Independiente Rivadavia vs Club de Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata Odds Movement Analysis | Argentine Primera División | 168 Tips

Argentine Primera División
Independiente RivadaviaIndependiente Rivadavia
VS
Club de Gimnasia y Esgrima La PlataClub de Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-03 02:35:20
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 7.69 -0.25 0.01
Over Under 7.69 2.5 0.01
Europe 2.12 | 3.13 | 3.60
Probability 44.1% | 29.9% | 26.0%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 1.79 → 2.12
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★★🔴 Home win prob. down ★★★☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down-0.5 → -0.252026-10-03 00:33:52★☆☆☆☆Home price up1.79 → 2.122026-10-03 00:33:52★★★★★Home win prob. down51.69 → 44.132026-10-03 00:33:52★★★☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★★ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-03 02:35:20

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Key Movements Title

5
10-03 00:33Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-02 20:59Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-03 00:33Away price down★★★★★Key Movement Line10-02 17:47Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-02 20:59Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved down one step from the previous observation.
History Title
09-26 00:510.86 -0.5 1.02Opening
10-02 08:311.07 -0.5 0.82Home Water Up
10-02 17:470.83 -0.25 1.06Down Line
10-03 02:357.69 -0.25 0.01Home Water Up
0.013.857.6911019Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
09-26 00:51 Opening
-0.5
10-02 08:31
-0.5
10-02 17:47
-0.25
10-03 02:35
-0.25
10-03 02:35 Latest
-0.25
19
Record Count
3
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe main total line was stable, with a change in the Under-side water.
History Title
09-26 00:511.02 2.5 0.85Opening
10-01 11:550.88 2/2.5 0.99Down Line
10-02 08:311.07 2/2.5 0.80Over Water Up
10-03 02:357.69 2.5 0.01Up Line
0.013.857.6911019OverUnder2.5
Timeline Title
09-26 00:51 Opening
2.5（1.02 / 0.85）
10-01 11:55
2/2.5（0.88 / 0.99）
10-02 08:31
2/2.5（1.07 / 0.80）
10-03 02:35
2.5（7.69 / 0.01）
10-03 02:35 Latest
2.5（7.69 / 0.01）
19
Record Count
3
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved up materially from the opening observation.
History Title
09-26 00:511.79 / 3.48 / 4.26Opening
10-02 08:312.02 / 3.21 / 3.82Home Odds Up
10-03 02:352.12 / 3.13 / 3.60No Change
1.793.024.2611019HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
09-26 00:51 Opening
1.79 / 3.48 / 4.26
10-02 08:31
2.02 / 3.21 / 3.82
10-03 02:35 Latest
2.12 / 3.13 / 3.60
19
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved down by a moderate amount.
History Title
09-26 00:5151.7% / 26.6% / 21.7%Opening
10-02 08:3146.3% / 29.2% / 24.5%Home Prob Down
10-03 02:3544.1% / 29.9% / 26.0%No Change
21.736.751.711019Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
09-26 00:51 Opening
51.69%
10-02 08:31
46.34%
10-03 02:35 Latest
44.13%
19
Record Count
1
Change Count
-7.56%
Home Prob Cumulative
±4.25%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
10-03 00:33
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.27 points to 25.99% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 00:33
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 7.56 points to 44.13% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 00:33
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 4.26 to 3.6 (-15.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-03 00:33
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 1.79 to 2.12 (+18.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 00:33
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0.5 to 0/0.5, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-03 00:33
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5 to 2/2.5, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-02 20:59
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.73 points to 25.45% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 20:59
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 6.88 points to 44.81% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 20:59
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.26 to 3.68 (-13.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-02 20:59
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 1.79 to 2.09 (+16.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 17:47
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.2 points to 24.92% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 17:47
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 6.1 points to 45.59% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 17:47
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.26 to 3.75 (-12.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-02 17:47
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.79 to 2.05 (+14.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 14:33
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.99 points to 24.71% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 14:33
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.68 points to 46.01% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 14:33
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.26 to 3.78 (-11.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-02 14:33
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.79 to 2.03 (+13.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-02 11:32
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.06 points to 24.78% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 11:32
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.67 points to 46.02% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 11:32
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.26 to 3.77 (-11.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-02 08:31
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.78 points to 24.5% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 08:31
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.35 points to 46.34% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-02 08:31
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 4.26 to 3.82 (-10.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-02 08:31
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.79 to 2.02 (+12.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
09-26 00:51
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-01 11:55
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-02 08:31
Handicap Home Water UpHandicap
10-02 08:31
Over Under Over Water UpOver Under
10-02 08:31
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
10-02 08:31
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob DownProbability
10-02 17:47
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-03 02:35
Handicap Home Water UpHandicap
10-03 02:35
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
3
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
19
Total Records
8Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
09-27
09-28
09-29
09-30
10-01
10-02
10-03
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