Eerste Divisie

Jong Ajax Youth vs Emmen Odds Movement Analysis | Eerste Divisie | 168 Tips

Jong Ajax YouthJong Ajax Youth
VS
Emmen
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-17 22:53:35
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.83 +0.25 1.05
Over Under 0.92 3/3.5 0.94
Europe 2.74 | 3.81 | 2.19
Probability 33.7% | 24.2% | 42.1%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Three core directional markets show the same home-side direction. Evidence Label: 3.09 → 2.74
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★☆☆☆☆🟢 Home price down ★★★★☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap up+0.5 → +0.252026-08-17 22:53:35★☆☆☆☆Home price down3.09 → 2.742026-08-17 22:53:35★★★★☆Home win prob. up29.71 → 33.672026-08-17 22:53:35★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-17 22:53:35

Key Movements Title

5
08-17 22:53Home price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-16 10:19Home price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-15 12:40Home price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-17 20:17Home price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line08-16 22:43Home price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved up one step from the previous observation.
History Title
08-11 13:280.79 +0.5 1.03Opening
08-13 16:430.98 +0.25 0.84Up Line
08-17 22:530.83 +0.25 1.05No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 13:28 Opening
+0.5
08-13 16:43
+0.25
08-17 22:53 Latest
+0.25
9
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-11 13:280.93 3/3.5 0.87Opening
08-17 22:530.92 3/3.5 0.94No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 13:28 Opening
3/3.5（0.93 / 0.87）
08-17 22:53 Latest
3/3.5（0.92 / 0.94）
9
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price decreased by a moderate amount.
History Title
08-11 13:283.09 / 3.73 / 2.01Opening
08-13 16:432.85 / 3.67 / 2.13Home Odds Down
08-17 22:532.74 / 3.81 / 2.19No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 13:28 Opening
3.09 / 3.73 / 2.01
08-13 16:43
2.85 / 3.67 / 2.13
08-17 22:53 Latest
2.74 / 3.81 / 2.19
9
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability increased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
08-11 13:2829.7% / 24.6% / 45.7%Opening
08-17 22:5333.7% / 24.2% / 42.1%No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 13:28 Opening
29.71%
08-17 22:53 Latest
33.67%
9
Record Count
0
Change Count
+3.96%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.40%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
08-17 22:53
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.56 points (45.68% to 42.12%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 22:53
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.96 points (29.71% to 33.67%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 22:53
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 2.01 to 2.19 (+9.0%) - market cautious on away.
08-17 22:53
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Home win odds dropped 3.09 to 2.74 (-11.3%) - market backing home.
08-17 22:53
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap -0.5 to -0/0.5, +1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward home side.
08-17 21:34
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.61 points (45.68% to 42.07%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 21:34
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.91 points (29.71% to 33.62%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 20:17
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.22 points (45.68% to 42.46%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 20:17
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.2 points (29.71% to 32.91%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 20:17
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 2.01 to 2.17 (+8.0%) - market cautious on away.
08-17 20:17
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 3.09 to 2.8 (-9.4%) - market backing home.
08-17 16:00
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.07 points (45.68% to 42.61%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 16:00
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.93 points (29.71% to 32.64%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 16:00
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 3.09 to 2.82 (-8.7%) - market backing home.
08-17 16:00
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 2.01 to 2.16 (+7.5%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 22:43
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.28 points (45.68% to 42.4%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 22:43
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.0 points (29.71% to 32.71%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 22:43
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 3.09 to 2.8 (-9.4%) - market backing home.
08-16 10:19
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.77 points (45.68% to 41.91%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 10:19
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.28 points (29.71% to 32.99%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 10:19
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 2.01 to 2.18 (+8.5%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 10:19
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Home win odds dropped 3.09 to 2.77 (-10.4%) - market backing home.
08-15 12:40
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.55 points (45.68% to 42.13%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 12:40
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.18 points (29.71% to 32.89%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 12:40
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 2.01 to 2.17 (+8.0%) - market cautious on away.
08-15 12:40
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Home win odds dropped 3.09 to 2.78 (-10.0%) - market backing home.
08-13 16:43
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.72 points (45.68% to 42.96%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-13 16:43
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.4 points (29.71% to 32.11%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-13 16:43
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 2.01 to 2.13 (+6.0%) - market cautious on away.
08-13 16:43
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 3.09 to 2.85 (-7.8%) - market backing home.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-11 13:28
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-13 16:43
Handicap Up LineHandicap
08-13 16:43
Europe Home Odds DownEurope

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
9
Total Records
7Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-11
08-13
08-15
08-16
08-17
Related Title
FC Dordrecht VS Almere City FCEerste Divisie Korea DPR Women VS Chinese Taipei WomenAsian Games Women China PR Women VS Vietnam WomenAsian Games Women Poland U19 VS Switzerland U19International Friendly Australia VS BrazilInternational Friendly