J1 League

JEF United Chiba vs FC Machida Zelvia Odds Movement Analysis | J1 League | 168 Tips

JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba
VS
FC Machida ZelviaFC Machida Zelvia
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-15 17:50:15
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.91 +0.75 0.98
Over Under 0.98 2/2.5 0.90
Europe 4.80 | 3.48 | 1.74
Probability 19.5% | 26.9% | 53.7%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
The core directional markets are aligned toward the away side. Evidence Label: 3.76 → 4.8
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★★★ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-15 17:50:15

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line moved downward by one tier from the prior observation.
History Title
08-11 12:280.82 +0.5 1.06Opening
08-13 15:531.16 +0.25 0.59Up Line
08-14 22:120.94 +0.5 0.94Down Line
08-15 13:300.85 +0.75 1.04Down Line
08-15 17:500.91 +0.75 0.98No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:28 Opening
+0.5
08-13 15:53
+0.25
08-14 22:12
+0.5
08-15 13:30
+0.75
08-15 17:50 Latest
+0.75
10
Record Count
3
Change Count
1
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-11 12:280.92 2/2.5 0.95Opening
08-15 17:500.98 2/2.5 0.90No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:28 Opening
2/2.5(0.92 / 0.95)
08-15 17:50 Latest
2/2.5(0.98 / 0.90)
10
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA large upward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
08-11 12:283.76 / 3.24 / 1.98Opening
08-15 14:544.61 / 3.47 / 1.77Home Odds Up
08-15 17:504.80 / 3.48 / 1.74No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:28 Opening
3.76 / 3.24 / 1.98
08-15 14:54
4.61 / 3.47 / 1.77
08-15 17:50 Latest
4.80 / 3.48 / 1.74
10
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA small downward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
08-11 12:2824.6% / 28.6% / 46.8%Opening
08-15 17:5019.5% / 26.9% / 53.7%No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:28 Opening
24.63%
08-15 17:50 Latest
19.46%
10
Record Count
0
Change Count
-5.17%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.87%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
08-15 17:50
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 6.91 points (46.78% to 53.69%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 17:50
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.17 points (24.63% to 19.46%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 17:50
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped 1.98 to 1.74 (-12.1%) - market backing away.
08-15 17:50
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Home win odds rose 3.76 to 4.8 (+27.7%) - market cautious on home.
08-15 17:50
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap -0.5 to -0.5/1, -1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward away side.
08-15 17:21
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 6.37 points (46.78% to 53.15%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 17:21
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.81 points (24.63% to 19.82%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 17:21
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped 1.98 to 1.76 (-11.1%) - market backing away.
08-15 17:21
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Home win odds rose 3.76 to 4.72 (+25.5%) - market cautious on home.
08-15 16:10
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 6.7 points (46.78% to 53.48%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 16:10
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.93 points (24.63% to 19.7%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 16:10
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped 1.98 to 1.75 (-11.6%) - market backing away.
08-15 16:10
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Home win odds rose 3.76 to 4.75 (+26.3%) - market cautious on home.
08-15 14:54
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 6.02 points (46.78% to 52.8%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 14:54
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.36 points (24.63% to 20.27%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 14:54
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped 1.98 to 1.77 (-10.6%) - market backing away.
08-15 14:54
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Home win odds rose 3.76 to 4.61 (+22.6%) - market cautious on home.
08-15 13:30
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.44 points (46.78% to 50.22%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 13:30
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.49 points (24.63% to 22.14%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 13:30
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 1.98 to 1.86 (-6.1%) - market backing away.
08-15 13:30
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Home win odds rose 3.76 to 4.22 (+12.2%) - market cautious on home.
08-15 11:50
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.22 points (46.78% to 49.0%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 11:50
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped 1.98 to 1.9 (-4.0%) - market backing away.
08-15 11:50
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 3.76 to 4.04 (+7.5%) - market cautious on home.
08-14 22:12
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped 1.98 to 1.91 (-3.5%) - market backing away.
08-14 22:12
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 3.76 to 3.99 (+6.1%) - market cautious on home.
08-13 15:53
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Home win odds rose 3.76 to 3.9 (+3.7%) - market cautious on home.
08-13 15:53
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap -0.5 to -0/0.5, +1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward home side.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-11 12:28
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-13 15:53
Handicap Up LineHandicap
08-14 22:12
Handicap Down LineHandicap
08-15 13:30
Handicap Down LineHandicap
08-15 14:54
Europe Home Odds UpEurope

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
10
Total Records
5Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status · Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-11
08-13
08-14
08-15