IK Sirius vs IF Elfsborg Odds Movement Analysis | Allsvenskan | 168 Tips

Allsvenskan 2026-10-18 20:00
IK SiriusIK Sirius
VS
IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-18 11:16:33
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.90 -0.25 0.99
Over Under 0.96 2.5/3 0.91
Europe 2.13 | 3.48 | 3.12
Probability 43.6% | 26.7% | 29.8%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Three core directional markets show the same away-side direction. Evidence Label: 1.95 → 2.14
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★☆☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down-0.5 → -0.252026-10-18 09:39:45★☆☆☆☆Home price up1.95 → 2.142026-10-18 09:39:45★★★☆☆Home win prob. down47.33 → 43.392026-10-18 09:39:45★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-18 11:16:33

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Key Movements Title

5
10-18 09:39Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-18 09:39Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-18 08:04Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-18 08:04Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-18 05:55Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small downward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
10-14 10:020.99 -0.5 0.89Opening
10-15 17:190.82 -0.25 1.06Down Line
10-18 11:160.90 -0.25 0.99No Change
0.820.941.0611019Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
10-14 10:02 Opening
-0.5
10-15 17:19
-0.25
10-18 11:16 Latest
-0.25
19
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-14 10:020.94 2.5/3 0.93Opening
10-18 11:160.96 2.5/3 0.91No Change
0.900.940.9711019OverUnder2.5/3
Timeline Title
10-14 10:02 Opening
2.5/3（0.94 / 0.93）
10-18 11:16 Latest
2.5/3（0.96 / 0.91）
19
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved up slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
10-14 10:021.95 / 3.56 / 3.45Opening
10-18 11:162.13 / 3.48 / 3.12No Change
1.952.753.5611019HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-14 10:02 Opening
1.95 / 3.56 / 3.45
10-18 11:16 Latest
2.13 / 3.48 / 3.12
19
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
No Change

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved down by a small amount.
History Title
10-14 10:0247.3% / 25.9% / 26.8%Opening
10-18 11:1643.6% / 26.7% / 29.8%No Change
25.936.647.311019Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-14 10:02 Opening
47.33%
10-18 11:16 Latest
43.58%
19
Record Count
0
Change Count
-3.75%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.54%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-18 09:39
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.1 points to 29.85% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 09:39
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.94 points to 43.39% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 09:39
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.45 to 3.11 (-9.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 09:39
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.95 to 2.14 (+9.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 09:39
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0.5 to 0/0.5, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-18 08:04
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.7 points to 29.45% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 08:04
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.36 points to 43.97% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 08:04
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.45 to 3.15 (-8.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 08:04
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.95 to 2.11 (+8.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 05:55
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.36 points to 29.11% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 05:55
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.9 points to 44.43% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 05:55
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.45 to 3.19 (-7.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 05:55
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.95 to 2.09 (+7.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 03:21
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.3 points to 29.05% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 03:21
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.86 points to 44.47% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 03:21
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.45 to 3.2 (-7.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 00:46
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.27 points to 45.06% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 00:46
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.45 to 3.25 (-5.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 00:46
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.95 to 2.06 (+5.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 17:57
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.3 points to 45.03% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 15:45
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.34 points to 44.99% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 15:45
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.45 to 3.24 (-6.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 10:37
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.14 points to 45.19% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 10:37
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.45 to 3.26 (-5.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 10:37
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.95 to 2.05 (+5.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 05:25
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.45 to 3.28 (-4.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 05:25
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.95 to 2.04 (+4.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 00:06
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.01 points to 45.32% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 04:53
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.45 to 3.31 (-4.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 04:53
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.95 to 2.02 (+3.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 17:19
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.45 to 3.32 (-3.8%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-14 10:02
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-15 17:19
Handicap Down LineHandicap

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
0
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
19
Total Records
5Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-14
10-15
10-16
10-17
10-18
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