2. Bundesliga

Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus Odds Movement Analysis | 2. Bundesliga | 168 Tips

Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld
VS
Energie Cottbus
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-16 18:49:42
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 1.01 -1 0.88
Over Under 0.83 3 1.05
Europe 1.63 | 4.14 | 4.70
Probability 57.5% | 22.6% | 19.9%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
The core directional markets are aligned toward the home side. Evidence Label: 1.86 → 1.63
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★★☆☆☆🟢 Home price down ★★★★☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★★☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap up-0.5 → -12026-08-16 18:49:42★★☆☆☆Home price down1.86 → 1.632026-08-16 18:49:42★★★★☆Home win prob. up49.59 → 57.452026-08-16 18:49:42★★★☆☆
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-16 18:49:42

Key Movements Title

5
08-16 18:49Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-16 18:24Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-16 15:40Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-16 13:12Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line08-16 09:51Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleTwo upward handicap changes were recorded over the observed period.
History Title
08-11 12:570.93 -0.5 0.95Opening
08-13 16:190.94 -0.75 0.94Up Line
08-16 14:231.05 -1 0.84Up Line
08-16 18:491.01 -1 0.88No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:57 Opening
-0.5
08-13 16:19
-0.75
08-16 14:23
-1
08-16 18:49 Latest
-1
13
Record Count
2
Change Count
2
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe total-goals tier stayed the same and the Over-side water shifted.
History Title
08-11 12:571.01 3 0.85Opening
08-16 18:490.83 3 1.05No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:57 Opening
3（1.01 / 0.85）
08-16 18:49 Latest
3（0.83 / 1.05）
13
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA noticeable downward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
08-11 12:571.86 / 3.68 / 3.64Opening
08-13 16:191.72 / 3.88 / 4.15Home Odds Down
08-16 18:491.63 / 4.14 / 4.70No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:57 Opening
1.86 / 3.68 / 3.64
08-13 16:19
1.72 / 3.88 / 4.15
08-16 18:49 Latest
1.63 / 4.14 / 4.70
13
Record Count
1
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved up by a moderate amount.
History Title
08-11 12:5749.6% / 25.1% / 25.3%Opening
08-13 16:1953.8% / 23.9% / 22.3%Home Prob Up
08-16 18:4957.5% / 22.6% / 19.9%No Change
Timeline Title
08-11 12:57 Opening
49.59%
08-13 16:19
53.83%
08-16 18:49 Latest
57.45%
13
Record Count
1
Change Count
+7.86%
Home Prob Cumulative
±4.24%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
08-16 18:49
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.41 points (25.34% to 19.93%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 18:49
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 7.86 points (49.59% to 57.45%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 18:49
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 3.64 to 4.7 (+29.1%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 18:49
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Home win odds dropped 1.86 to 1.63 (-12.4%) - market backing home.
08-16 18:49
🟢Handicap up★★☆☆☆
Handicap 0.5 to 1, +2 steps (0.5 goals) - home backing rising.
08-16 18:24
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.09 points (25.34% to 20.25%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 18:24
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 7.45 points (49.59% to 57.04%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 18:24
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 3.64 to 4.62 (+26.9%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 18:24
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Home win odds dropped 1.86 to 1.64 (-11.8%) - market backing home.
08-16 15:40
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.01 points (25.34% to 20.33%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 15:40
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 7.22 points (49.59% to 56.81%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 15:40
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 3.64 to 4.61 (+26.6%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 15:40
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Home win odds dropped 1.86 to 1.65 (-11.3%) - market backing home.
08-16 14:23
🔴Away win prob. down★★★☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 5.03 points (25.34% to 20.31%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 14:23
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 7.15 points (49.59% to 56.74%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 13:12
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.5 points (25.34% to 20.84%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 13:12
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.11 points (49.59% to 55.7%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 13:12
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 3.64 to 4.49 (+23.4%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 13:12
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 1.86 to 1.68 (-9.7%) - market backing home.
08-16 13:12
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap 0.5 to 0.5/1, +1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward home side.
08-16 09:51
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.27 points (25.34% to 21.07%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 09:51
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.77 points (49.59% to 55.36%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 09:51
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 3.64 to 4.44 (+22.0%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 09:51
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 1.86 to 1.69 (-9.1%) - market backing home.
08-16 00:21
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.67 points (25.34% to 21.67%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 00:21
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.91 points (49.59% to 54.5%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-16 00:21
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 3.64 to 4.3 (+18.1%) - market cautious on away.
08-16 00:21
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 1.86 to 1.71 (-8.1%) - market backing home.
08-15 19:56
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.55 points (25.34% to 21.79%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 19:56
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.82 points (49.59% to 54.41%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 19:56
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 3.64 to 4.27 (+17.3%) - market cautious on away.
08-15 12:16
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.48 points (25.34% to 21.86%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 12:16
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.73 points (49.59% to 54.32%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-15 12:16
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 3.64 to 4.25 (+16.8%) - market cautious on away.
08-14 23:00
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.43 points (25.34% to 21.91%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-14 23:00
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.74 points (49.59% to 54.33%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-14 23:00
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose 3.64 to 4.24 (+16.5%) - market cautious on away.
08-13 16:19
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.03 points (25.34% to 22.31%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-13 16:19
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.24 points (49.59% to 53.83%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-13 16:19
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose 3.64 to 4.15 (+14.0%) - market cautious on away.
08-13 16:19
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Home win odds dropped 1.86 to 1.72 (-7.5%) - market backing home.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-11 12:57
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-13 16:19
Handicap Up LineHandicap
08-13 16:19
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
08-13 16:19
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob UpProbability
08-16 14:23
Handicap Up LineHandicap

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
1
Odds Changes
1
Prob Changes
13
Total Records
6Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status　·　Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-11
08-13
08-14
08-15
08-16
Related Title
Korea DPR Women VS Chinese Taipei WomenAsian Games Women China PR Women VS Vietnam WomenAsian Games Women Poland U19 VS Switzerland U19International Friendly Australia VS BrazilInternational Friendly Wuxi Wugou FC VS Guangxi Hengchen FCChina League One

Upcoming 2. Bundesliga Matches