / 4.06 / 3.28No Change
2.003.034.0611936HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-07 04:15 Opening
2.26 / 3.87 / 2.75
10-14 05:35
2.08 / 3.97 / 3.10
10-14 18:25 Latest
2.00 / 4.06 / 3.28
36
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability increased noticeably from the opening observation.
History Title
10-07 04:1541.6% / 24.3% / 34.2%Opening
10-14 18:2547.6% / 23.4% / 29.0%No Change
23.435.547.611936Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-07 04:15 Opening
41.57%
10-14 18:25 Latest
47.57%
36
Record Count
0
Change Count
+6.00%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.54%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-14 17:41
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.51 points to 29.65% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 17:41
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.41 points to 46.98% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 17:41
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.75 to 3.2 (+16.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 17:41
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.26 to 2.02 (-10.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 17:41
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3/3.5 to 3.5, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-14 17:41
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0/0.5 to 0.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-14 16:47
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.57 points to 29.59% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 16:47
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.45 points to 47.02% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 16:47
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.75 to 3.21 (+16.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 15:19
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.46 points to 29.7% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 15:19
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.02 points to 46.59% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 15:19
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.75 to 3.2 (+16.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 15:19
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.26 to 2.04 (-9.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 14:03
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.41 points to 29.75% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 14:03
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.95 points to 46.52% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 14:03
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.75 to 3.19 (+16.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 12:58
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.66 points to 29.5% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 12:58
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.0 points to 46.57% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 12:58
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.75 to 3.22 (+17.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 11:51
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.57 points to 29.59% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 11:51
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.98 points to 46.55% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 11:51
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.75 to 3.21 (+16.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 10:45
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.44 points to 29.72% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 10:45
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.82 points to 46.39% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 10:45
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 2.75 to 3.2 (+16.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 10:45
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.26 to 2.05 (-9.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 09:00
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.81 points to 30.35% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 09:00
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.1 points to 45.67% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 09:00
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.75 to 3.13 (+13.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 09:00
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.26 to 2.08 (-8.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 07:07
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.95 points to 30.21% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 07:07
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.26 points to 45.83% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 07:07
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.75 to 3.14 (+14.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 07:07
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.26 to 2.07 (-8.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 05:35
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.59 points to 30.57% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 05:35
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.99 points to 45.56% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 05:35
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.75 to 3.1 (+12.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 05:35
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.26 to 2.08 (-8.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 03:50
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.08 points to 32.08% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 03:50
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.45 points to 44.02% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 03:50
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.75 to 2.95 (+7.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 03:50
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.26 to 2.15 (-4.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 23:54
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.29 points to 43.86% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 23:54
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.75 to 2.94 (+6.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 23:54
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.26 to 2.16 (-4.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 22:41
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.27 points to 43.84% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 22:41
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.75 to 2.93 (+6.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 21:36
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.24 points to 43.81% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 17:47
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.16 points to 43.73% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 17:47
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.75 to 2.92 (+6.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 14:28
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.09 points to 43.66% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 14:28
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.75 to 2.91 (+5.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 11:01
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.75 to 2.9 (+5.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 11:01
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.26 to 2.17 (-4.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 07:11
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.75 to 2.89 (+5.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-12 20:31
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.26 to 2.18 (-3.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-12 16:46
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.26 to 2.17 (-4.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-12 06:35
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.75 to 2.84 (+3.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-07 04:15
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-14 05:35
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
10-14 07:07
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-14 09:00
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-14 10:45
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-14 14:03
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
36
Total Records
8Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-08
10-09
10-10
10-11
10-12
10-13
10-14
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