Al-Ittihad Alexandria vs El Gouna FC Odds Movement Analysis | Egyptian Premier League | 168 Tips

Egyptian Premier League 2026-10-14 01:00
Al-Ittihad AlexandriaAl-Ittihad Alexandria
VS
El Gouna FCEl Gouna FC
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-13 17:10:07
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.81 -0.5 1.07
Over Under 0.84 2.5/3 1.02
Europe 1.96 | 2.81 | 4.39
Probability 46.6% | 32.5% | 20.8%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Handicap, 1X2 price, and implied probability all indicate movement toward the home side. Evidence Label: 2.13 → 1.91
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under · Europe · Probability
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-10-13 17:10:07

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Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small upward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
10-11 04:150.88 -0.25 1.00Opening
10-13 11:590.90 -0.5 0.92Up Line
10-13 14:390.98 -0.5 0.84Home Water Up
10-13 17:100.81 -0.5 1.07Away Water Up
0.760.921.0711018Home WaterAway Water-0.5
Timeline Title
10-11 04:15 Opening
-0.25
10-13 11:59
-0.5
10-13 14:39
-0.5
10-13 17:10
-0.5
10-13 17:10 Latest
-0.5
18
Record Count
3
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe Over/Under line moved up materially from the opening position.
History Title
10-11 04:150.98 1.5/2 0.89Opening
10-13 04:210.78 1.5/2 1.02Over Water Down
10-13 17:100.84 2.5/3 1.02Up Line
0.760.901.0411018OverUnder2.5/3
Timeline Title
10-11 04:15 Opening
1.5/2(0.98 / 0.89)
10-13 04:21
1.5/2(0.78 / 1.02)
10-13 17:10
2.5/3(0.84 / 1.02)
10-13 17:10 Latest
2.5/3(0.84 / 1.02)
18
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA small downward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
10-11 04:152.13 / 2.67 / 3.85Opening
10-13 13:291.83 / 2.91 / 4.87Home Odds Down
10-13 15:361.92 / 2.85 / 4.48Away Odds Down
10-13 17:101.96 / 2.81 / 4.39No Change
1.833.354.8711018HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-11 04:15 Opening
2.13 / 2.67 / 3.85
10-13 13:29
1.83 / 2.91 / 4.87
10-13 15:36
1.92 / 2.85 / 4.48
10-13 17:10 Latest
1.96 / 2.81 / 4.39
18
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Home Odds Change
1
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
★★★★★

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability increased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
10-11 04:1542.5% / 33.9% / 23.5%Opening
10-13 13:2949.9% / 31.4% / 18.8%Home Prob Up
10-13 17:1046.6% / 32.5% / 20.8%No Change
18.834.349.911018Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-11 04:15 Opening
42.54%
10-13 13:29
49.88%
10-13 17:10 Latest
46.64%
18
Record Count
1
Change Count
+4.10%
Home Prob Cumulative
±5.30%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
★★★★★

Title

Count Suffix
10-13 16:21
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.24 points to 20.29% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 16:21
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.25 points to 47.79% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 16:21
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.85 to 4.5 (+16.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 16:21
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.13 to 1.91 (-10.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 16:21
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0/0.5 to 0.5, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-13 15:36
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 3.14 points to 20.39% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 15:36
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 5.03 points to 47.57% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 15:36
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.85 to 4.48 (+16.4%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 15:36
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.13 to 1.92 (-9.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 14:39
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.52 points to 19.01% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 14:39
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 6.98 points to 49.52% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 14:39
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.85 to 4.82 (+25.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 14:39
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.13 to 1.85 (-13.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 13:29
🔴Away win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 4.78 points to 18.75% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 13:29
🟢Home win prob. up★★★☆☆
Home win probability increased by 7.34 points to 49.88% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 13:29
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 3.85 to 4.87 (+26.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 13:29
🟢Home price down★★★★☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.13 to 1.83 (-14.1%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 11:59
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.04 points to 44.58% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-13 11:59
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.85 to 4.14 (+7.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 11:59
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.13 to 2.05 (-3.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 10:19
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.85 to 4.09 (+6.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 10:19
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 2.13 to 2.06 (-3.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-13 08:43
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.85 to 4.07 (+5.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-13 07:15
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 3.85 to 4.06 (+5.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-11 04:15
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-13 04:21
Over Under Over Water DownOver Under
10-13 11:59
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-13 13:29
Europe Home Odds DownEurope
10-13 13:29
Prob Change PrefixHome Prob UpProbability
10-13 14:39
Handicap Home Water UpHandicap
10-13 15:36
Europe Away Odds DownEurope
10-13 17:10
Handicap Away Water UpHandicap
10-13 17:10
Over Under Up LineOver Under