FK Buducnost Podgorica vs Arsenal Tivat Odds Movement Analysis | Montenegrin First League | 168.Tips

Montenegrin First League 2026-10-23 00:00
FK Buducnost PodgoricaFK Buducnost Podgorica
VS
Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-22 16:40:43
Finished Kicked Off
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.78 -0.5 0.92
Over Under 0.82 3.5 0.88
Europe 1.60 | 3.53 | 5.21
Probability 56.8% | 25.8% | 17.4%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the away side.
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
0
Market Signals Title
No Threshold Signal
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-10-22 16:40:43

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Key Movements Title

5
10-22 14:29Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-22 12:22Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-22 11:04Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-22 09:39Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-22 03:34Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap moved down two steps across the observed period.
History Title
10-21 19:200.85 -1 0.85Opening
10-22 03:340.98 -1.25 0.72Up Line
10-22 07:131.24 -1.5 0.52Up Line
10-22 09:390.98 -1.25 0.72Down Line
10-22 16:400.78 -0.5 0.92Down Line
0.520.881.241611Home WaterAway Water-0.5
Timeline Title
10-21 19:20 Opening
-1
10-22 03:34
-1.25
10-22 07:13
-1.5
10-22 09:39
-1.25
10-22 16:40
-0.5
10-22 16:40 Latest
-0.5
11
Record Count
4
Change Count
2
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved notably higher.
History Title
10-21 19:200.85 2.5 0.85Opening
10-22 16:400.82 3.5 0.88Up Line
0.750.850.951611OverUnder3.5
Timeline Title
10-21 19:20 Opening
2.5（0.85 / 0.85）
10-22 16:40
3.5（0.82 / 0.88）
10-22 16:40 Latest
3.5（0.82 / 0.88）
11
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved up slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
10-21 19:201.49 / 3.73 / 5.73Opening
10-21 21:221.44 / 3.86 / 6.34Away Odds Up
10-22 16:401.60 / 3.53 / 5.21Home Odds Up
1.414.106.791611HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-21 19:20 Opening
1.49 / 3.73 / 5.73
10-21 21:22
1.44 / 3.86 / 6.34
10-22 16:40
1.60 / 3.53 / 5.21
10-22 16:40 Latest
1.60 / 3.53 / 5.21
11
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved down by a small amount.
History Title
10-21 19:2060.3% / 24.1% / 15.7%Opening
10-22 16:4056.8% / 25.8% / 17.4%Home Prob Down
13.338.764.11611Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-21 19:20 Opening
60.26%
10-22 16:40
56.81%
10-22 16:40 Latest
56.81%
11
Record Count
1
Change Count
-3.45%
Home Prob Cumulative
±7.07%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
10-22 14:29
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.41 points to 13.26% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-22 14:29
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.62 points to 63.88% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-22 14:29
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.73 to 6.79 (+18.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-22 14:29
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.49 to 1.41 (-5.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-22 14:29
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1 to 1/1.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-22 12:22
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.34 points to 13.33% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-22 12:22
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.4 points to 63.66% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-22 12:22
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.73 to 6.78 (+18.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-22 12:22
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.49 to 1.42 (-4.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-22 11:04
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.33 points to 13.34% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-22 11:04
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.81 points to 64.07% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-22 11:04
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 5.73 to 6.77 (+18.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-22 11:04
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.49 to 1.41 (-5.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-22 09:39
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.08 points to 63.34% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-22 09:39
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 5.73 to 6.56 (+14.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-22 09:39
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.49 to 1.42 (-4.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-22 07:13
🟢Handicap up★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1 to 1.5, up 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market backing home side strongly.
10-22 03:34
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.72 points to 62.98% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-22 03:34
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 5.73 to 6.47 (+12.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-22 03:34
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1 to 1/1.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-22 03:34
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.49 to 1.43 (-4.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-22 00:45
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.66 points to 62.92% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-22 00:45
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 5.73 to 6.42 (+12.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-21 23:01
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.65 points to 62.91% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-21 23:01
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 5.73 to 6.44 (+12.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-21 21:22
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.23 points to 62.49% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-21 21:22
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 5.73 to 6.34 (+10.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-21 21:22
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.49 to 1.44 (-3.4%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-21 19:20
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-21 21:22
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
10-22 03:34
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-22 07:13
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-22 09:39
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-22 16:40
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-22 16:40
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-22 16:40
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
10-22 16:40
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob DownProbability

Overview Stats Title

4
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
11
Total Records
2Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
10-21
10-22
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