Leyton Orient FC vs Plymouth Argyle FC Odds Movement Analysis | EFL League One | 168 Tips

EFL League One
Leyton Orient FCLeyton Orient FC
VS
Plymouth Argyle FCPlymouth Argyle FC
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-03 18:37:17
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 6.25 -0.25 0.04
Over Under 5.88 2.5 0.03
Europe 2.97 | 3.58 | 2.18
Probability 31.3% | 26.0% | 42.7%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the home side. Evidence Label: 3.41 → 3.02
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★★★☆☆🟢 Home price down ★★★★☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap up+0.5 → +0.252026-10-03 12:20:22★★★☆☆Home price down3.41 → 3.022026-10-03 12:20:22★★★★☆Home win prob. up27.08 → 30.752026-10-03 12:20:22★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-03 18:37:17

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Key Movements Title

5
10-03 12:20Home price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-03 12:20Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-03 08:31Home price down★★☆☆☆Key Movement Line10-03 08:31Away price up★★☆☆☆Key Movement Line10-03 12:20Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA large upward handicap change was recorded from the opening line.
History Title
10-02 03:190.79 +0.5 1.03Opening
10-03 08:310.70 +0.5 1.21home_water_down
10-03 12:200.85 +0.25 1.03Up Line
10-03 18:376.25 -0.25 0.04Up Line
0.043.156.25158Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
10-02 03:19 Opening
+0.5
10-03 08:31
+0.5
10-03 12:20
+0.25
10-03 18:37
-0.25
10-03 18:37 Latest
-0.25
8
Record Count
3
Change Count
2
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleA small downward change in the total-goals line was recorded.
History Title
10-02 03:190.84 2.5/3 0.96Opening
10-03 05:110.99 3 0.87Up Line
10-03 08:310.88 2.5/3 0.98Down Line
10-03 18:375.88 2.5 0.03Down Line
0.032.965.88158OverUnder2.5
Timeline Title
10-02 03:19 Opening
2.5/3（0.84 / 0.96）
10-03 05:11
3（0.99 / 0.87）
10-03 08:31
2.5/3（0.88 / 0.98）
10-03 18:37
2.5（5.88 / 0.03）
10-03 18:37 Latest
2.5（5.88 / 0.03）
8
Record Count
3
Change Count
1
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved down noticeably from the opening observation.
History Title
10-02 03:193.41 / 3.58 / 1.96Opening
10-03 08:313.25 / 3.56 / 2.05Home Odds Down
10-03 12:203.02 / 3.51 / 2.17Home Odds Down
10-03 18:372.97 / 3.58 / 2.18No Change
1.952.803.65158HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-02 03:19 Opening
3.41 / 3.58 / 1.96
10-03 08:31
3.25 / 3.56 / 2.05
10-03 12:20
3.02 / 3.51 / 2.17
10-03 18:37 Latest
2.97 / 3.58 / 2.18
8
Record Count
2
Change Count
2
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability increased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
10-02 03:1927.1% / 25.8% / 47.1%Opening
10-03 18:3731.3% / 26.0% / 42.7%No Change
25.436.547.6158Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-02 03:19 Opening
27.08%
10-03 18:37 Latest
31.33%
8
Record Count
0
Change Count
+4.25%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.16%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-03 12:20
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.33 points to 42.79% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 12:20
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.67 points to 30.75% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 12:20
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.96 to 2.17 (+10.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 12:20
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.41 to 3.02 (-11.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-03 12:20
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -0.5 to 0/0.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-03 08:31
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.96 to 2.05 (+4.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 08:31
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.41 to 3.25 (-4.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-03 05:11
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5/3 to 3, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-02 03:19
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-03 05:11
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-03 08:31
Handicap home_water_downHandicap
10-03 08:31
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-03 08:31
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
10-03 12:20
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-03 12:20
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
10-03 18:37
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-03 18:37
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
3
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
8
Total Records
2Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-02
10-03
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