Russian Premier League

Gazovik Orenburg vs FC Lokomotiv Moscow Odds Movement Analysis | Russian Premier League | 168 Tips

Gazovik OrenburgGazovik Orenburg
VS
FC Lokomotiv Moscow
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-14 21:51:49
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 1.02 0 0.87
Over Under 0.91 2.5 0.96
Europe 2.90 | 3.43 | 2.33
Probability 32.4% | 27.4% | 40.3%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the home side. Evidence Label: 3.45 → 2.9
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★★☆☆☆🟢 Home price down ★★★★★🟢 Home win prob. up ★★★☆☆🔴 Total down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap up+0.5 → 02026-08-14 21:51:49★★☆☆☆Home price down3.45 → 2.92026-08-14 21:51:49★★★★★Home win prob. up27.18 → 32.362026-08-14 21:51:49★★★☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total down2.5/3 → 2.52026-08-14 21:51:49★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★★ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-14 21:51:49

Key Movements Title

5
08-14 21:51Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-14 21:51Home price down★★★★★Key Movement Line08-14 21:51Away win prob. down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line08-13 22:58Home price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line08-13 22:58Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved up two steps across the observed period.
History Title
08-11 12:190.83 +0.5 1.05Opening
08-13 15:360.95 +0.25 0.79Up Line
08-13 22:580.83 +0.5 1.05Down Line
08-14 21:511.02 0 0.87Up Line
Timeline Title
08-11 12:19 Opening
+0.5
08-13 15:36
+0.25
08-13 22:58
+0.5
08-14 21:51
0
08-14 21:51 Latest
0
6
Record Count
3
Change Count
2
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved down slightly from the previous observation.
History Title
08-11 12:190.93 2.5/3 0.94Opening
08-14 21:510.91 2.5 0.96Down Line
Timeline Title
08-11 12:19 Opening
2.5/3（0.93 / 0.94）
08-14 21:51
2.5（0.91 / 0.96）
08-14 21:51 Latest
2.5（0.91 / 0.96）
6
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price decreased by a large amount.
History Title
08-11 12:193.45 / 3.65 / 1.99Opening
08-14 21:512.90 / 3.43 / 2.33Home Odds Down
Timeline Title
08-11 12:19 Opening
3.45 / 3.65 / 1.99
08-14 21:51
2.90 / 3.43 / 2.33
08-14 21:51 Latest
2.90 / 3.43 / 2.33
6
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved up by a small amount.
History Title
08-11 12:1927.2% / 25.7% / 47.1%Opening
08-14 21:5132.4% / 27.4% / 40.3%Home Prob Up
Timeline Title
08-11 12:19 Opening
27.18%
08-14 21:51
32.36%
08-14 21:51 Latest
32.36%
6
Record Count
1
Change Count
+5.18%
Home Prob Cumulative
±3.40%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
08-14 21:51
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 6.84 points (47.12% to 40.28%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-14 21:51
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.18 points (27.18% to 32.36%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-14 21:51
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 1.99 to 2.33 (+17.1%) - market cautious on away.
08-14 21:51
🟢Home price down★★★★★
Home win odds dropped 3.45 to 2.9 (-15.9%) - market backing home.
08-14 21:51
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U 2.5/3 to 2.5, -0.25 goals - goal expectation falling.
08-14 21:51
⚠️Handicap volatile★★★★☆
Handicap oscillated 4 steps today (low -4 to high 0) - market divergence notable
08-14 21:51
🟢Handicap up★★★★☆
Handicap -0.5 to 0, +4 steps (1.0 goals) - significant structural strengthening.
08-13 22:58
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.72 points (47.12% to 44.4%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-13 22:58
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 1.99 to 2.1 (+5.5%) - market cautious on away.
08-13 22:58
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 3.45 to 3.22 (-6.7%) - market backing home.
08-13 15:36
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.32 points (47.12% to 44.8%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-13 15:36
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose 1.99 to 2.08 (+4.5%) - market cautious on away.
08-13 15:36
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 3.45 to 3.26 (-5.5%) - market backing home.
08-13 15:36
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap -0.5 to -0/0.5, +1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward home side.
08-13 01:41
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.13 points (47.12% to 44.99%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-13 01:41
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose 1.99 to 2.07 (+4.0%) - market cautious on away.
08-13 01:41
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 3.45 to 3.27 (-5.2%) - market backing home.
08-12 01:02
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose 1.99 to 2.05 (+3.0%) - market cautious on away.
08-12 01:02
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Home win odds dropped 3.45 to 3.33 (-3.5%) - market backing home.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-11 12:19
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-13 15:36
Handicap Up LineHandicap
08-13 22:58
Handicap Down LineHandicap
08-14 21:51
Handicap Up LineHandicap
08-14 21:51
Over Under Down LineOver Under
08-14 21:51
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
08-14 21:51
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob UpProbability

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
6
Total Records
4Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-11
08-12
08-13
08-14
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