AC Milan vs Atalanta BC Odds Movement Analysis | Serie A | 168 Tips

Serie A 2026-10-19 00:00
AC MilanAC Milan
VS
Atalanta BCAtalanta BC
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-18 14:45:34
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.85 -0.75 1.04
Over Under 0.83 2.5/3 1.05
Europe 1.69 | 3.93 | 4.71
Probability 55.9% | 24.0% | 20.1%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
Three core directional markets show the same home-side direction. Evidence Label: 1.85 → 1.71
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under
Market State Evidence
3
Market Signals Title
🟢 Handicap up ★☆☆☆☆🟢 Home price down ★★★☆☆🟢 Home win prob. up ★★★☆☆
Supporting Signals Title
Handicap up-0.5 → -0.752026-10-18 13:22:22★☆☆☆☆Home price down1.85 → 1.712026-10-18 13:22:22★★★☆☆Home win prob. up50.63 → 55.352026-10-18 13:22:22★★★☆☆
Strength Label ★★★☆☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-18 14:45:34

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Key Movements Title

5
10-18 13:22Away price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-18 11:08Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-18 09:32Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-18 07:58Away price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-18 13:22Home price down★★★☆☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleA small upward handicap change was recorded.
History Title
10-12 05:210.89 -0.5 0.99Opening
10-15 06:060.68 -0.25 1.38Down Line
10-15 15:411.04 -0.75 0.84Up Line
10-18 14:450.85 -0.75 1.04No Change
0.681.031.3811427Home WaterAway Water-0.75
Timeline Title
10-12 05:21 Opening
-0.5
10-15 06:06
-0.25
10-15 15:41
-0.75
10-18 14:45 Latest
-0.75
27
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe total line was unchanged, while the Over-side price changed.
History Title
10-12 05:211.03 2.5/3 0.85Opening
10-18 13:221.03 3 0.85Up Line
10-18 14:450.83 2.5/3 1.05Down Line
0.830.941.0511427OverUnder2.5/3
Timeline Title
10-12 05:21 Opening
2.5/3（1.03 / 0.85）
10-18 13:22
3（1.03 / 0.85）
10-18 14:45
2.5/3（0.83 / 1.05）
10-18 14:45 Latest
2.5/3（0.83 / 1.05）
27
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price decreased by a small amount.
History Title
10-12 05:211.85 / 3.61 / 4.00Opening
10-18 14:451.69 / 3.93 / 4.71No Change
1.693.204.7111427HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-12 05:21 Opening
1.85 / 3.61 / 4.00
10-18 14:45 Latest
1.69 / 3.93 / 4.71
27
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
No Change

Probability

Of
Comment TitleThe home implied probability increased slightly from the opening observation.
History Title
10-12 05:2150.6% / 25.9% / 23.4%Opening
10-18 14:4555.9% / 24.0% / 20.1%No Change
20.138.055.911427Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-12 05:21 Opening
50.63%
10-18 14:45 Latest
55.90%
27
Record Count
0
Change Count
+5.27%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.44%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-18 13:22
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.98 points to 20.44% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 13:22
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.72 points to 55.35% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 13:22
🔴Away price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 4.63 (+15.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 13:22
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.85 to 1.71 (-7.6%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 13:22
🟢Total up★★☆☆☆
O/U line moved from 2.5/3 to 3, up 0.25 goals from opening - goal expectation slightly higher.
10-18 13:22
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0.5 to 0.5/1, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-18 11:08
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.69 points to 20.73% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 11:08
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 4.02 points to 54.65% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 11:08
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 4.56 (+14.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 11:08
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.85 to 1.73 (-6.5%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 09:32
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.51 points to 20.91% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 09:32
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.8 points to 54.43% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 09:32
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 4.53 (+13.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 09:32
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.85 to 1.74 (-6.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 07:58
🔴Away win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability decreased by 2.24 points to 21.18% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 07:58
🟢Home win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 3.47 points to 54.1% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 07:58
🔴Away price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 4.47 (+11.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 07:58
🟢Home price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.85 to 1.75 (-5.4%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 05:08
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.03 points to 52.66% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 05:08
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 4.26 (+6.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-18 05:08
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.85 to 1.79 (-3.2%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-18 00:40
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.09 points to 52.72% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-18 00:40
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 4.28 (+7.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 23:16
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.12 points to 52.75% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 19:05
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.26 points to 52.89% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 19:05
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 4.29 (+7.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 19:05
🟢Home price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.85 to 1.78 (-3.8%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 17:45
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.29 points to 52.92% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 12:38
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.22 points to 52.85% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 08:17
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.19 points to 52.82% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 08:17
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 4.28 (+7.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 18:05
🟢Home win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability increased by 2.17 points to 52.8% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 18:05
🔴Away price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 4.27 (+6.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 10:51
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 4.17 (+4.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 00:31
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 4.16 (+4.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 15:42
🔴Away price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.0 to 4.13 (+3.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 06:06
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from 0.5 to 0/0.5, down 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward away side.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-12 05:21
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-15 06:06
Handicap Down LineHandicap
10-15 15:41
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-18 13:22
Over Under Up LineOver Under
10-18 14:45
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
2
Ou Changes
0
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
27
Total Records
7Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-12
10-13
10-14
10-15
10-16
10-17
10-18
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