2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli Odds Movement Analysis | 2. Bundesliga | 168 Tips

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
VS
FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-14 21:54:36
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.88 0 1.01
Over Under 0.94 2.5/3 0.94
Europe 2.42 | 3.48 | 2.72
Probability 38.7% | 26.9% | 34.4%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, European Odds both indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 2.22 → 2.42
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
2
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-14 21:54:36

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line moved downward by one tier from the prior observation.
History Title
08-11 12:211.02 -0.25 0.86Opening
08-14 21:540.88 0 1.01Down Line
Timeline Title
08-11 12:21 Opening
-0.25
08-14 21:54
0
08-14 21:54 Latest
0
5
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-11 12:211.02 2.5/3 0.84Opening
08-13 15:380.77 2.5 1.01Down Line
08-14 21:540.94 2.5/3 0.94Up Line
Timeline Title
08-11 12:21 Opening
2.5/3(1.02 / 0.84)
08-13 15:38
2.5(0.77 / 1.01)
08-14 21:54
2.5/3(0.94 / 0.94)
08-14 21:54 Latest
2.5/3(0.94 / 0.94)
5
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price increased by a small amount.
History Title
08-11 12:212.22 / 3.44 / 2.94Opening
08-12 01:042.35 / 3.44 / 2.76Home Odds Up
08-14 21:542.42 / 3.48 / 2.72No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:21 Opening
2.22 / 3.44 / 2.94
08-12 01:04
2.35 / 3.44 / 2.76
08-14 21:54 Latest
2.42 / 3.48 / 2.72
5
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleNo significant win-probability movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-11 12:2141.7% / 26.9% / 31.5%Opening
08-14 21:5438.7% / 26.9% / 34.4%No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:21 Opening
41.66%
08-14 21:54 Latest
38.68%
5
Record Count
0
Change Count
-2.98%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.21%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
08-14 21:54
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.96 points (31.46% to 34.42%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-14 21:54
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.98 points (41.66% to 38.68%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-14 21:54
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 2.94 to 2.72 (-7.5%) - market backing away.
08-14 21:54
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 2.22 to 2.42 (+9.0%) - market cautious on home.
08-14 21:54
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap 0/0.5 to 0, -1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward away side.
08-13 15:38
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U 2.5/3 to 2.5, -0.25 goals - goal expectation falling.
08-13 15:38
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped 2.94 to 2.8 (-4.8%) - market backing away.
08-13 15:38
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Home win odds rose 2.22 to 2.33 (+5.0%) - market cautious on home.
08-12 01:04
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.13 points (31.46% to 33.59%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-12 01:04
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.21 points (41.66% to 39.45%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-12 01:04
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 2.94 to 2.76 (-6.1%) - market backing away.
08-12 01:04
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 2.22 to 2.35 (+5.9%) - market cautious on home.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-11 12:21
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-12 01:04
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
08-13 15:38
Over Under Down LineOver Under
08-14 21:54
Handicap Down LineHandicap
08-14 21:54
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
5
Total Records
4Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status · Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-11
08-12
08-13
08-14