AS Roma vs Genoa CFC Odds Movement Analysis | Serie A | 168 Tips

Serie A 2026-10-18 02:45
AS RomaAS Roma
VS
Genoa CFCGenoa CFC
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-17 17:21:28
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.97 -1 0.92
Over Under 0.99 2.5 0.89
Europe 1.53 | 4.08 | 6.32
Probability 61.8% | 23.2% | 15.0%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 1.31 → 1.54
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
🔴 Handicap down ★★☆☆☆🔴 Home price up ★★★★★🔴 Home win prob. down ★★★☆☆🔴 Total down ★★☆☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap down-1.5 → -12026-10-17 14:46:15★★☆☆☆Home price up1.31 → 1.542026-10-17 14:46:15★★★★★Home win prob. down71.44 → 61.432026-10-17 14:46:15★★★☆☆
Independent Market Signals Title
Total down2.5/3 → 2.52026-10-17 14:46:15★★☆☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★★ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-17 17:21:28

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Key Movements Title

5
10-17 09:48Away price down★★★★★Key Movement Line10-17 12:05Away price down★★★★★Key Movement Line10-17 07:47Away price down★★★★★Key Movement Line10-17 14:46Away price down★★★★★Key Movement Line10-16 23:19Away price down★★★★★Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line declined two tiers from the opening position.
History Title
10-10 10:450.98 -1.5 0.90Opening
10-12 03:390.83 -1.25 1.05Down Line
10-15 05:451.24 -1.5 0.76Up Line
10-15 15:181.02 -1.25 0.86Down Line
10-16 11:450.87 -1 1.01Down Line
10-17 17:210.97 -1 0.92No Change
0.761.001.2411631Home WaterAway Water-1
Timeline Title
10-10 10:45 Opening
-1.5
10-12 03:39
-1.25
10-15 05:45
-1.5
10-15 15:18
-1.25
10-16 11:45
-1
10-17 17:21 Latest
-1
31
Record Count
4
Change Count
1
Up Count
3
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved to a lower level.
History Title
10-10 10:450.85 2.5/3 1.03Opening
10-16 19:050.87 2.5 1.01Down Line
10-17 17:210.99 2.5 0.89No Change
0.820.941.0611631OverUnder2.5
Timeline Title
10-10 10:45 Opening
2.5/3（0.85 / 1.03）
10-16 19:05
2.5（0.87 / 1.01）
10-17 17:21 Latest
2.5（0.99 / 0.89）
31
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved up materially from the opening observation.
History Title
10-10 10:451.31 / 5.25 / 8.72Opening
10-15 05:451.40 / 4.71 / 7.34Away Odds Down
10-16 11:451.47 / 4.40 / 6.55Away Odds Down
10-17 17:211.53 / 4.08 / 6.32No Change
1.315.048.7811631HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-10 10:45 Opening
1.31 / 5.25 / 8.72
10-15 05:45
1.40 / 4.71 / 7.34
10-16 11:45
1.47 / 4.40 / 6.55
10-17 17:21 Latest
1.53 / 4.08 / 6.32
31
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
2
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleA noticeable downward change in home implied probability was recorded.
History Title
10-10 10:4571.4% / 17.8% / 10.7%Opening
10-17 17:2161.8% / 23.2% / 15.0%No Change
10.741.171.411631Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-10 10:45 Opening
71.44%
10-17 17:21 Latest
61.84%
31
Record Count
0
Change Count
-9.60%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.43%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-17 14:46
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.6 points to 15.33% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 14:46
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 8.72 to 6.17 (-29.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 14:46
🔴Home win prob. down★★★★☆
Home win probability decreased by 10.01 points to 61.43% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 14:46
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 1.31 to 1.54 (+17.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 14:46
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5/3 to 2.5, down 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly lower.
10-17 14:46
🔴Handicap down★★☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1.5 to 1, down 2 steps (0.5 goals) from opening - market momentum fading.
10-17 12:05
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.65 points to 15.38% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 12:05
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 8.72 to 6.15 (-29.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 09:48
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.69 points to 15.42% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 09:48
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 9.96 points to 61.48% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 09:48
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 8.72 to 6.14 (-29.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 07:47
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.6 points to 15.33% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 07:47
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 9.7 points to 61.74% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 07:47
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 8.72 to 6.16 (-29.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 07:47
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 1.31 to 1.53 (+16.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 03:47
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.65 points to 15.38% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 03:47
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 9.53 points to 61.91% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 23:19
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.48 points to 15.21% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 23:19
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 9.22 points to 62.22% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 23:19
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 8.72 to 6.22 (-28.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 23:19
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 1.31 to 1.52 (+16.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 21:14
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.45 points to 15.18% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 21:14
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 9.24 points to 62.2% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 21:14
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 8.72 to 6.23 (-28.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 19:05
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.24 points to 14.97% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 19:05
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 8.78 points to 62.66% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 19:05
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 8.72 to 6.32 (-27.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 19:05
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 1.31 to 1.51 (+15.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 15:20
