Eerste Divisie

FC Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax Odds Movement Analysis | Eerste Divisie | 168 Tips

FC Dordrecht
VS
Jong Ajax
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-08 00:40:34
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.83 -0.75 1.05
Over Under 0.99 3/3.5 0.87
Europe 1.56 | 4.39 | 4.74
Probability 59.4% | 21.1% | 19.5%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 1.44 → 1.56
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★★☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★☆☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down-1.25 → -0.752026-08-08 00:40:34★★☆☆☆Home price up1.44 → 1.562026-08-08 00:40:34★★★☆☆Home win prob. down63.63 → 59.372026-08-08 00:40:34★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-08 00:40:34

Key Movements Title

5
08-08 00:40Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-07 23:17Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-08 00:40Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line08-07 23:17Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line08-07 21:50Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line declined two tiers from the opening position.
History Title
08-04 21:290.97 -1.25 0.85Opening
08-07 18:160.88 -1 1.00Down Line
08-08 00:400.83 -0.75 1.05Down Line
Timeline Title
08-04 21:29 Opening
-1.25
08-07 18:16
-1
08-08 00:40
-0.75
08-08 00:40 Latest
-0.75
8
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Up Count
2
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-04 21:290.90 3/3.5 0.90Opening
08-08 00:400.99 3/3.5 0.87No Change
Timeline Title
08-04 21:29 Opening
3/3.5（0.90 / 0.90）
08-08 00:40 Latest
3/3.5（0.99 / 0.87）
8
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price increased by a small amount.
History Title
08-04 21:291.44 / 4.65 / 5.50Opening
08-07 18:161.49 / 4.56 / 5.22Away Odds Down
08-08 00:401.56 / 4.39 / 4.74No Change
Timeline Title
08-04 21:29 Opening
1.44 / 4.65 / 5.50
08-07 18:16
1.49 / 4.56 / 5.22
08-08 00:40 Latest
1.56 / 4.39 / 4.74
8
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability decreased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
08-04 21:2963.6% / 19.7% / 16.7%Opening
08-08 00:4059.4% / 21.1% / 19.5%No Change
Timeline Title
08-04 21:29 Opening
63.63%
08-08 00:40 Latest
59.37%
8
Record Count
0
Change Count
-4.26%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.99%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
08-08 00:40
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.88 points (16.66% to 19.54%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-08 00:40
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.26 points (63.63% to 59.37%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-08 00:40
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped 5.5 to 4.74 (-13.8%) - market backing away.
08-08 00:40
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 1.44 to 1.56 (+8.3%) - market cautious on home.
08-08 00:40
🔴Handicap down★★☆☆☆
Handicap 0.5/1 to 0.5/1, -2 steps (0.5 goals) - away backing rising.
08-07 23:17
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.33 points (16.66% to 18.99%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 23:17
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.45 points (63.63% to 60.18%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 23:17
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped 5.5 to 4.88 (-11.3%) - market backing away.
08-07 23:17
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 1.44 to 1.54 (+6.9%) - market cautious on home.
08-07 23:17
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap 0.5/1 to 1, -1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward away side.
08-07 21:50
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.04 points (63.63% to 61.59%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 21:50
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 5.5 to 5.13 (-6.7%) - market backing away.
08-07 21:50
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Home win odds rose 1.44 to 1.5 (+4.2%) - market cautious on home.
08-07 18:16
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 5.5 to 5.22 (-5.1%) - market backing away.
08-07 18:16
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Home win odds rose 1.44 to 1.49 (+3.5%) - market cautious on home.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-04 21:29
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-07 18:16
Handicap Down LineHandicap
08-07 18:16
Europe Away Odds DownEurope
08-08 00:40
Handicap Down LineHandicap

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
8
Total Records
5Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-04
08-05
08-06
08-07
08-08
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