Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar Odds Movement Analysis | Eredivisie | 168 Tips

Eredivisie 2026-10-11 00:45
FeyenoordFeyenoord
VS
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-10 13:35:35
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.90 -0.75 0.99
Over Under 0.83 3/3.5 1.05
Europe 1.69 | 4.09 | 4.30
Probability 55.4% | 22.9% | 21.8%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
European Odds, Implied Probability are aligned toward the home side. Evidence Label: 1.8 → 1.67
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
2
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-10 13:35:35

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Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe main handicap line was stable, with a change in the home-side water.
History Title
10-04 07:101.05 -0.75 0.83Opening
10-10 07:231.06 -1 0.83Up Line
10-10 11:440.88 -0.75 1.01Down Line
10-10 13:350.90 -0.75 0.99No Change
0.830.951.0611121Home WaterAway Water-0.75
Timeline Title
10-04 07:10 Opening
-0.75
10-10 07:23
-1
10-10 11:44
-0.75
10-10 13:35 Latest
-0.75
21
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-04 07:100.87 3/3.5 0.99Opening
10-10 07:231.02 3.5 0.86Up Line
10-10 11:440.83 3/3.5 1.05Down Line
10-10 13:350.83 3/3.5 1.05No Change
0.770.931.0911121OverUnder3/3.5
Timeline Title
10-04 07:10 Opening
3/3.5(0.87 / 0.99)
10-10 07:23
3.5(1.02 / 0.86)
10-10 11:44
3/3.5(0.83 / 1.05)
10-10 13:35 Latest
3/3.5(0.83 / 1.05)
21
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved down slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
10-04 07:101.80 / 3.78 / 3.89Opening
10-10 07:231.70 / 4.04 / 4.31Away Odds Up
10-10 13:351.69 / 4.09 / 4.30No Change
1.673.024.3811121HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-04 07:10 Opening
1.80 / 3.78 / 3.89
10-10 07:23
1.70 / 4.04 / 4.31
10-10 13:35 Latest
1.69 / 4.09 / 4.30
21
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved up by a small amount.
History Title
10-04 07:1051.6% / 24.6% / 23.9%Opening
10-10 13:3555.4% / 22.9% / 21.8%No Change
21.438.756.011121Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-04 07:10 Opening
51.58%
10-10 13:35 Latest
55.36%
21
Record Count
0
Change Count
+3.78%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.62%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-10 11:44
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.52 points to 21.35% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 11:44
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.42 points to 56.0% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 11:44
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.89 to 4.38 (+12.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-10 11:44
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.8 to 1.67 (-7.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-10 07:23
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.14 points to 21.73% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 07:23
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.51 points to 55.09% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 07:23
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.89 to 4.31 (+10.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-10 07:23
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.8 to 1.7 (-5.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-10 07:23
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3/3.5 to 3.5, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-10 07:23
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0.5/1 to 1, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-04 07:10
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-10 07:23
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-10 07:23
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-10 07:23
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
10-10 11:44
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-10 11:44
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
21
Total Records
7Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status · Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-04
10-05
10-06
10-07
10-08
10-09
10-10
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