Primeira Liga

GD Estoril Praia vs FC Famalicão Odds Movement Analysis | Primeira Liga | 168 Tips

GD Estoril Praia
VS
FC Famalicão
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-08 00:49:27
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 1.07 0 0.82
Over Under 1.05 2.5 0.82
Europe 2.93 | 3.21 | 2.43
Probability 32.1% | 29.3% | 38.7%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
The core directional markets are aligned toward the home side. Evidence Label: 3.2 → 2.93
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★☆☆☆☆🟢 Home price down ★★★☆☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap up+0.25 → 02026-08-08 00:49:27★☆☆☆☆Home price down3.2 → 2.932026-08-08 00:49:27★★★☆☆Home win prob. up29.05 → 32.072026-08-08 00:49:27★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-08 00:49:27

Key Movements Title

5
08-08 00:49Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line08-07 23:27Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line08-08 00:49Home price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line08-07 21:59Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line08-07 15:12Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small upward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
08-04 21:380.93 +0.25 0.95Opening
08-07 23:271.08 0 0.81Up Line
08-08 00:491.07 0 0.82No Change
Timeline Title
08-04 21:38 Opening
+0.25
08-07 23:27
0
08-08 00:49 Latest
0
8
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-04 21:380.95 2.5 0.92Opening
08-07 21:590.82 2/2.5 1.05Down Line
08-08 00:491.05 2.5 0.82Up Line
Timeline Title
08-04 21:38 Opening
2.5（0.95 / 0.92）
08-07 21:59
2/2.5（0.82 / 1.05）
08-08 00:49
2.5（1.05 / 0.82）
08-08 00:49 Latest
2.5（1.05 / 0.82）
8
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved down slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
08-04 21:383.20 / 3.22 / 2.21Opening
08-05 13:462.98 / 3.22 / 2.35Home Odds Down
08-08 00:492.93 / 3.21 / 2.43No Change
Timeline Title
08-04 21:38 Opening
3.20 / 3.22 / 2.21
08-05 13:46
2.98 / 3.22 / 2.35
08-08 00:49 Latest
2.93 / 3.21 / 2.43
8
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability increased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
08-04 21:3829.1% / 28.9% / 42.1%Opening
08-08 00:4932.1% / 29.3% / 38.7%No Change
Timeline Title
08-04 21:38 Opening
29.05%
08-08 00:49 Latest
32.07%
8
Record Count
0
Change Count
+3.02%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.26%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
08-08 00:49
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.41 points (42.07% to 38.66%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-08 00:49
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.02 points (29.05% to 32.07%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-08 00:49
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 2.21 to 2.43 (+9.9%) - market cautious on away.
08-08 00:49
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 3.2 to 2.93 (-8.4%) - market backing home.
08-08 00:49
🟢Handicap up★★★☆☆
Handicap -0/0.5 to 0, +3 steps (0.75 goals) - home backing rising.
08-07 23:27
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.09 points (42.07% to 38.98%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 23:27
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.79 points (29.05% to 31.84%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 23:27
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 2.21 to 2.41 (+9.1%) - market cautious on away.
08-07 23:27
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 3.2 to 2.95 (-7.8%) - market backing home.
08-07 23:27
⚠️Handicap volatile★★★☆☆
Handicap oscillated 3 steps today (low -3 to high 0) - market divergence notable
08-07 23:27
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U 2.5 to 2/2.5, -0.25 goals - goal expectation falling.
08-07 21:59
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.81 points (42.07% to 39.26%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 21:59
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.55 points (29.05% to 31.6%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 21:59
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 2.21 to 2.39 (+8.1%) - market cautious on away.
08-07 21:59
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 3.2 to 2.97 (-7.2%) - market backing home.
08-07 18:42
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.67 points (42.07% to 39.4%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 18:42
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.42 points (29.05% to 31.47%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 18:42
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 2.21 to 2.38 (+7.7%) - market cautious on away.
08-07 18:42
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 3.2 to 2.98 (-6.9%) - market backing home.
08-07 15:12
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.86 points (42.07% to 39.21%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 15:12
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.72 points (29.05% to 31.77%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 15:12
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 2.21 to 2.39 (+8.1%) - market cautious on away.
08-07 15:12
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 3.2 to 2.95 (-7.8%) - market backing home.
08-06 12:41
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.96 points (42.07% to 39.11%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-06 12:41
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.63 points (29.05% to 31.68%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-05 13:46
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.36 points (42.07% to 39.71%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-05 13:46
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.26 points (29.05% to 31.31%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-05 13:46
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 2.21 to 2.35 (+6.3%) - market cautious on away.
08-05 13:46
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 3.2 to 2.98 (-6.9%) - market backing home.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-04 21:38
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-05 13:46
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
08-07 21:59
Over Under Down LineOver Under
08-07 23:27
Handicap Up LineHandicap
08-08 00:49
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
8
Total Records
5Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-04
08-05
08-06
08-07
08-08
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