Veikkausliiga

IF Gnistan vs Ilves Odds Movement Analysis | Veikkausliiga | 168 Tips

IF GnistanIF Gnistan
VS
IlvesIlves
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-17 22:51:08
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.81 +0.25 1.08
Over Under 0.83 2.5/3 1.04
Europe 2.61 | 3.50 | 2.45
Probability 35.6% | 26.5% | 37.9%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Three core directional markets show the same away-side direction. Evidence Label: 2.21 → 2.61
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★★☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★★🔴 Home win prob. down ★★★☆☆🔴 Total down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down-0.25 → +0.252026-08-17 22:51:08★★☆☆☆Home price up2.21 → 2.612026-08-17 22:51:08★★★★★Home win prob. down41.33 → 35.572026-08-17 22:51:08★★★☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total down3 → 2.5/32026-08-17 22:51:08★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★★ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-17 22:51:08

Key Movements Title

5
08-17 22:51Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-17 20:55Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-17 22:30Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-17 22:51Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-17 20:55Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleTwo downward handicap changes were recorded over the observed period.
History Title
08-11 13:250.98 -0.25 0.90Opening
08-17 15:570.89 0 1.00Down Line
08-17 19:381.09 0 0.80Home Water Up
08-17 22:510.81 +0.25 1.08Down Line
Timeline Title
08-11 13:25 Opening
-0.25
08-17 15:57
0
08-17 19:38
0
08-17 22:51
+0.25
08-17 22:51 Latest
+0.25
14
Record Count
3
Change Count
0
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved down slightly from the previous observation.
History Title
08-11 13:250.95 3 0.92Opening
08-17 22:510.83 2.5/3 1.04Down Line
Timeline Title
08-11 13:25 Opening
3（0.95 / 0.92）
08-17 22:51
2.5/3（0.83 / 1.04）
08-17 22:51 Latest
2.5/3（0.83 / 1.04）
14
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved up materially from the opening observation.
History Title
08-11 13:252.21 / 3.49 / 2.81Opening
08-17 19:382.59 / 3.54 / 2.45Home Odds Up
08-17 22:512.61 / 3.50 / 2.45No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 13:25 Opening
2.21 / 3.49 / 2.81
08-17 19:38
2.59 / 3.54 / 2.45
08-17 22:51 Latest
2.61 / 3.50 / 2.45
14
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved down by a small amount.
History Title
08-11 13:2541.3% / 26.2% / 32.5%Opening
08-17 22:5135.6% / 26.5% / 37.9%No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 13:25 Opening
41.33%
08-17 22:51 Latest
35.57%
14
Record Count
0
Change Count
-5.76%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.14%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
08-17 22:51
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.4 points (32.5% to 37.9%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 22:51
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.76 points (41.33% to 35.57%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 22:51
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped 2.81 to 2.45 (-12.8%) - market backing away.
08-17 22:51
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Home win odds rose 2.21 to 2.61 (+18.1%) - market cautious on home.
08-17 22:51
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U 3 to 2.5/3, -0.25 goals - goal expectation falling.
08-17 22:51
⚠️Handicap volatile★★★★☆
Handicap oscillated 4 steps today (low -3 to high 1) - market divergence notable
08-17 22:51
🔴Handicap down★★★★☆
Handicap 0/0.5 to -0/0.5, -4 steps (1.0 goals) - significant structural weakening.
08-17 22:30
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.08 points (32.5% to 37.58%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 22:30
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.21 points (41.33% to 36.12%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 22:30
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped 2.81 to 2.47 (-12.1%) - market backing away.
08-17 22:30
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Home win odds rose 2.21 to 2.57 (+16.3%) - market cautious on home.
08-17 22:30
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap 0/0.5 to 0, -1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward away side.
08-17 22:11
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.18 points (32.5% to 37.68%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 22:11
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.26 points (41.33% to 36.07%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 22:11
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped 2.81 to 2.46 (-12.5%) - market backing away.
08-17 20:55
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.38 points (32.5% to 37.88%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 20:55
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.5 points (41.33% to 35.83%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 20:55
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped 2.81 to 2.45 (-12.8%) - market backing away.
08-17 20:55
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Home win odds rose 2.21 to 2.59 (+17.2%) - market cautious on home.
08-17 19:38
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.41 points (32.5% to 37.91%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 19:38
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.47 points (41.33% to 35.86%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 18:24
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.3 points (32.5% to 35.8%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 18:24
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.33 points (41.33% to 38.0%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 18:24
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 2.81 to 2.59 (-7.8%) - market backing away.
08-17 18:24
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Home win odds rose 2.21 to 2.44 (+10.4%) - market cautious on home.
08-17 17:17
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.7 points (32.5% to 35.2%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 17:17
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.76 points (41.33% to 38.57%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 17:17
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 2.81 to 2.63 (-6.4%) - market backing away.
08-17 17:17
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 2.21 to 2.4 (+8.6%) - market cautious on home.
08-17 15:57
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.84 points (32.5% to 35.34%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 15:57
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.91 points (41.33% to 38.42%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 15:57
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 2.81 to 2.62 (-6.8%) - market backing away.
08-17 15:57
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 2.21 to 2.41 (+9.1%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 23:12
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped 2.81 to 2.71 (-3.6%) - market backing away.
08-16 23:12
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Home win odds rose 2.21 to 2.32 (+5.0%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 13:56
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped 2.81 to 2.7 (-3.9%) - market backing away.
08-15 12:38
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped 2.81 to 2.71 (-3.6%) - market backing away.
08-15 12:38
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Home win odds rose 2.21 to 2.31 (+4.5%) - market cautious on home.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-11 13:25
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-17 15:57
Handicap Down LineHandicap
08-17 19:38
Handicap Home Water UpHandicap
08-17 19:38
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
08-17 22:51
Handicap Down LineHandicap
08-17 22:51
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
14
Total Records
7Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-11
08-13
08-15
08-16
08-17
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