Belarus vs Finland Odds Movement Analysis | UEFA Nations League | 168 Tips

UEFA Nations League
BelarusBelarus
VS
FinlandFinland
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-06 18:44:38
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.84 +0.5 1.05
Over Under 0.83 2 1.05
Europe 4.02 | 3.19 | 1.99
Probability 23.4% | 29.4% | 47.2%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
European Odds, Implied Probability both indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 3.53 → 4.24
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Home price up ★★★★☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★☆☆☆🔴 Total down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Home price up3.53 → 4.242026-10-06 17:33:39★★★★☆Home win prob. down26.39 → 22.132026-10-06 17:33:39★★☆☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total down2/2.5 → 22026-10-06 17:33:39★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-06 18:44:38

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Key Movements Title

5
10-06 13:33Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-06 17:33Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-06 16:05Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-06 10:21Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-06 12:14Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleNo significant handicap movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-05 03:450.84 +0.5 0.98Opening
10-06 18:440.84 +0.5 1.05No Change
0.840.951.051916Home WaterAway Water+0.5
Timeline Title
10-05 03:45 Opening
+0.5
10-06 18:44 Latest
+0.5
16
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleA small downward change in the total-goals line was recorded.
History Title
10-05 03:450.99 2/2.5 0.81Opening
10-06 00:370.84 2 1.03Down Line
10-06 18:440.83 2 1.05Over Water Down
0.800.941.071916OverUnder2
Timeline Title
10-05 03:45 Opening
2/2.5（0.99 / 0.81）
10-06 00:37
2（0.84 / 1.03）
10-06 18:44
2（0.83 / 1.05）
10-06 18:44 Latest
2（0.83 / 1.05）
16
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved up noticeably from the opening observation.
History Title
10-05 03:453.53 / 3.36 / 2.03Opening
10-06 18:444.02 / 3.19 / 1.99Home Odds Down
1.943.124.291916HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-05 03:45 Opening
3.53 / 3.36 / 2.03
10-06 18:44
4.02 / 3.19 / 1.99
10-06 18:44 Latest
4.02 / 3.19 / 1.99
16
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA small downward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
10-05 03:4526.4% / 27.7% / 45.9%Opening
10-06 18:4423.4% / 29.4% / 47.2%No Change
21.935.148.41916Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-05 03:45 Opening
26.39%
10-06 18:44 Latest
23.36%
16
Record Count
0
Change Count
-3.03%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.23%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-06 17:33
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.26 points to 22.13% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 17:33
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.03 to 1.96 (-3.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-06 17:33
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.53 to 4.24 (+20.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-06 17:33
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2/2.5 to 2, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-06 16:05
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.04 points to 22.35% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 16:05
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.53 to 4.21 (+19.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-06 13:33
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.51 points to 48.4% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 13:33
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.5 points to 21.89% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 13:33
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.03 to 1.94 (-4.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-06 13:33
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.53 to 4.29 (+21.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-06 12:14
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.41 points to 22.98% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 12:14
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.53 to 4.09 (+15.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-06 10:21
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.45 points to 22.94% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 10:21
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.53 to 4.1 (+16.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-06 07:41
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.3 points to 23.09% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 07:41
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.53 to 4.07 (+15.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-06 04:31
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.75 points to 23.64% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 04:31
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.53 to 3.97 (+12.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-06 00:37
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.26 points to 24.13% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-06 00:37
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.53 to 3.88 (+9.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 22:23
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.53 to 3.82 (+8.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 20:53
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.11 points to 24.28% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 20:53
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.53 to 3.85 (+9.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 19:14
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.35 points to 24.04% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 19:14
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.03 to 1.96 (-3.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-05 19:14
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 3.53 to 3.89 (+10.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 15:27
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.25 points to 24.14% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-05 15:27
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.03 to 1.95 (-3.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-05 15:27
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.53 to 3.86 (+9.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 11:18
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.53 to 3.78 (+7.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-05 07:15
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.53 to 3.69 (+4.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-05 03:45
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-06 00:37
Over Under Down LineOver Under
10-06 18:44
Over Under Over Water DownOver Under
10-06 18:44
Europe Home Odds DownEurope

Overview Stats Title

0
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
16
Total Records
2Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-05
10-06
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