Úrvalsdeild

Hafnarfjordur vs Vikingur Reykjavik Odds Movement Analysis | Úrvalsdeild | 168 Tips

Hafnarfjordur
VS
Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-17 00:15:55
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 1.03 +0.75 0.85
Over Under 0.84 3/3.5 1.02
Europe 4.28 | 4.19 | 1.62
Probability 21.4% | 21.9% | 56.6%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the home side. Evidence Label: 5.95 → 4.28
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★★☆☆☆🟢 Home price down ★★★★★🟢 Home win prob. up ★★★☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap up+1.25 → +0.752026-08-17 00:15:55★★☆☆☆Home price down5.95 → 4.282026-08-17 00:15:55★★★★★Home win prob. up15.25 → 21.442026-08-17 00:15:55★★★☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★★ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-17 00:15:55

Key Movements Title

5
08-17 00:15Home price down★★★★★Key Movement Line08-16 22:49Home price down★★★★★Key Movement Line08-16 17:26Home price down★★★★★Key Movement Line08-16 21:16Home price down★★★★★Key Movement Line08-16 10:26Home price down★★★★★Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line advanced two tiers from the opening position.
History Title
08-13 17:160.95 +1.25 0.87Opening
08-15 12:460.75 +1.25 1.07home_water_down
08-16 14:010.91 +1 0.97Up Line
08-17 00:151.03 +0.75 0.85Up Line
Timeline Title
08-13 17:16 Opening
+1.25
08-15 12:46
+1.25
08-16 14:01
+1
08-17 00:15
+0.75
08-17 00:15 Latest
+0.75
8
Record Count
3
Change Count
2
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-13 17:160.85 3/3.5 0.95Opening
08-17 00:150.84 3/3.5 1.02No Change
Timeline Title
08-13 17:16 Opening
3/3.5（0.85 / 0.95）
08-17 00:15 Latest
3/3.5（0.84 / 1.02）
8
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price decreased by a large amount.
History Title
08-13 17:165.95 / 4.78 / 1.38Opening
08-15 12:464.80 / 4.37 / 1.52Home Odds Down
08-17 00:154.28 / 4.19 / 1.62Home Odds Down
Timeline Title
08-13 17:16 Opening
5.95 / 4.78 / 1.38
08-15 12:46
4.80 / 4.37 / 1.52
08-17 00:15
4.28 / 4.19 / 1.62
08-17 00:15 Latest
4.28 / 4.19 / 1.62
8
Record Count
2
Change Count
2
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA noticeable upward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
08-13 17:1615.2% / 19.0% / 65.8%Opening
08-15 12:4619.0% / 20.9% / 60.1%Home Prob Up
08-17 00:1521.4% / 21.9% / 56.6%No Change
Timeline Title
08-13 17:16 Opening
15.25%
08-15 12:46
19.02%
08-17 00:15 Latest
21.44%
8
Record Count
1
Change Count
+6.19%
Home Prob Cumulative
±3.77%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
08-17 00:15
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 9.11 points (65.76% to 56.65%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 00:15
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.19 points (15.25% to 21.44%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 00:15
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 1.38 to 1.62 (+17.4%) - market cautious on away.
08-17 00:15
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Home win odds dropped 5.95 to 4.28 (-28.1%) - market backing home.
08-17 00:15
🟢Handicap up★★☆☆☆
Handicap -0.5/1 to -0.5/1, +2 steps (0.5 goals) - home backing rising.
08-16 22:49
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 6.19 points (65.76% to 59.57%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 22:49
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.19 points (15.25% to 19.44%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 22:49
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Home win odds dropped 5.95 to 4.72 (-20.7%) - market backing home.
08-16 22:49
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose 1.38 to 1.54 (+11.6%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 22:49
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap -0.5/1 to -1, +1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward home side.
08-16 21:16
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 6.14 points (65.76% to 59.62%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 21:16
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.16 points (15.25% to 19.41%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 21:16
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Home win odds dropped 5.95 to 4.73 (-20.5%) - market backing home.
08-16 17:26
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 6.19 points (65.76% to 59.57%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 17:26
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.19 points (15.25% to 19.44%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 17:26
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Home win odds dropped 5.95 to 4.72 (-20.7%) - market backing home.
08-16 14:01
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 6.06 points (65.76% to 59.7%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 14:01
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.1 points (15.25% to 19.35%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 14:01
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose 1.38 to 1.53 (+10.9%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 10:26
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.95 points (65.76% to 59.81%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 10:26
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.05 points (15.25% to 19.3%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 10:26
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Home win odds dropped 5.95 to 4.74 (-20.3%) - market backing home.
08-15 12:46
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.68 points (65.76% to 60.08%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 12:46
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.77 points (15.25% to 19.02%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 12:46
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose 1.38 to 1.52 (+10.1%) - market cautious on away.
08-15 12:46
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Home win odds dropped 5.95 to 4.8 (-19.3%) - market backing home.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-13 17:16
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-15 12:46
Handicap home_water_downHandicap
08-15 12:46
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
08-15 12:46
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob UpProbability
08-16 14:01
Handicap Up LineHandicap
08-17 00:15
Handicap Up LineHandicap
08-17 00:15
Europe Home Odds DownEurope

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
8
Total Records
5Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-13
08-15
08-16
08-17
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