ES Troyes AC vs Olympique de Marseille Odds Movement Analysis | Ligue 1 | 168 Tips

Ligue 1 2026-10-12 02:45
ES Troyes ACES Troyes AC
VS
Olympique de MarseilleOlympique de Marseille
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-11 17:52:52
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 1.07 +0.25 0.82
Over Under 0.85 2.5/3 1.03
Europe 3.54 | 3.66 | 1.99
Probability 26.7% | 25.8% | 47.5%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, European Odds are aligned toward the home side. Evidence Label: 3.8 → 3.52
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-11 17:52:52

💡 168 Tips Insight

PREMIUM
🔒
Premium Preview
In-depth market analysis & final prediction — coming soon.

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small upward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
10-04 08:541.05 +0.5 0.83Opening
10-11 09:581.07 +0.25 0.82Up Line
10-11 16:400.86 +0.5 1.03Down Line
10-11 17:521.07 +0.25 0.82Up Line
0.820.951.0711427Home WaterAway Water+0.25
Timeline Title
10-04 08:54 Opening
+0.5
10-11 09:58
+0.25
10-11 16:40
+0.5
10-11 17:52
+0.25
10-11 17:52 Latest
+0.25
27
Record Count
3
Change Count
2
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved to a lower level.
History Title
10-04 08:540.96 3 0.91Opening
10-11 16:400.85 2.5/3 1.03Down Line
10-11 17:520.85 2.5/3 1.03No Change
0.820.941.0611427OverUnder2.5/3
Timeline Title
10-04 08:54 Opening
3(0.96 / 0.91)
10-11 16:40
2.5/3(0.85 / 1.03)
10-11 17:52 Latest
2.5/3(0.85 / 1.03)
27
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved down slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
10-04 08:543.80 / 3.83 / 1.84Opening
10-11 17:523.54 / 3.66 / 1.99No Change
1.842.843.8411427HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-04 08:54 Opening
3.80 / 3.83 / 1.84
10-11 17:52 Latest
3.54 / 3.66 / 1.99
27
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
No Change

Probability

Of
Comment TitleNo significant win-probability movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-04 08:5424.6% / 24.4% / 50.9%Opening
10-11 17:5226.7% / 25.8% / 47.5%No Change
24.437.650.911427Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-04 08:54 Opening
24.65%
10-11 17:52 Latest
26.69%
27
Record Count
0
Change Count
+2.04%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.00%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-11 16:40
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.42 points to 47.48% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 16:40
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.19 points to 26.84% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 16:40
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.84 to 1.99 (+8.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-11 16:40
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.8 to 3.52 (-7.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-11 16:40
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 3 to 2.5/3, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-11 14:51
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.31 points to 46.59% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 14:51
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.92 points to 27.57% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 14:51
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.8 to 3.43 (-9.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-11 14:51
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.84 to 2.03 (+10.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-11 14:51
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -0.5 to 0/0.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-11 12:28
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.39 points to 46.51% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 12:28
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.04 points to 27.69% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 12:28
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.8 to 3.41 (-10.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-11 09:58
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.08 points to 46.82% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 09:58
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.76 points to 27.41% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 09:58
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.84 to 2.02 (+9.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-11 09:58
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.8 to 3.45 (-9.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-11 07:34
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.66 points to 48.24% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-11 07:34
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.84 to 1.96 (+6.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-11 07:34
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.8 to 3.58 (-5.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-11 05:25
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.8 to 3.66 (-3.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-11 05:25
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.84 to 1.91 (+3.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-11 00:46
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.8 to 3.65 (-4.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-10 18:33
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.8 to 3.63 (-4.5%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-04 08:54
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-11 09:58
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-11 16:40
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-11 16:40
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-11 17:52
Handicap Up LineHandicap

Overview Stats Title

3
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
0
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
27
Total Records
8Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status · Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-05
10-06
10-07
10-08
10-09
10-10
10-11
Share This Match