Primeira Liga

FC Arouca vs Moreirense FC Odds Movement Analysis | Primeira Liga | 168 Tips

FC AroucaFC Arouca
VS
Moreirense FC
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-17 00:09:05
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.91 -0.5 0.98
Over Under 0.88 2/2.5 0.98
Europe 1.92 | 3.35 | 4.07
Probability 48.9% | 28.0% | 23.1%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the home side. Evidence Label: 2.15 → 1.92
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-17 00:09:05

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line moved upward by one tier from the prior observation.
History Title
08-11 13:140.96 -0.25 0.92Opening
08-16 21:030.98 -0.5 0.91Up Line
08-17 00:090.91 -0.5 0.98No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 13:14 Opening
-0.25
08-16 21:03
-0.5
08-17 00:09 Latest
-0.5
12
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-11 13:140.91 2/2.5 0.95Opening
08-17 00:090.88 2/2.5 0.98No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 13:14 Opening
2/2.5(0.91 / 0.95)
08-17 00:09 Latest
2/2.5(0.88 / 0.98)
12
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved down noticeably from the opening observation.
History Title
08-11 13:142.15 / 3.21 / 3.33Opening
08-16 21:032.00 / 3.29 / 3.84Away Odds Up
08-17 00:091.92 / 3.35 / 4.07No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 13:14 Opening
2.15 / 3.21 / 3.33
08-16 21:03
2.00 / 3.29 / 3.84
08-17 00:09 Latest
1.92 / 3.35 / 4.07
12
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability increased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
08-11 13:1443.2% / 28.9% / 27.9%Opening
08-17 00:0948.9% / 28.0% / 23.1%No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 13:14 Opening
43.19%
08-17 00:09 Latest
48.90%
12
Record Count
0
Change Count
+5.71%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.15%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
08-17 00:09
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.81 points (27.88% to 23.07%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 00:09
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.71 points (43.19% to 48.9%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-17 00:09
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 3.33 to 4.07 (+22.2%) - market cautious on away.
08-17 00:09
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Home win odds dropped 2.15 to 1.92 (-10.7%) - market backing home.
08-17 00:09
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap 0/0.5 to 0.5, +1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward home side.
08-16 23:43
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.77 points (27.88% to 24.11%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 23:43
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.18 points (43.19% to 47.37%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 23:43
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 3.33 to 3.89 (+16.8%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 23:43
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 2.15 to 1.98 (-7.9%) - market backing home.
08-16 22:37
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.66 points (27.88% to 24.22%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 22:37
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.03 points (43.19% to 47.22%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 22:37
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 3.33 to 3.88 (+16.5%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 22:37
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 2.15 to 1.99 (-7.4%) - market backing home.
08-16 21:03
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.41 points (27.88% to 24.47%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 21:03
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.79 points (43.19% to 46.98%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 21:03
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 3.33 to 3.84 (+15.3%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 21:03
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 2.15 to 2.0 (-7.0%) - market backing home.
08-16 16:48
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 3.33 to 3.57 (+7.2%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 10:05
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 3.33 to 3.55 (+6.6%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 01:05
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 3.33 to 3.53 (+6.0%) - market cautious on away.
08-15 12:30
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 3.33 to 3.52 (+5.7%) - market cautious on away.
08-14 23:25
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Home win odds dropped 2.15 to 2.07 (-3.7%) - market backing home.
08-13 16:33
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose 3.33 to 3.48 (+4.5%) - market cautious on away.
08-13 16:33
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Home win odds dropped 2.15 to 2.08 (-3.3%) - market backing home.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-11 13:14
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-16 21:03
Handicap Up LineHandicap
08-16 21:03
Europe Away Odds UpEurope

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
12
Total Records
7Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status · Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-11
08-13
08-14
08-15
08-16
08-17