10
Record Count
J1 League
V-Varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama vs V-Varen Nagasaki Odds Movement Analysis | J1 League | 168 Tips
Fagiano Okayama
VS
V-Varen Nagasaki
Finished
Kicked Off
Snapshot Title
Snapshot Latest
Handicap
1.04 -1 0.85
Over Under
1.01 2.5 0.87
Europe
1.75 | 3.56 | 4.79
Probability
53.9% | 26.5% | 19.7%
Signal Summary Title
Market State Title: Market State MovingMarket Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Three core directional markets show the same home-side direction. Evidence Label: 2.16 → 1.75
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
Supporting Signals Title
Independent Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★★★
Core market signals point in the same direction.
Live Monitoring Label: Finished
Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off
Market State Latest: 2026-08-15 17:49:49
Key Movements Title
5Handicap
OfComment TitleThe handicap moved up by three or more tiers from the opening position.
History Title
08-11 12:280.92 -0.25 0.96Opening
08-15 13:290.96 -0.5 0.93Up Line
08-15 16:090.96 -0.75 0.93Up Line
08-15 17:491.04 -1 0.85Up Line
Timeline Title
08-11 12:28 Opening
-0.25
08-15 13:29
-0.5
08-15 16:09
-0.75
08-15 17:49
-1
08-15 17:49 Latest
-1
3
Change Count
3
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★Over Under
OfComment TitleThe observed total line moved to a higher level.
History Title
08-11 12:280.89 2/2.5 0.98Opening
08-15 17:491.01 2.5 0.87Up Line
Timeline Title
08-11 12:28 Opening
2/2.5（0.89 / 0.98）
08-15 17:49
2.5（1.01 / 0.87）
08-15 17:49 Latest
2.5（1.01 / 0.87）
10
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★Europe
OfComment TitleThe home 1X2 price decreased by a large amount.
History Title
08-11 12:282.16 / 3.19 / 3.29Opening
08-15 13:292.05 / 3.27 / 3.61Away Odds Up
08-15 14:531.94 / 3.35 / 3.91Home Odds Down
08-15 16:091.82 / 3.47 / 4.41Home Odds Down
08-15 17:491.75 / 3.56 / 4.79No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:28 Opening
2.16 / 3.19 / 3.29
08-15 13:29
2.05 / 3.27 / 3.61
08-15 14:53
1.94 / 3.35 / 3.91
08-15 16:09
1.82 / 3.47 / 4.41
08-15 17:49 Latest
1.75 / 3.56 / 4.79
10
Record Count
3
Change Count
2
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★Probability
OfComment TitleThe home implied probability increased materially from the opening observation.
History Title
08-11 12:2842.9% / 29.0% / 28.1%Opening
08-15 16:0951.6% / 27.1% / 21.3%Home Prob Up
08-15 17:4953.9% / 26.5% / 19.7%No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:28 Opening
42.85%
08-15 16:09
51.62%
08-15 17:49 Latest
53.85%
10
Record Count
1
Change Count
+11.00%
Home Prob Cumulative
±3.43%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★Title
Count Suffix08-15 17:49
Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 8.46 points (28.13% to 19.67%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 17:49
Home win prob. up★★★★☆
Home win probability increased by 11.0 points (42.85% to 53.85%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 17:49
Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 3.29 to 4.79 (+45.6%) - market cautious on away.
08-15 17:49
Home price down★★★★★
Home win odds dropped 2.16 to 1.75 (-19.0%) - market backing home.
08-15 17:49
Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U 2/2.5 to 2.5, +0.25 goals - goal expectation rising.
08-15 17:49
Handicap volatile★★★☆☆
Handicap oscillated 3 steps today (low 1 to high 4) - market divergence notable
08-15 17:49
Handicap up★★★☆☆
Handicap 0/0.5 to 1, +3 steps (0.75 goals) - home backing rising.
08-15 17:20
Handicap up★★☆☆☆
Handicap 0/0.5 to 0.5/1, +2 steps (0.5 goals) - home backing rising.
08-15 16:09
Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 6.83 points (28.13% to 21.3%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 16:09
Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 8.77 points (42.85% to 51.62%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 16:09
Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 3.29 to 4.41 (+34.0%) - market cautious on away.
08-15 16:09
Home price down★★★★★
Home win odds dropped 2.16 to 1.82 (-15.7%) - market backing home.
08-15 14:53
Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.22 points (28.13% to 23.91%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 14:53
Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.34 points (42.85% to 48.19%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 14:53
Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 3.29 to 3.91 (+18.8%) - market cautious on away.
08-15 14:53
Home price down★★★★☆
Home win odds dropped 2.16 to 1.94 (-10.2%) - market backing home.
08-15 14:53
Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap 0/0.5 to 0.5, +1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward home side.
08-15 13:29
Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.26 points (28.13% to 25.87%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 13:29
Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.71 points (42.85% to 45.56%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 13:29
Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 3.29 to 3.61 (+9.7%) - market cautious on away.
08-15 13:29
Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 2.16 to 2.05 (-5.1%) - market backing home.
08-15 11:49
Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose 3.29 to 3.4 (+3.3%) - market cautious on away.
Overview Title
Overview All Modules08-11 12:28
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-15 13:29
Handicap Up LineHandicap
08-15 13:29
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
08-15 14:53
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
08-15 16:09
Handicap Up LineHandicap
08-15 16:09
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
08-15 16:09
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob UpProbability
08-15 17:49
Handicap Up LineHandicap
08-15 17:49
Over Under Up LineOver Under
Overview Stats Title
3
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
3
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
10
Total Records
5Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status · Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-11
08-13
08-14
08-15