Swiss Super League

FC St. Gallen vs FC Luzern Odds Movement Analysis | Swiss Super League | 168 Tips

FC St. Gallen
VS
FC Luzern
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-09 19:15:21
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.88 -0.5 1.01
Over Under 1.02 3.5 0.85
Europe 1.87 | 3.88 | 3.56
Probability 49.8% | 24.0% | 26.2%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
European Odds, Implied Probability both indicate movement toward the home side. Evidence Label: 1.99 → 1.87
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🟢 Home price down ★★★☆☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★☆☆☆🟢 Total up ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Home price down1.99 → 1.872026-08-09 19:15:21★★★☆☆Home win prob. up46.32 → 49.822026-08-09 19:15:21★★☆☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total up3/3.5 → 3.52026-08-09 19:15:21★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-09 19:15:21

Key Movements Title

5
08-09 17:48Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-09 19:15Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-09 16:40Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-09 14:50Away price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line08-09 19:15Home price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleNo significant handicap movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-05 14:431.02 -0.5 0.86Opening
08-06 13:400.73 -0.25 1.04Down Line
08-07 16:101.02 -0.5 0.86Up Line
08-09 19:150.88 -0.5 1.01No Change
Timeline Title
08-05 14:43 Opening
-0.5
08-06 13:40
-0.25
08-07 16:10
-0.5
08-09 19:15 Latest
-0.5
8
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleA small upward change in the total-goals line was recorded.
History Title
08-05 14:430.91 3/3.5 0.96Opening
08-09 19:151.02 3.5 0.85Up Line
Timeline Title
08-05 14:43 Opening
3/3.5（0.91 / 0.96）
08-09 19:15
3.5（1.02 / 0.85）
08-09 19:15 Latest
3.5（1.02 / 0.85）
8
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price decreased by a small amount.
History Title
08-05 14:431.99 / 3.68 / 3.22Opening
08-09 19:151.87 / 3.88 / 3.56No Change
Timeline Title
08-05 14:43 Opening
1.99 / 3.68 / 3.22
08-09 19:15 Latest
1.87 / 3.88 / 3.56
8
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
No Change

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability increased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
08-05 14:4346.3% / 25.1% / 28.6%Opening
08-09 19:1549.8% / 24.0% / 26.2%No Change
Timeline Title
08-05 14:43 Opening
46.32%
08-09 19:15 Latest
49.82%
8
Record Count
0
Change Count
+3.50%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.81%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
08-09 19:15
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.46 points (28.63% to 26.17%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 19:15
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.5 points (46.32% to 49.82%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 19:15
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose 3.22 to 3.56 (+10.6%) - market cautious on away.
08-09 19:15
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U 3/3.5 to 3.5, +0.25 goals - goal expectation rising.
08-09 19:15
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 1.99 to 1.87 (-6.0%) - market backing home.
08-09 17:48
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.55 points (28.63% to 26.08%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 17:48
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.47 points (46.32% to 49.79%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 17:48
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose 3.22 to 3.57 (+10.9%) - market cautious on away.
08-09 16:40
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.53 points (28.63% to 26.1%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 16:40
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.38 points (46.32% to 49.7%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 16:40
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose 3.22 to 3.56 (+10.6%) - market cautious on away.
08-09 14:50
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.25 points (28.63% to 26.38%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 14:50
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.06 points (46.32% to 49.38%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 14:50
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 3.22 to 3.52 (+9.3%) - market cautious on away.
08-09 14:50
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 1.99 to 1.88 (-5.5%) - market backing home.
08-08 16:20
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 3.22 to 3.41 (+5.9%) - market cautious on away.
08-08 16:20
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Home win odds dropped 1.99 to 1.92 (-3.5%) - market backing home.
08-06 13:40
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap 0.5 to 0/0.5, -1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward away side.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-05 14:43
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-06 13:40
Handicap Down LineHandicap
08-07 16:10
Handicap Up LineHandicap
08-09 19:15
Over Under Up LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
0
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
8
Total Records
5Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-05
08-06
08-07
08-08
08-09
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