Major League Soccer

Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls Odds Movement Analysis | Major League Soccer | 168 Tips

Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
VS
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-16 00:12:44
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 1.02 -0.5 0.87
Over Under 1.01 3.5 0.86
Europe 2.00 | 3.94 | 3.17
Probability 46.8% | 23.7% | 29.5%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
European Odds, Implied Probability show the same direction toward the away side. Evidence Label: 1.86 → 2.0
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🔴 Home price up ★★★☆☆🔴 Home win prob. down ★★☆☆☆🟢 Total up ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Home price up1.86 → 2.02026-08-16 00:12:44★★★☆☆Home win prob. down49.99 → 46.762026-08-16 00:12:44★★☆☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total up3/3.5 → 3.52026-08-16 00:12:44★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-16 00:12:44

Key Movements Title

5
08-15 15:37Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-15 19:12Away price down★★★★☆Key Movement Line08-15 12:09Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line08-16 00:12Away price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line08-15 15:37Home price up★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleNo significant handicap movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-11 12:500.92 -0.5 0.96Opening
08-15 12:090.89 -0.25 1.00Down Line
08-15 15:371.04 -0.5 0.85Up Line
08-16 00:121.02 -0.5 0.87No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:50 Opening
-0.5
08-15 12:09
-0.25
08-15 15:37
-0.5
08-16 00:12 Latest
-0.5
8
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleA small upward change in the total-goals line was recorded.
History Title
08-11 12:500.84 3/3.5 1.03Opening
08-15 12:091.02 3.5 0.85Up Line
08-16 00:121.01 3.5 0.86No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:50 Opening
3/3.5（0.84 / 1.03）
08-15 12:09
3.5（1.02 / 0.85）
08-16 00:12 Latest
3.5（1.01 / 0.86）
8
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA small upward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
08-11 12:501.86 / 3.98 / 3.49Opening
08-15 12:092.04 / 3.88 / 3.12Home Odds Up
08-16 00:122.00 / 3.94 / 3.17No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:50 Opening
1.86 / 3.98 / 3.49
08-15 12:09
2.04 / 3.88 / 3.12
08-16 00:12 Latest
2.00 / 3.94 / 3.17
8
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved down by a small amount.
History Title
08-11 12:5050.0% / 23.4% / 26.6%Opening
08-15 12:0945.9% / 24.1% / 30.0%Home Prob Down
08-16 00:1246.8% / 23.7% / 29.5%No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:50 Opening
49.99%
08-15 12:09
45.88%
08-16 00:12 Latest
46.76%
8
Record Count
1
Change Count
-3.23%
Home Prob Cumulative
±3.17%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
08-16 00:12
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.86 points (26.64% to 29.5%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 00:12
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.23 points (49.99% to 46.76%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 00:12
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 3.49 to 3.17 (-9.2%) - market backing away.
08-16 00:12
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 1.86 to 2.0 (+7.5%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 00:12
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U 3/3.5 to 3.5, +0.25 goals - goal expectation rising.
08-15 19:12
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.16 points (26.64% to 29.8%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 19:12
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.66 points (49.99% to 46.33%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 19:12
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped 3.49 to 3.14 (-10.0%) - market backing away.
08-15 19:12
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 1.86 to 2.02 (+8.6%) - market cautious on home.
08-15 15:37
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.35 points (26.64% to 29.99%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 15:37
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.9 points (49.99% to 46.09%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 15:37
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 1.86 to 2.03 (+9.1%) - market cautious on home.
08-15 15:37
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped 3.49 to 3.12 (-10.6%) - market backing away.
08-15 12:09
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.36 points (26.64% to 30.0%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 12:09
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.11 points (49.99% to 45.88%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 12:09
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 1.86 to 2.04 (+9.7%) - market cautious on home.
08-15 12:09
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap 0.5 to 0/0.5, -1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward away side.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-11 12:50
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-15 12:09
Handicap Down LineHandicap
08-15 12:09
Over Under Up LineOver Under
08-15 12:09
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
08-15 12:09
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob DownProbability
08-15 15:37
Handicap Up LineHandicap

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
8
Total Records
6Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-11
08-12
08-13
08-14
08-15
08-16
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