Belgian Pro League

KRC Genk vs Westerlo Odds Movement Analysis | Belgian Pro League | 168 Tips

KRC Genk
VS
Westerlo
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-16 00:09:13
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.83 -1.25 1.06
Over Under 0.92 3.5 0.95
Europe 1.45 | 4.70 | 6.23
Probability 64.9% | 20.0% | 15.1%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Three core directional markets show the same home-side direction. Evidence Label: 1.7 → 1.45
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-16 00:09:13

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved up two steps across the observed period.
History Title
08-11 12:440.92 -0.75 0.96Opening
08-15 12:061.01 -1 0.87Up Line
08-15 15:311.04 -1.25 0.85Up Line
08-16 00:090.83 -1.25 1.06home_water_down
Timeline Title
08-11 12:44 Opening
-0.75
08-15 12:06
-1
08-15 15:31
-1.25
08-16 00:09
-1.25
08-16 00:09 Latest
-1.25
7
Record Count
3
Change Count
2
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved to a higher level.
History Title
08-11 12:441.04 3/3.5 0.83Opening
08-16 00:090.92 3.5 0.95Up Line
Timeline Title
08-11 12:44 Opening
3/3.5(1.04 / 0.83)
08-16 00:09
3.5(0.92 / 0.95)
08-16 00:09 Latest
3.5(0.92 / 0.95)
7
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA noticeable downward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
08-11 12:441.70 / 3.91 / 4.31Opening
08-14 22:391.63 / 3.98 / 4.78Away Odds Up
08-15 15:311.53 / 4.27 / 5.50Home Odds Down
08-15 19:081.51 / 4.36 / 5.82Away Odds Up
08-16 00:091.45 / 4.70 / 6.23Away Odds Up
Timeline Title
08-11 12:44 Opening
1.70 / 3.91 / 4.31
08-14 22:39
1.63 / 3.98 / 4.78
08-15 15:31
1.53 / 4.27 / 5.50
08-15 19:08
1.51 / 4.36 / 5.82
08-16 00:09
1.45 / 4.70 / 6.23
08-16 00:09 Latest
1.45 / 4.70 / 6.23
7
Record Count
4
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
3
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability increased materially from the opening observation.
History Title
08-11 12:4454.7% / 23.8% / 21.6%Opening
08-15 15:3161.1% / 21.9% / 17.0%Home Prob Up
08-16 00:0964.9% / 20.0% / 15.1%No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:44 Opening
54.67%
08-15 15:31
61.11%
08-16 00:09 Latest
64.88%
7
Record Count
1
Change Count
+10.21%
Home Prob Cumulative
±4.05%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
08-16 00:09
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 6.46 points (21.56% to 15.1%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 00:09
🟢Home win prob. up★★★★☆
Home win probability increased by 10.21 points (54.67% to 64.88%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 00:09
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 4.31 to 6.23 (+44.5%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 00:09
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Home win odds dropped 1.7 to 1.45 (-14.7%) - market backing home.
08-16 00:09
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U 3/3.5 to 3.5, +0.25 goals - goal expectation rising.
08-16 00:09
🟢Handicap up★★☆☆☆
Handicap 0.5/1 to 0.5/1, +2 steps (0.5 goals) - home backing rising.
08-15 19:08
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.4 points (21.56% to 16.16%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 19:08
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 7.61 points (54.67% to 62.28%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 19:08
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 4.31 to 5.82 (+35.0%) - market cautious on away.
08-15 19:08
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Home win odds dropped 1.7 to 1.51 (-11.2%) - market backing home.
08-15 15:31
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.56 points (21.56% to 17.0%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 15:31
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.44 points (54.67% to 61.11%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 15:31
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 4.31 to 5.5 (+27.6%) - market cautious on away.
08-15 15:31
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Home win odds dropped 1.7 to 1.53 (-10.0%) - market backing home.
08-15 12:06
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.39 points (54.67% to 57.06%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 12:06
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose 4.31 to 4.76 (+10.4%) - market cautious on away.
08-15 12:06
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Home win odds dropped 1.7 to 1.64 (-3.5%) - market backing home.
08-15 12:06
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap 0.5/1 to 1, +1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward home side.
08-14 22:39
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.08 points (21.56% to 19.48%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-14 22:39
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.45 points (54.67% to 57.12%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-14 22:39
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose 4.31 to 4.78 (+10.9%) - market cautious on away.
08-14 22:39
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Home win odds dropped 1.7 to 1.63 (-4.1%) - market backing home.
08-13 16:09
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose 4.31 to 4.52 (+4.9%) - market cautious on away.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-11 12:44
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-14 22:39
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
08-15 12:06
Handicap Up LineHandicap
08-15 15:31
Handicap Up LineHandicap
08-15 15:31
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
08-15 15:31
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob UpProbability
08-15 19:08
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
08-16 00:09
Handicap home_water_downHandicap
08-16 00:09
Over Under Up LineOver Under
08-16 00:09
Europe Away Odds UpEurope

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
4
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
7
Total Records
6Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status · Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-11
08-13
08-14
08-15
08-16