International Friendly

Japan vs Venezuela Odds Movement Analysis | International Friendly | 168 Tips

JapanJapan
VS
VenezuelaVenezuela
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-09-28 12:28:01
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 6.25 -0.25 0.04
Over Under 6.66 2.5 0.03
Europe 1.26 | 5.43 | 10.25
Probability 73.8% | 17.1% | 9.1%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Conflicted
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Core directional signals are split between Implied Probability and Handicap. Evidence Label: -1.25 → -1
Market State Agreement
Conflicting
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
2
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★★★★☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★☆☆☆
Conflict Neutral Note
Conflicting Signals Title
Handicap down-1.25 → -12026-09-28 10:51:37★★★★☆Home win prob. up70.47 → 73.82026-09-28 10:51:37★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Signals are split across markets. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-09-28 12:28:01

Key Movements Title

5
09-28 07:45Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line09-28 01:04Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line09-28 04:14Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line09-28 10:51Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line09-27 21:43Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA large downward handicap change was recorded from the opening line.
History Title
09-26 00:470.84 -1.25 0.98Opening
09-26 13:490.94 -1.5 0.88Up Line
09-28 07:450.98 -1.75 0.84Up Line
09-28 10:510.97 -1 0.91Down Line
09-28 12:286.25 -0.25 0.04Down Line
0.043.156.251611Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
09-26 00:47 Opening
-1.25
09-26 13:49
-1.5
09-28 07:45
-1.75
09-28 10:51
-1
09-28 12:28
-0.25
09-28 12:28 Latest
-0.25
11
Record Count
4
Change Count
2
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe total-goals tier stayed the same and the Under-side water shifted.
History Title
09-26 00:470.85 2.5 0.95Opening
09-28 01:040.98 2.5/3 0.82Up Line
09-28 10:511.03 2 0.83Down Line
09-28 12:286.66 2.5 0.03Up Line
0.033.356.661611OverUnder2.5
Timeline Title
09-26 00:47 Opening
2.5（0.85 / 0.95）
09-28 01:04
2.5/3（0.98 / 0.82）
09-28 10:51
2（1.03 / 0.83）
09-28 12:28
2.5（6.66 / 0.03）
09-28 12:28 Latest
2.5（6.66 / 0.03）
11
Record Count
3
Change Count
2
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleNo significant 1X2 price movement recorded yet.
History Title
09-26 00:471.31 / 4.82 / 8.90Opening
09-27 14:431.29 / 5.11 / 9.65Away Odds Up
09-28 01:041.25 / 5.47 / 10.73Away Odds Up
09-28 07:451.23 / 5.81 / 11.47Away Odds Up
09-28 10:511.26 / 5.43 / 10.25Away Odds Down
09-28 12:281.26 / 5.43 / 10.25No Change
1.236.3511.51611HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-26 00:47 Opening
1.31 / 4.82 / 8.90
09-27 14:43
1.29 / 5.11 / 9.65
09-28 01:04
1.25 / 5.47 / 10.73
09-28 07:45
1.23 / 5.81 / 11.47
09-28 10:51
1.26 / 5.43 / 10.25
09-28 12:28 Latest
1.26 / 5.43 / 10.25
11
Record Count
4
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
4
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved up by a small amount.
History Title
09-26 00:4770.5% / 19.1% / 10.4%Opening
09-28 12:2873.8% / 17.1% / 9.1%No Change
8.1342.075.81611Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-26 00:47 Opening
70.47%
09-28 12:28 Latest
73.80%
11
Record Count
0
Change Count
+3.33%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.02%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
09-28 10:51
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.33 points to 73.8% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 10:51
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 8.9 to 10.25 (+15.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 10:51
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.31 to 1.26 (-3.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-28 10:51
🔴Total down★★★☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5 to 2, down 0.5 goals from opening - goal expectation contracting.
09-28 10:51
⚠️Handicap volatile★★★☆☆
Handicap oscillated 3 steps today (low 4 to high 7) - market divergence notable
09-28 10:51
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1/1.5 to 1, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
09-28 07:45
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.24 points to 8.13% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 07:45
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.35 points to 75.82% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 07:45
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 8.9 to 11.47 (+28.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 07:45
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.31 to 1.23 (-6.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-28 07:45
🟢Handicap up★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1/1.5 to 1.5/2, up 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market backing home side strongly.
09-28 07:45
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5 to 2.5/3, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
09-28 04:14
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.37 points to 73.84% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 04:14
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 8.9 to 10.42 (+17.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 04:14
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.31 to 1.26 (-3.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-28 04:14
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1/1.5 to 1.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
09-28 01:04
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.88 points to 74.35% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-28 01:04
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 8.9 to 10.73 (+20.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-28 01:04
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.31 to 1.25 (-4.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
09-27 21:43
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.07 points to 72.54% - market probability distribution shifted.
09-27 21:43
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 8.9 to 9.7 (+9.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-27 18:32
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 8.9 to 9.64 (+8.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
09-27 14:43
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 8.9 to 9.65 (+8.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-26 00:47
Opening RecordOpening Short
09-26 13:49
Handicap Up LineHandicap
09-27 14:43
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
09-28 01:04
Over Under Up LineOver Under
09-28 01:04
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
09-28 07:45
Handicap Up LineHandicap
09-28 07:45
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
09-28 10:51
Handicap Down LineHandicap
09-28 10:51
Over Under Down LineOver Under
09-28 10:51
Europe Away Odds DownEurope
09-28 12:28
Handicap Down LineHandicap
09-28 12:28
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

4
Handicap Changes
3
Ou Changes
4
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
11
Total Records
3Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-26
09-27
09-28
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