Copa Libertadores

Fluminense FC vs Independiente Rivadavia Odds Movement Analysis | Copa Libertadores | 168 Tips

Fluminense FCFluminense FC
VS
Independiente RivadaviaIndependiente Rivadavia
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-12 01:52:33
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.95 -0.75 0.94
Over Under 0.94 2 0.93
Europe 1.68 | 3.46 | 5.43
Probability 55.7% | 27.1% | 17.2%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
European Odds, Implied Probability show the same direction toward the away side. Evidence Label: 1.58 → 1.69
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
Over Under
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Home price up ★★★☆☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★☆☆☆🔴 Total down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Home price up1.58 → 1.692026-08-12 00:14:41★★★☆☆Home win prob. down58.76 → 55.452026-08-12 00:14:41★★☆☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total down2/2.5 → 22026-08-12 00:14:41★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-12 01:52:33

Key Movements Title

5
08-11 21:59Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line08-12 00:14Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line08-11 11:55Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line08-10 11:19Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line08-10 11:19Away price down★★☆☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleNo significant handicap movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-07 17:030.86 -0.75 1.02Opening
08-12 01:520.95 -0.75 0.94No Change
Timeline Title
08-07 17:03 Opening
-0.75
08-12 01:52 Latest
-0.75
8
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved down slightly from the previous observation.
History Title
08-07 17:030.92 2/2.5 0.95Opening
08-11 21:590.87 2 1.00Down Line
08-12 01:520.94 2 0.93No Change
Timeline Title
08-07 17:03 Opening
2/2.5（0.92 / 0.95）
08-11 21:59
2（0.87 / 1.00）
08-12 01:52 Latest
2（0.94 / 0.93）
8
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price increased by a small amount.
History Title
08-07 17:031.58 / 3.92 / 5.29Opening
08-12 01:521.68 / 3.46 / 5.43No Change
Timeline Title
08-07 17:03 Opening
1.58 / 3.92 / 5.29
08-12 01:52 Latest
1.68 / 3.46 / 5.43
8
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
No Change

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA small downward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
08-07 17:0358.8% / 23.7% / 17.6%Opening
08-12 01:5255.7% / 27.1% / 17.2%No Change
Timeline Title
08-07 17:03 Opening
58.76%
08-12 01:52 Latest
55.71%
8
Record Count
0
Change Count
-3.05%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.53%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
08-12 00:14
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.31 points (58.76% to 55.45%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-12 00:14
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 1.58 to 1.69 (+7.0%) - market cautious on home.
08-12 00:14
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U 2/2.5 to 2, -0.25 goals - goal expectation falling.
08-11 21:59
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.71 points (58.76% to 55.05%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-11 21:59
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 1.58 to 1.7 (+7.6%) - market cautious on home.
08-11 11:55
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.93 points (58.76% to 55.83%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-11 11:55
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped 5.29 to 5.06 (-4.3%) - market backing away.
08-11 11:55
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 1.58 to 1.68 (+6.3%) - market cautious on home.
08-10 11:19
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.52 points (58.76% to 56.24%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-10 11:19
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped 5.29 to 5.04 (-4.7%) - market backing away.
08-10 11:19
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 1.58 to 1.66 (+5.1%) - market cautious on home.
08-09 15:17
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped 5.29 to 5.11 (-3.4%) - market backing away.
08-09 15:17
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Home win odds rose 1.58 to 1.64 (+3.8%) - market cautious on home.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-07 17:03
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-11 21:59
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

0
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
0
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
8
Total Records
6Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-07
08-08
08-09
08-10
08-11
08-12
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