UEFA Europa League

FC Thun vs Víkingur Reykjavík Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Europa League | 168 Tips

FC Thun
VS
Víkingur Reykjavík
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-07 00:36:11
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.87 -1 0.95
Over Under 0.80 3 1.00
Europe 1.50 | 4.44 | 5.44
Probability 62.0% | 20.9% | 17.1%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Three core directional markets show the same away-side direction. Evidence Label: 1.38 → 1.5
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★★☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★☆☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★☆☆☆🔴 Total down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down-1.5 → -12026-08-07 00:36:11★★☆☆☆Home price up1.38 → 1.52026-08-07 00:36:11★★★☆☆Home win prob. down66.87 → 61.972026-08-07 00:36:11★★☆☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total down3/3.5 → 32026-08-07 00:36:11★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-07 00:36:11

Key Movements Title

5
08-06 17:47Away price down★★★★★Key Movement Line08-06 23:23Away price down★★★★★Key Movement Line08-07 00:36Away price down★★★★★Key Movement Line08-06 17:47Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line08-07 00:36Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line declined two tiers from the opening position.
History Title
08-04 21:061.02 -1.5 0.80Opening
08-06 12:140.99 -1.25 0.83Down Line
08-06 17:470.99 -1 0.81Down Line
08-06 23:230.80 -1 1.02home_water_down
08-07 00:360.87 -1 0.95No Change
Timeline Title
08-04 21:06 Opening
-1.5
08-06 12:14
-1.25
08-06 17:47
-1
08-06 23:23
-1
08-07 00:36 Latest
-1
6
Record Count
3
Change Count
0
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved to a lower level.
History Title
08-04 21:060.84 3/3.5 0.96Opening
08-06 12:141.00 3/3.5 0.80Over Water Up
08-06 23:230.85 3 0.95Down Line
08-07 00:360.80 3 1.00No Change
Timeline Title
08-04 21:06 Opening
3/3.5（0.84 / 0.96）
08-06 12:14
3/3.5（1.00 / 0.80）
08-06 23:23
3（0.85 / 0.95）
08-07 00:36 Latest
3（0.80 / 1.00）
6
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price increased by a small amount.
History Title
08-04 21:061.38 / 4.93 / 6.40Opening
08-06 12:141.44 / 4.61 / 5.90Away Odds Down
08-06 17:471.51 / 4.42 / 5.36Away Odds Down
08-07 00:361.50 / 4.44 / 5.44No Change
Timeline Title
08-04 21:06 Opening
1.38 / 4.93 / 6.40
08-06 12:14
1.44 / 4.61 / 5.90
08-06 17:47
1.51 / 4.42 / 5.36
08-07 00:36 Latest
1.50 / 4.44 / 5.44
6
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
2
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability decreased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
08-04 21:0666.9% / 18.7% / 14.4%Opening
08-07 00:3662.0% / 20.9% / 17.1%No Change
Timeline Title
08-04 21:06 Opening
66.87%
08-07 00:36 Latest
61.97%
6
Record Count
0
Change Count
-4.90%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.65%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
08-07 00:36
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.67 points (14.42% to 17.09%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 00:36
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.9 points (66.87% to 61.97%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 00:36
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped 6.4 to 5.44 (-15.0%) - market backing away.
08-07 00:36
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 1.38 to 1.5 (+8.7%) - market cautious on home.
08-07 00:36
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U 3/3.5 to 3, -0.25 goals - goal expectation falling.
08-07 00:36
🔴Handicap down★★☆☆☆
Handicap 0.5 to 1, -2 steps (0.5 goals) - away backing rising.
08-06 23:23
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.75 points (14.42% to 17.17%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-06 23:23
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.95 points (66.87% to 61.92%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-06 23:23
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped 6.4 to 5.41 (-15.5%) - market backing away.
08-06 17:47
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.93 points (14.42% to 17.35%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-06 17:47
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.27 points (66.87% to 61.6%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-06 17:47
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped 6.4 to 5.36 (-16.2%) - market backing away.
08-06 17:47
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 1.38 to 1.51 (+9.4%) - market cautious on home.
08-06 12:14
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.62 points (66.87% to 64.25%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-06 12:14
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 6.4 to 5.9 (-7.8%) - market backing away.
08-06 12:14
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Home win odds rose 1.38 to 1.44 (+4.3%) - market cautious on home.
08-06 12:14
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap 0.5 to 0.5/1, -1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward away side.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-04 21:06
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-06 12:14
Handicap Down LineHandicap
08-06 12:14
Over Under Over Water UpOver Under
08-06 12:14
Europe Away Odds DownEurope
08-06 17:47
Handicap Down LineHandicap
08-06 17:47
Europe Away Odds DownEurope
08-06 23:23
Handicap home_water_downHandicap
08-06 23:23
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
6
Total Records
4Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-04
08-05
08-06
08-07
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