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 4.14 points to 14.87% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 15:20
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 8.29 points to 63.15% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 15:20
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 8.72 to 6.37 (-26.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 15:20
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.31 to 1.5 (+14.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 11:45
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.67 points to 14.4% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 11:45
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 7.28 points to 64.16% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 11:45
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 8.72 to 6.55 (-24.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 11:45
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 1.31 to 1.47 (+12.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 07:38
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.92 points to 13.65% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 07:38
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.85 points to 65.59% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 07:38
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 8.72 to 6.92 (-20.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 07:38
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.31 to 1.44 (+9.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 07:38
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 1.5 to 1/1.5, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.
10-16 03:27
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.82 points to 13.55% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 03:27
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.67 points to 65.77% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 03:27
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 8.72 to 6.94 (-20.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 03:27
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.31 to 1.43 (+9.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 22:58
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.81 points to 13.54% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 22:58
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.65 points to 65.79% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 22:58
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 8.72 to 6.95 (-20.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 19:37
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.76 points to 13.49% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 19:37
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.61 points to 65.83% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 19:37
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 8.72 to 6.98 (-19.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 15:18
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.74 points to 13.47% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 15:18
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.6 points to 65.84% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 15:18
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 8.72 to 6.99 (-19.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 05:45
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.09 points to 12.82% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 05:45
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.23 points to 67.21% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 05:45
🟢Away price down★★★★★
Away win odds dropped from 8.72 to 7.34 (-15.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-15 05:45
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.31 to 1.4 (+6.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 20:04
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.82 points to 68.62% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 20:04
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 8.72 to 7.78 (-10.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 20:04
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.31 to 1.37 (+4.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 10:54
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.79 points to 68.65% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 10:54
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 8.72 to 7.84 (-10.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-14 00:01
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.77 points to 68.67% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-14 00:01
🟢Away price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 8.72 to 7.83 (-10.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 15:33
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.35 points to 69.09% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 15:33
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 8.72 to 7.93 (-9.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 15:33
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.31 to 1.36 (+3.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 07:00
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 8.72 to 8.16 (-6.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 07:00
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 1.31 to 1.35 (+3.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-12 21:16
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 8.72 to 8.06 (-7.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-12 12:41
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 8.72 to 8.08 (-7.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-12 03:39
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.04 points to 69.4% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-12 03:39
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 8.72 to 8.13 (-6.8%) - away side attracting more attention.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-10 10:45
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-12 03:39
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-15 05:45
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-15 05:45
Europe Away Odds DownEurope
10-15 15:18
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-16 11:45
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-16 11:45
Europe Away Odds DownEurope
10-16 19:05
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

4
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
2
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
31
Total Records
8Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-11
10-12
10-13
10-14
10-15
10-16
10-17
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