Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki Odds Movement Analysis | J1 League | 168.Tips

J1 League 2026-11-07 14:00
Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka
VS
V-Varen NagasakiV-Varen Nagasaki
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-11-07 04:40:06
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 1.04 -0.25 0.85
Over Under 0.94 2/2.5 0.94
Europe 2.22 | 3.23 | 3.16
Probability 41.8% | 28.8% | 29.4%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Stable
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
European Odds, Implied Probability both indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 2.03 → 2.2
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
No Market Movement
Market State Evidence
2
Market Signals Title
🔴 Home price up ★★★☆☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Home price up2.03 → 2.22026-11-07 02:44:57★★★☆☆Home win prob. down45.52 → 42.142026-11-07 02:44:57★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-11-07 04:40:06

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Key Movements Title

5
11-07 02:44Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line11-07 02:44Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line11-07 00:49Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line11-06 22:53Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line11-06 19:57Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap tier stayed the same and the away-side water shifted.
History Title
11-05 11:550.82 -0.25 1.06Opening
11-07 04:401.04 -0.25 0.85No Change
0.820.941.061610Home WaterAway Water-0.25
Timeline Title
11-05 11:55 Opening
-0.25
11-07 04:40 Latest
-0.25
10
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
11-05 11:550.86 2/2.5 1.01Opening
11-07 04:400.94 2/2.5 0.94No Change
0.860.941.021610OverUnder2/2.5
Timeline Title
11-05 11:55 Opening
2/2.5（0.86 / 1.01）
11-07 04:40 Latest
2/2.5（0.94 / 0.94）
10
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA small upward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
11-05 11:552.03 / 3.31 / 3.48Opening
11-07 04:402.22 / 3.23 / 3.16No Change
2.032.753.481610HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
11-05 11:55 Opening
2.03 / 3.31 / 3.48
11-07 04:40 Latest
2.22 / 3.23 / 3.16
10
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
No Change

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved down by a small amount.
History Title
11-05 11:5545.5% / 27.9% / 26.6%Opening
11-07 04:4041.8% / 28.8% / 29.4%No Change
26.636.045.51610Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
11-05 11:55 Opening
45.52%
11-07 04:40 Latest
41.84%
10
Record Count
0
Change Count
-3.68%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.37%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
11-07 02:44
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.69 points to 29.25% - market probability distribution shifted.
11-07 02:44
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.38 points to 42.14% - market probability distribution shifted.
11-07 02:44
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.48 to 3.17 (-8.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
11-07 02:44
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.03 to 2.2 (+8.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
11-07 00:49
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.58 points to 29.14% - market probability distribution shifted.
11-07 00:49
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.26 points to 42.26% - market probability distribution shifted.
11-07 00:49
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.48 to 3.19 (-8.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
11-06 22:53
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.53 points to 29.09% - market probability distribution shifted.
11-06 22:53
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.15 points to 42.37% - market probability distribution shifted.
11-06 22:53
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.03 to 2.19 (+7.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
11-06 19:57
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.23 points to 28.79% - market probability distribution shifted.
11-06 19:57
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.0 points to 42.52% - market probability distribution shifted.
11-06 19:57
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.48 to 3.22 (-7.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
11-06 19:57
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.03 to 2.18 (+7.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
11-06 17:56
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.63 points to 42.89% - market probability distribution shifted.
11-06 17:56
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.48 to 3.25 (-6.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
11-06 17:56
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 2.03 to 2.16 (+6.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
11-06 16:29
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.59 points to 42.93% - market probability distribution shifted.
11-06 10:25
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 3.48 to 3.36 (-3.5%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
11-05 11:55
Opening RecordOpening Short

Overview Stats Title

0
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
0
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
10
Total Records
3Day Unit
Monitor Days
No Change
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
11-05
11-06
11-07
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