18
Record Count
Derby County FC vs Wrexham AFC Odds Movement Analysis | EFL Championship | 168 Tips
EFL Championship 2026-10-10 22:00Derby County FC
VS
Wrexham AFC
Pre Match High Freq
Until Kickoff
Snapshot Title
Snapshot Latest
Handicap
0.81 +0.25 1.07
Over Under
1.00 2.5 0.87
Europe
2.88 | 3.26 | 2.41
Probability
32.5% | 28.7% | 38.8%
Signal Summary Title
Market State Title: Market State MovingMarket Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, European Odds both indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 2.64 → 2.91
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
Supporting Signals Title
Independent Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★☆☆
Core market signals point in the same direction.
Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq
Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff
Market State Latest: 2026-10-10 13:10:47
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Key Movements Title
5Handicap
OfComment TitleThe handicap line moved downward by one tier from the prior observation.
History Title
10-04 06:570.94 0 0.94Opening
10-09 21:260.82 +0.25 1.06Down Line
10-10 13:100.81 +0.25 1.07No Change
Timeline Title
10-04 06:57 Opening
0
10-09 21:26
+0.25
10-10 13:10 Latest
+0.25
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★Over Under
OfComment TitleThe Over/Under line moved up slightly from the previous observation.
History Title
10-04 06:570.82 2/2.5 1.05Opening
10-09 13:241.03 2.5 0.84Up Line
10-10 11:250.84 2/2.5 1.03Down Line
10-10 13:101.00 2.5 0.87Up Line
Timeline Title
10-04 06:57 Opening
2/2.5（0.82 / 1.05）
10-09 13:24
2.5（1.03 / 0.84）
10-10 11:25
2/2.5（0.84 / 1.03）
10-10 13:10
2.5（1.00 / 0.87）
10-10 13:10 Latest
2.5（1.00 / 0.87）
18
Record Count
3
Change Count
2
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★Europe
OfComment TitleA small upward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
10-04 06:572.64 / 3.28 / 2.54Opening
10-10 13:102.88 / 3.26 / 2.41No Change
Timeline Title
10-04 06:57 Opening
2.64 / 3.28 / 2.54
10-10 13:10 Latest
2.88 / 3.26 / 2.41
18
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
No ChangeProbability
OfComment TitleNo significant win-probability movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-04 06:5735.2% / 28.3% / 36.5%Opening
10-10 13:1032.5% / 28.7% / 38.8%No Change
Timeline Title
10-04 06:57 Opening
35.16%
10-10 13:10 Latest
32.48%
18
Record Count
0
Change Count
-2.68%
Home Prob Cumulative
±0.81%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No ChangeTitle
Count Suffix10-10 11:25
Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.61 points to 39.15% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 11:25
Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.01 points to 32.15% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 11:25
Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.54 to 2.39 (-5.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-10 11:25
Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 2.64 to 2.91 (+10.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-10 11:25
Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0 to 0/0.5, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-10 07:04
Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.38 points to 38.92% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 07:04
Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.73 points to 32.43% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 07:04
Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.64 to 2.88 (+9.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-10 07:04
Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.54 to 2.4 (-5.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-10 07:04
Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2/2.5 to 2.5, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-10 04:20
Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.37 points to 38.91% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 04:20
Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.62 points to 32.54% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 04:20
Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.64 to 2.87 (+8.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-10 01:33
Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.22 points to 38.76% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 01:33
Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.49 points to 32.67% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 01:33
Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.54 to 2.41 (-5.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-10 01:33
Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.64 to 2.86 (+8.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-09 21:26
Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.03 points to 38.57% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-09 21:26
Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.18 points to 32.98% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-09 21:26
Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.54 to 2.42 (-4.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-09 21:26
Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.64 to 2.83 (+7.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-09 17:16
Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.54 to 2.45 (-3.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-09 17:16
Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.64 to 2.79 (+5.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-09 13:24
Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.64 to 2.73 (+3.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
Overview Title
Overview All Modules10-04 06:57
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-09 13:24
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-09 21:26
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-10 11:25
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-10 13:10
Over Under Up LineOver Under
Overview Stats Title
1
Handicap Changes
3
Ou Changes
0
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
18
Total Records
7Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status · Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-04
10-05
10-06
10-07
10-08
10-09
10-10
Partners
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