FA Community Shield

Arsenal FC vs Manchester City FC Odds Movement Analysis | FA Community Shield | 168 Tips

Arsenal FCArsenal FC
VS
Manchester City FCManchester City FC
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-16 21:37:50
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 1.00 0 0.89
Over Under 0.85 2.5 1.03
Europe 2.77 | 3.36 | 2.54
Probability 34.3% | 28.3% | 37.4%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
European Odds, Implied Probability both indicate movement toward the away side. Evidence Label: 2.5 → 2.77
Market State Agreement
Mixed
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Europe
Market State Evidence
2
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-16 21:37:50

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleNo significant handicap movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-10 00:070.91 0 0.91Opening
08-16 20:470.80 +0.25 1.09Down Line
08-16 21:371.00 0 0.89Up Line
Timeline Title
08-10 00:07 Opening
0
08-16 20:47
+0.25
08-16 21:37
0
08-16 21:37 Latest
0
16
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
08-10 00:070.82 2.5 0.98Opening
08-16 21:370.85 2.5 1.03No Change
Timeline Title
08-10 00:07 Opening
2.5(0.82 / 0.98)
08-16 21:37 Latest
2.5(0.85 / 1.03)
16
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home-win price moved up noticeably from the opening observation.
History Title
08-10 00:072.50 / 3.53 / 2.60Opening
08-16 20:472.88 / 3.36 / 2.46Home Odds Up
08-16 21:372.77 / 3.36 / 2.54No Change
Timeline Title
08-10 00:07 Opening
2.50 / 3.53 / 2.60
08-16 20:47
2.88 / 3.36 / 2.46
08-16 21:37 Latest
2.77 / 3.36 / 2.54
16
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability decreased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
08-10 00:0737.5% / 26.5% / 36.0%Opening
08-16 21:3734.3% / 28.3% / 37.4%No Change
Timeline Title
08-10 00:07 Opening
37.46%
08-16 21:37 Latest
34.31%
16
Record Count
0
Change Count
-3.15%
Home Prob Cumulative
±2.68%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
08-16 21:37
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.15 points (37.46% to 34.31%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 21:37
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Home win odds rose 2.5 to 2.77 (+10.8%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 20:47
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.65 points (36.02% to 38.67%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 20:47
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 4.43 points (37.46% to 33.03%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 20:47
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 2.6 to 2.46 (-5.4%) - market backing away.
08-16 20:47
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Home win odds rose 2.5 to 2.88 (+15.2%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 20:47
⚠️Handicap volatile★★★☆☆
Handicap oscillated 3 steps today (low -3 to high 0) - market divergence notable
08-16 20:47
🔴Handicap down★★★☆☆
Handicap 0 to -0/0.5, -3 steps (0.75 goals) - away backing rising.
08-16 18:20
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 2.5 to 2.66 (+6.4%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 17:09
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 2.5 to 2.65 (+6.0%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 16:00
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 2.5 to 2.64 (+5.6%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 12:52
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Home win odds rose 2.5 to 2.58 (+3.2%) - market cautious on home.
08-16 12:52
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose 2.6 to 2.68 (+3.1%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 00:00
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose 2.6 to 2.69 (+3.5%) - market cautious on away.
08-14 21:46
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose 2.6 to 2.68 (+3.1%) - market cautious on away.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-10 00:07
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-16 20:47
Handicap Down LineHandicap
08-16 20:47
Europe Home Odds UpEurope
08-16 21:37
Handicap Up LineHandicap

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
16
Total Records
7Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status · Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-10
08-11
08-12
08-13
08-14
08-15
08-16