Connah's Quay Nomads vs Penybont FC Odds Movement Analysis | Welsh Premier League | 168 Tips

Welsh Premier League
Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay Nomads
VS
Penybont FCPenybont FC
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-03 18:34:53
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.75 0 1.09
Over Under 3.22 1.5 0.13
Europe 1.76 | 3.49 | 4.13
Probability 51.8% | 26.1% | 22.1%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Conflicted
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Core directional signals are split between European Odds, Implied Probability and Handicap. Evidence Label: 1.87 → 1.8
Market State Agreement
Conflicting
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
2
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Signals are split across markets. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-03 18:34:53

💡 168 Tips Insight

PREMIUM
🔒
Premium Preview
In-depth market analysis & final prediction — coming soon.

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleTwo downward handicap changes were recorded over the observed period.
History Title
10-02 03:160.85 -0.5 0.91Opening
10-03 12:180.97 -0.75 0.87Up Line
10-03 18:340.75 0 1.09Down Line
0.750.921.09158Home WaterAway Water0
Timeline Title
10-02 03:16 Opening
-0.5
10-03 12:18
-0.75
10-03 18:34
0
10-03 18:34 Latest
0
8
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved down materially from the opening position.
History Title
10-02 03:160.95 2.5 0.81Opening
10-03 18:343.22 1.5 0.13Down Line
0.131.683.22158OverUnder1.5
Timeline Title
10-02 03:16 Opening
2.5(0.95 / 0.81)
10-03 18:34
1.5(3.22 / 0.13)
10-03 18:34 Latest
1.5(3.22 / 0.13)
8
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved down slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
10-02 03:161.87 / 3.39 / 3.73Opening
10-03 12:181.80 / 3.47 / 3.99Away Odds Up
10-03 18:341.76 / 3.49 / 4.13No Change
1.762.944.13158HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-02 03:16 Opening
1.87 / 3.39 / 3.73
10-03 12:18
1.80 / 3.47 / 3.99
10-03 18:34 Latest
1.76 / 3.49 / 4.13
8
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA small upward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
10-02 03:1648.7% / 26.9% / 24.4%Opening
10-03 18:3451.8% / 26.1% / 22.1%No Change
22.136.951.8158Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-02 03:16 Opening
48.71%
10-03 18:34 Latest
51.80%
8
Record Count
0
Change Count
+3.09%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.72%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-03 12:18
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.06 points to 50.77% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-03 12:18
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.73 to 3.99 (+7.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-03 12:18
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.87 to 1.8 (-3.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-03 12:18
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0.5 to 0.5/1, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-02 03:16
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-03 12:18
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-03 12:18
Europe Away Odds UpEurope
10-03 18:34
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-03 18:34
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
8
Total Records
2Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status · Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-02
10-03
Share This Match