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Excelsior Rotterdam vs PSV Eindhoven Odds Movement Analysis | Eredivisie | 168 Tips

Excelsior RotterdamExcelsior Rotterdam
VS
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-16 00:07:59
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.94 +1.25 0.95
Over Under 0.88 3.5 1.00
Europe 5.83 | 4.67 | 1.47
Probability 16.1% | 20.1% | 63.8%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
The core directional markets are aligned toward the away side. Evidence Label: 4.7 → 5.83
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★☆☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★★🔴 Home win prob. down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down+1 → +1.252026-08-16 00:07:59★☆☆☆☆Home price up4.7 → 5.832026-08-16 00:07:59★★★★★Home win prob. down19.79 → 16.092026-08-16 00:07:59★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★★ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-16 00:07:59

Key Movements Title

5
08-16 00:07Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-15 19:07Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-15 15:30Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-15 12:04Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-14 22:37Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small downward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
08-11 12:430.90 +1 0.98Opening
08-15 19:070.90 +1.25 0.99Down Line
08-16 00:070.94 +1.25 0.95No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:43 Opening
+1
08-15 19:07
+1.25
08-16 00:07 Latest
+1.25
8
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-11 12:430.97 3.5 0.90Opening
08-16 00:070.88 3.5 1.00No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:43 Opening
3.5（0.97 / 0.90）
08-16 00:07 Latest
3.5（0.88 / 1.00）
8
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA large upward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
08-11 12:434.70 / 4.28 / 1.59Opening
08-14 22:375.08 / 4.37 / 1.55Home Odds Up
08-15 19:075.65 / 4.57 / 1.50Home Odds Up
08-16 00:075.83 / 4.67 / 1.47No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:43 Opening
4.70 / 4.28 / 1.59
08-14 22:37
5.08 / 4.37 / 1.55
08-15 19:07
5.65 / 4.57 / 1.50
08-16 00:07 Latest
5.83 / 4.67 / 1.47
8
Record Count
2
Change Count
2
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved down by a small amount.
History Title
08-11 12:4319.8% / 21.7% / 58.5%Opening
08-16 00:0716.1% / 20.1% / 63.8%No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:43 Opening
19.79%
08-16 00:07 Latest
16.09%
8
Record Count
0
Change Count
-3.70%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.32%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
08-16 00:07
🟢Away win prob. up★★★☆☆
Away win probability increased by 5.33 points (58.49% to 63.82%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 00:07
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.7 points (19.79% to 16.09%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 00:07
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 1.59 to 1.47 (-7.5%) - market backing away.
08-16 00:07
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Home win odds rose 4.7 to 5.83 (+24.0%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 00:07
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap -1 to -0.5/1, -1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward away side.
08-15 19:07
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.26 points (58.49% to 62.75%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 19:07
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.13 points (19.79% to 16.66%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 19:07
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 1.59 to 1.5 (-5.7%) - market backing away.
08-15 19:07
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Home win odds rose 4.7 to 5.65 (+20.2%) - market cautious on home.
08-15 15:30
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.45 points (58.49% to 60.94%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 15:30
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Home win odds rose 4.7 to 5.22 (+11.1%) - market cautious on home.
08-15 15:30
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped 1.59 to 1.54 (-3.1%) - market backing away.
08-15 12:04
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.22 points (58.49% to 60.71%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 12:04
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Home win odds rose 4.7 to 5.17 (+10.0%) - market cautious on home.
08-14 22:37
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 4.7 to 5.08 (+8.1%) - market cautious on home.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-11 12:43
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-14 22:37
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
08-15 19:07
Handicap Down LineHandicap
08-15 19:07
Europe Home Odds UpEurope

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
8
Total Records
6Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-11
08-12
08-13
08-14
08-15
08-16
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