Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna Odds Movement Analysis | Bulgarian First League | 168 Tips

Bulgarian First League
Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa
VS
Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-10 09:16:15
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.87 -0.5 0.99
Over Under 0.94 2/2.5 0.90
Europe 1.83 | 3.26 | 4.26
Probability 50.2% | 28.2% | 21.6%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
European Odds, Implied Probability both indicate movement toward the home side. Evidence Label: 1.94 → 1.82
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
2
Market Signals Title
🟢 Home price down ★★★☆☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Home price down1.94 → 1.822026-10-10 03:17:21★★★☆☆Home win prob. up47.13 → 50.372026-10-10 03:17:21★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-10 09:16:15

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Key Movements Title

5
10-10 03:17Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-09 23:50Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-09 23:50Home price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-10 03:17Home price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line10-09 23:50Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleNo significant handicap movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-09 05:550.93 -0.5 0.83Opening
10-10 09:160.87 -0.5 0.99No Change
0.830.910.99146Home WaterAway Water-0.5
Timeline Title
10-09 05:55 Opening
-0.5
10-10 09:16 Latest
-0.5
6
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-09 05:550.95 2/2.5 0.81Opening
10-10 09:160.94 2/2.5 0.90No Change
0.810.880.95146OverUnder2/2.5
Timeline Title
10-09 05:55 Opening
2/2.5（0.95 / 0.81）
10-10 09:16 Latest
2/2.5（0.94 / 0.90）
6
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved down slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
10-09 05:551.94 / 3.14 / 3.85Opening
10-09 23:501.81 / 3.26 / 4.26Home Odds Down
10-10 09:161.83 / 3.26 / 4.26No Change
1.813.044.28146HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-09 05:55 Opening
1.94 / 3.14 / 3.85
10-09 23:50
1.81 / 3.26 / 4.26
10-10 09:16 Latest
1.83 / 3.26 / 4.26
6
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved up by a small amount.
History Title
10-09 05:5547.1% / 29.1% / 23.8%Opening
10-09 23:5050.5% / 28.0% / 21.5%Home Prob Up
10-10 09:1650.2% / 28.2% / 21.6%No Change
21.436.050.5146Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-09 05:55 Opening
47.13%
10-09 23:50
50.50%
10-10 09:16 Latest
50.23%
6
Record Count
1
Change Count
+3.10%
Home Prob Cumulative
±3.12%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
10-10 03:17
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.33 points to 21.42% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 03:17
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.24 points to 50.37% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-10 03:17
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.85 to 4.28 (+11.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-10 03:17
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.94 to 1.82 (-6.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-09 23:50
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.29 points to 21.46% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-09 23:50
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.37 points to 50.5% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-09 23:50
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.85 to 4.26 (+10.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-09 23:50
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.94 to 1.81 (-6.7%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-09 05:55
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-09 23:50
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
10-09 23:50
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob UpProbability

Overview Stats Title

0
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
6
Total Records
2Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-09
10-10
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