EFL Cup

Burnley FC vs Notts County FC Odds Movement Analysis | EFL Cup | 168 Tips

Burnley FC
VS
Notts County FC
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-08 19:13:21
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.97 -1.25 0.85
Over Under 0.90 2.5/3 0.90
Europe 1.45 | 4.33 | 6.46
Probability 64.1% | 21.5% | 14.4%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
The core directional markets are aligned toward the home side. Evidence Label: 1.53 → 1.45
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-08 19:13:21

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small upward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
08-04 21:560.90 -1 0.86Opening
08-06 12:590.97 -1.25 0.79Up Line
08-08 19:130.97 -1.25 0.85No Change
Timeline Title
08-04 21:56 Opening
-1
08-06 12:59
-1.25
08-08 19:13 Latest
-1.25
8
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-04 21:560.88 2.5/3 0.88Opening
08-08 19:130.90 2.5/3 0.90No Change
Timeline Title
08-04 21:56 Opening
2.5/3(0.88 / 0.88)
08-08 19:13 Latest
2.5/3(0.90 / 0.90)
8
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved down slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
08-04 21:561.53 / 4.05 / 5.40Opening
08-08 19:131.45 / 4.33 / 6.46No Change
Timeline Title
08-04 21:56 Opening
1.53 / 4.05 / 5.40
08-08 19:13 Latest
1.45 / 4.33 / 6.46
8
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
No Change

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA small upward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
08-04 21:5660.2% / 22.7% / 17.1%Opening
08-08 19:1364.1% / 21.5% / 14.4%No Change
Timeline Title
08-04 21:56 Opening
60.20%
08-08 19:13 Latest
64.13%
8
Record Count
0
Change Count
+3.93%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.35%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
08-08 17:44
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.55 points (17.06% to 14.51%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-08 17:44
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.84 points (60.2% to 64.04%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-08 17:44
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 5.4 to 6.4 (+18.5%) - market cautious on away.
08-08 17:44
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 1.53 to 1.45 (-5.2%) - market backing home.
08-08 17:44
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap 1 to 0.5/1, +1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward home side.
08-08 15:50
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.34 points (17.06% to 14.72%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-08 15:50
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.5 points (60.2% to 63.7%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-08 15:50
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 5.4 to 6.32 (+17.0%) - market cautious on away.
08-08 15:50
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Home win odds dropped 1.53 to 1.46 (-4.6%) - market backing home.
08-07 22:45
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.15 points (60.2% to 62.35%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 22:45
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose 5.4 to 6.02 (+11.5%) - market cautious on away.
08-07 15:31
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.05 points (60.2% to 62.25%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-07 15:31
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose 5.4 to 5.96 (+10.4%) - market cautious on away.
08-06 12:59
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose 5.4 to 5.8 (+7.4%) - market cautious on away.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-04 21:56
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-06 12:59
Handicap Up LineHandicap

Overview Stats Title

1
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
0
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
8
Total Records
5Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status · Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-04
08-05
08-06
08-07
08-08