2. Bundesliga

1. FC Nürnberg vs SG Dynamo Dresden Odds Movement Analysis | 2. Bundesliga | 168 Tips

1. FC Nürnberg
VS
SG Dynamo Dresden
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-08-09 19:09:30
Finished Kicked Off

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 0.84 0 1.05
Over Under 0.88 2.5 1.00
Europe 2.34 | 3.41 | 2.89
Probability 40.1% | 27.5% | 32.4%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
The core directional markets are aligned toward the away side. Evidence Label: 2.05 → 2.34
Market State Agreement
Aligned
Market State Coverage
Handicap · Over Under
Market State Evidence
4
Market Signals Title
Strength Label ★★★★☆ Core market signals point in the same direction. Live Monitoring Label: Finished Time To Kickoff Label: Kicked Off Market State Latest: 2026-08-09 19:09:30

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap line moved downward by one tier from the prior observation.
History Title
08-05 14:330.88 -0.25 1.00Opening
08-06 13:300.89 -0.25 0.85Away Water Down
08-09 19:090.84 0 1.05Down Line
Timeline Title
08-05 14:33 Opening
-0.25
08-06 13:30
-0.25
08-09 19:09
0
08-09 19:09 Latest
0
10
Record Count
2
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleThe observed total line moved to a lower level.
History Title
08-05 14:330.83 2.5/3 1.04Opening
08-09 19:090.88 2.5 1.00Down Line
Timeline Title
08-05 14:33 Opening
2.5/3(0.83 / 1.04)
08-09 19:09
2.5(0.88 / 1.00)
08-09 19:09 Latest
2.5(0.88 / 1.00)
10
Record Count
1
Change Count
0
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Europe

Of
Comment TitleA noticeable upward change in the home-win price was recorded.
History Title
08-05 14:332.05 / 3.57 / 3.21Opening
08-09 19:092.34 / 3.41 / 2.89No Change
Timeline Title
08-05 14:33 Opening
2.05 / 3.57 / 3.21
08-09 19:09 Latest
2.34 / 3.41 / 2.89
10
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
No Change

Probability

Of
Comment TitleHome implied probability moved down by a small amount.
History Title
08-05 14:3345.2% / 25.9% / 28.9%Opening
08-09 19:0940.1% / 27.5% / 32.4%No Change
Timeline Title
08-05 14:33 Opening
45.19%
08-09 19:09 Latest
40.07%
10
Record Count
0
Change Count
-5.12%
Home Prob Cumulative
±1.60%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
08-09 19:09
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.58 points (28.86% to 32.44%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 19:09
🔴Home win prob. down★★★☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 5.12 points (45.19% to 40.07%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 19:09
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 3.21 to 2.89 (-10.0%) - market backing away.
08-09 19:09
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Home win odds rose 2.05 to 2.34 (+14.2%) - market cautious on home.
08-09 19:09
🔴Total down★★☆☆☆
O/U 2.5/3 to 2.5, -0.25 goals - goal expectation falling.
08-09 19:09
🔴Handicap down★☆☆☆☆
Handicap 0/0.5 to 0, -1 steps (0.25 goals) - shifted toward away side.
08-09 18:40
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.34 points (28.86% to 31.2%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 18:40
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.59 points (45.19% to 41.6%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 18:40
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 3.21 to 3.0 (-6.5%) - market backing away.
08-09 18:40
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 2.05 to 2.25 (+9.8%) - market cautious on home.
08-09 18:10
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.13 points (28.86% to 30.99%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 18:10
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.22 points (45.19% to 41.97%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 18:10
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 3.21 to 3.02 (-5.9%) - market backing away.
08-09 18:10
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 2.05 to 2.23 (+8.8%) - market cautious on home.
08-09 17:01
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.1 points (28.86% to 30.96%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 17:01
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.26 points (45.19% to 41.93%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 15:58
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.13 points (28.86% to 30.99%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 15:58
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.22 points (45.19% to 41.97%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 14:42
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.2 points (28.86% to 31.06%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 14:42
🔴Home win prob. down★★☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 3.27 points (45.19% to 41.92%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-09 14:42
🟢Away price down★★★☆☆
Away win odds dropped 3.21 to 3.01 (-6.2%) - market backing away.
08-08 16:12
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.68 points (45.19% to 42.51%) - probability distribution shifted.
08-08 16:12
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Home win odds rose 2.05 to 2.18 (+6.3%) - market cautious on home.
08-06 13:30
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped 3.21 to 3.1 (-3.4%) - market backing away.
08-06 13:30
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Home win odds rose 2.05 to 2.13 (+3.9%) - market cautious on home.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
08-05 14:33
Opening RecordOpening Short
08-06 13:30
Handicap Away Water DownHandicap
08-09 19:09
Handicap Down LineHandicap
08-09 19:09
Over Under Down LineOver Under

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
1
Ou Changes
0
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
10
Total Records
5Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
Finished
Monitor Level
Finished
Current Status · Kicked Off
Market Heat Change
08-05
08-06
08-07
08-08
08-09